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Crypto prices stage a weekly recovery, but bears still hold the structural advantage: Crypto Markets Today

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The crypto market is ending the week in a healthier position than where it started, with bitcoin trading at $61,600 after having risen by 6.5% from Tuesday’s almost two-year low of $57,750.

Still, the largest cryptocurrency’s gains on Friday were muted in comparison with Thursday’s 2.6% advance, which benefited from weak U.S. job data that lowered expectations for a Federal Reserve interest-rate increase.

The interest-rate outlook echoed for a second day as the U.S. entered a long weekend with stock markets closed. Ether (ETH) rose for a third straight day to add 11.5% since Tuesday and 2.6% on Friday alone. Other altcoins also advanced, with , zcash (ZEC) and dash (DASH) all gaining between 2.2% and 3.1%.

Still, the broader market structure remains bearish across the majority of crypto tokens following a succession of lower highs and lower lows. For bitcoin to reverse the downtrend, it needs to trade back above $67,000 and then take out $81,000, which was the local high in May.

Derivatives positioning

  • Ether replaced bitcoin as the biggest token for 24-hour liquidations. A total of $417 million worth of crypto futures bets were liquidated in 24 hours, of which $160.80 million are from the ether market. BTC, a distant second, notched $97 million. This shows just how bearish positioning on ether was.
  • Ether futures’ open interest (OI) still stood at 14.31 million, the most since June 10, with annualized funding rates of nearly 10% and the highest 24-hour cumulative volume delta (CVD) among majors. The combination points to growing demand for bullish exposure in the market, a sign traders are anticipating continued price gains.
  • OI in DOGE futures tallied 14.13 billion tokens, the highest since May 16. The number has been growing since June 28, a sign of renewed demand for leverage. The DOGE situation is similar to ether’s bullish picture.
  • While ETH and DOGE have led OI growth over 24 hours, futures tied to HBAR and ZEC have seen the opposite. HBAR has the most negative 24-hour CVD among majors, a sign bears are becoming more aggressive in shorting at market orders than passive limit orders.
  • Most tokens have positive CVD, a sign of bulls’ leadership in the market.
  • Both bitcoin and ether 30-day implied volatility indexes continue to slide, reversing the June pop, signaling market calm and potential for continued bullish price action.
  • On Deribit, the most traded BTC options of 24 hours are calls at strikes ranging from $60,000 to $70,000. Call options represent a bullish bet on the market. Ether options show a similar bullish mood, with the $2,500 call seeing the most activity.
  • Block flows featured a large BTC long call condor, a strategy betting on a range play between $66,000 and $68,000 till July 17.

Token talk

  • Uniswap (UNI) led gains in altcoins following Thursday’s announcement confirming that it will be the primary automated market maker (AMM) for the Robinhood layer-2 blockchain.
  • UNI is up by more than 11% in the past 24 hours with daily trading volume doubling to $320 million, still reaping the benefits of its tie-up with Robinhood announced July 1.
  • AI tokens FET, RENDER and TAO also demonstrated positive signs on Friday, rising by between 1.5% and 2.3% since midnight UTC after weeks of sell pressure.
  • CoinMarketCap’s “Altcoin Season” indicator is at 46/100, still firmly in the neutral zone it has occupied for the past month as the market awaits a return to risk-on sentiment.
  • Solana (SOL) is leading the rally among crypto majors. It has now surged by more than 17% over the past week, trading at $80 after dropping to as low as $68 the week before.

Wavespace Launches MiCA-Compliant Self-Custodial Bitcoin Debit Card Powered By Lightning And NWC

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Wavespace, a Bitcoin neobank serving the Eurozone, has announced MiCA compliance of its ‘self-custodial’ debit card. The young fintech company is at the cutting edge of Bitcoin payments technology in Europe, with support for the Lightning Network, and auto DCA to self-custody. 

Debit cards in the Bitcoin and broader crypto industry have traditionally worked by preloading custodial accounts with bitcoin or stablecoins. The process of preloading was usually on-chain, taking time to settle and requiring manual input from the user to send from self-custody wallets or cold storage. If the preloaded balance ran out on the card, spending would not be possible. 

Wavespace’s self-custody debit card solves these problems with a novel Bitcoin technology called Nostr Wallet Connect, or NWC for short. This protocol, documented in NIP-47, allows users to connect a service like this debit card to a self-hosted Lightning node. The user sets a minimum balance, say $200 and every time the user spends from the card via the VISA network, Wavespace pulls sats from the user’s self-custodial wallet to top up the card. This process minimizes custodial exchange risk while maximizing user exposure to the asset and automating away the friction to spend bitcoin.

NWC is a technology developed by the Nostr ecosystem, a high-tech niche within the Bitcoin industry that is branching out into social media and other communication protocols.  

The Wavespace Neobank

As a high-tech neobank, Wavespace gives users a personal IBAN account, which they can send fiat to, to purchase Bitcoin. Their automated DCA services can be set to withdraw bitcoin upon purchase to a selected Bitcoin address. 

The company is MiCA compliant, making it one of the few surviving Bitcoin exchanges in Europe, as the complicated crypto regulations came online.

On the privacy front, the deep Lightning network integration of Wavespace lets user get access to the banking system in a clear and compliant manner, without exposing all their payment data on the Bitcoin blockchain. Since Lightning payments are off-chain, there is no single public record that leaks user data; instead, transactions move through payment channels between various user services, leaving no obvious public trace. The result is a growing compromise between the high privacy, cypherpunk values that created the Bitcoin and crypto industry, while also unlocking access to the legacy financial system, and compliant integration with regulation-heavy areas like Europe. 

In an interview with Bitcoin Magazine, Eivydas Račkauskas, Chief Orange Pill Giver at Wavespace, said that 70% of the payments made on the platform use the Lightning Network and that the company is looking into the ARK protocol for further self-custody-oriented payments integrations. He also revealed that the company is integrated with Lightspark and is ready for an expansion into the USA, though he did not reveal further details on the matter. 

Wavespace has been almost entirely bootstrapped and self-funded, according to Račkauskas, except for an early Relai angel investor who supported them in 2025. They are currently in the middle of another fundraising round.  

EU Enters MiCA Enforcement Phase for Crypto Companies

The European Union’s cryptocurrency industry has entered a new enforcement phase as the transition period under the Markets in Crypto-Assets (MiCA) regulation came to an end.

The end of the transition means crypto companies without MiCA authorization can no longer legally serve EU clients and are expected to wind down operations or face multimillion-euro fines and other enforcement action.

Industry executives and lawyers told Cointelegraph the next challenge is ensuring national regulators apply the bloc’s single rulebook consistently, even as supervisory approaches are expected to vary across member states.

The transition marks MiCA’s first major enforcement test as regulators begin applying the EU’s crypto rulebook.

MiCA compliance costs versus fines

Although complying with MiCA can cost hundreds of thousands or, in some cases, millions of euros, experts say operating without authorization carries far greater financial and regulatory risks.

Nicola Massella, partner at Storm Partners, estimated MiCA implementation costs for many cryptocurrency companies at 350,000 euros ($400,000) to 600,000 euros ($690,000), while Brickken CEO Edwin Mata said costs can reach 2 million euros ($2.3 million) depending on a company’s size, services and compliance readiness.

On penalties, Eckehard Stolz, managing director of Amina EU, said MiCA penalties start at 5 million euros or 5% of annual turnover for some violations.

Source: EBA

Massella added that the European Banking Authority (EBA) proposed on June 26 increasing penalties under certain regulatory regimes, including as much as 12.5% of annual turnover for some stablecoin-related breaches.

Who enforces MiCA?

While MiCA creates a single EU rulebook, day-to-day supervision is handled by national competent authorities (NCAs), which authorize, supervise and enforce the rules for crypto companies.

The European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA) coordinates supervision across member states and maintains the public register of authorized crypto-asset service providers, and the EBA directly oversees significant stablecoin issuers.

Source: ESMA

“At the EU level, ESMA plays an important coordination and supervisory-convergence role, especially to avoid regulatory arbitrage between member states,” Ivo Grlica, founder of GrlicaLaw and G Lab Advisors, told Cointelegraph.

“National regulators are only the first line of MiCA enforcement, but the legal consequences can spread into national courts and criminal-law systems if the underlying conduct causes harm,” he added.

Enforcement unlikely to be uniform at first

MiCA enforcement is unlikely to be uniform in its early stages because NCAs differ in resources, experience and supervisory priorities.

“ESMA made clear it expects NCAs to act against unauthorized providers from July 1,” Stolz said, adding that how aggressively each regulator moves “will depend on local resourcing and priorities.”

Peter Bidewell, vice president of institutional product adoption at Parfin, said differing supervisory approaches could create opportunities for regulatory arbitrage despite MiCA’s goal of harmonizing crypto rules across the EU.

Related: StanChart joins ESMA’s first MiCA register update since deadline

Grlica said he expects enforcement to become more systematic over time as regulators identify unauthorized providers and share information across member states, making it increasingly difficult for companies with a history of non-compliance to obtain MiCA authorization later.

Several EU regulators, including authorities in the Czech Republic, Bulgaria, Luxembourg and Italy, have issued notices reminding crypto companies that the MiCA transition period has ended and urging providers without authorization to wind down their operations.

The Czech National Bank told Cointelegraph that the country’s Financial Market Digitization Act gives it the authority to impose sanctions for MiCA-related violations, including operating without authorization, unlawful token offerings and failing to cooperate with supervisors. The law allows the central bank to fine companies providing crypto services without authorization up to 118.5 million Czech koruna (about $5.6 million), 5% of annual turnover if higher, or twice the unlawful benefit obtained, whichever is greater.

Cointelegraph contacted France’s Autorité des marchés financiers (AMF), the Netherlands’ Authority for the Financial Markets (AFM) and Germany’s Federal Financial Supervisory Authority (BaFin) to ask how they plan to enforce MiCA following the transition deadline. None had responded by publication.

Magazine: How crypto laws changed in 2025 — and how they’ll change in 2026

Strategy CEO Phong Le Buys 11,000 STRC Shares Through Revocable Trust

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Phong Le acquired the Series A Perpetual Stretch Preferred Stock at a weighted average price of $90.796 per share on June 22, an SEC filing shows, after weeks of pressure on the security.

Strategy President and CEO Phong Le acquired 11,000 shares of the company’s Series A Perpetual Stretch Preferred Stock, known by its ticker STRC, on June 22, according to a Form 4 filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The purchase was made through the Phong Le Revocable Trust, of which Le is trustee and beneficiary.

Le paid a weighted average price of $90.796 per share, with individual trades executed between $90.66 and $90.87, the filing shows. The purchase totals roughly $999,000. STRC is one of five Nasdaq-listed securities issued by Strategy, the Bitcoin treasury company run by chairman Michael Saylor, alongside common stock MSTR and preferred stocks STRK, STRF and STRD.

Buying Into Weakness

The purchase lands after a rough stretch for STRC. The Defiant reported the preferred stock hit record lows in June and slipped below its $100 par value as a broader leverage cascade weighed on Strategy’s capital structure. Company executives had already moved to reassure investors, issuing coordinated statements as the stock fell.

Following the June 22 purchase, Le directly holds 8,009 STRC shares, per the filing, in addition to the 11,000 shares now held indirectly through his trust. He also holds 126,323 shares of Strategy’s Class A common stock, 6,000 shares of the 10% Series A Perpetual Strife Preferred Stock (STRF) and 4,500 shares of the Series A Perpetual Stride Preferred Stock (STRD), the filing shows. Smaller STRC positions are held indirectly through trusts for his three minor children.

What STRC Pays

STRC carries a variable dividend rate and ranks among Strategy’s suite of preferred instruments the company has used to fund its Bitcoin accumulation without issuing more common stock. The $100-par security pays dividends the company can defer under certain conditions, a feature that has drawn scrutiny as the stock traded below that par value in recent weeks.

Strategy has leaned heavily on preferred stock issuance in 2026, including a €620 million STRE offering priced in November carrying a 10% dividend rate. The company has also sold Bitcoin to cover preferred dividend obligations, including a rare 32 BTC sale in June, its first such sale since 2022.

Le’s purchase was disclosed the same day it occurred, filed with the SEC on June 22 at 3:57 p.m. ET.

Bitcoin Exchange Flows Point To More Volatility: Report

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CryptoQuant’s weekly report, “Incoming Volatility?”, makes a clean, data-backed case that something is about to break.

Bitcoin exchange inflows spiked to roughly 49,000 BTC on June 30 — an extreme reading seen only four other times in 2026. Ethereum inflows blew past 1.25 million ETH the same week. Altcoin deposit transactions hit nearly 45,000 a day, the highest in two months and the exact pattern that front-ran Bitcoin’s slide from $82K in early May to below $58K in late June. 

Every one of those signals has historically preceded a directional move, usually down.

And yet, as of Thursday morning, Bitcoin is trading around $61,600 — back above the $60K support the report frames as the line in the sand, and up several thousand dollars from Wednesday’s print near $58,600. The chain is screaming risk-off but the price just shrugged it off. 

The most bearish detail in the report isn’t the raw inflow volume — it’s the composition. The average deposit size doubled from 1 BTC to 2 BTC. That’s not retail panic-selling in dribs and drabs; that’s whales and institutions deliberately repositioning coins onto exchanges. 

As CryptoQuant’s Julio Moreno notes, a jump in average deposit size is a more bearish tell than high volume alone, because it signals intent rather than noise. When large holders queue up to sell, they usually know something, or think they do.

So why did price go the other way? Because the flows aren’t happening in a vacuum. Bitcoin’s June bleed had less to do with anything crypto-native than with capital rotating out of digital assets and into the semiconductor trade, U.S.-Iran tensions stoking inflation fears, and Strategy trimming its stack. 

Mt. Gox moving 10,422 BTC last month revived creditor-selling anxiety ahead of the October repayment deadline. Spot Bitcoin ETFs, meanwhile, have bled billions across a double-digit streak of outflow sessions. 

The whales moving coins to exchanges may simply be positioning for that same macro storm and not really causing it. 

Thursday’s bounce came courtesy of dovish Fed commentary that eased rate-cut fears. That’s the tell within the tell: in this market, macro is the dog and on-chain flows are the tail. 

Bitcoin price action

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $61,469.98, up $1,322.54 (+2.2%) on the day after bouncing off a 24-hour low of $59,520 and peaking near $62,148 around 10 a.m. 

The recovery back above $60,000 — with $32.49B in daily volume and a $1.23T market cap — lines up with the report’s read that $60K is the battleground level, and today the bulls are holding it.

ESMA’s First Post-Deadline MiCA Update Adds Standard Chartered

The European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA) has published the first update to its register of crypto companies under the European Union’s Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation (MiCA) after the transitional period ended Wednesday.

Friday’s update to the register added 37 licensed crypto-asset service providers (CASPs), including global banking group Standard Chartered, which secured MiCA authorization from Luxembourg regulators on June 25.

Among the new CASPs are digital asset prime brokerage FalconX, Sygnum Europe and Ronin EM, while the register of electronic money tokens (EMTs) has added Crédit Agricole’s CACEIS.

ESMA’s interim MiCA register now lists 280 CASPs, up from 243 in the previous update published June 26.

Standard Chartered advances crypto strategy in Europe with MiCA and EMI licenses

In addition to securing MiCA authorization, Standard Chartered was also granted an Electronic Money Institution (EMI) license, allowing it to issue electronic money and provide payment services, the bank announced on Monday.

“Securing our MiCA and EMI licences is a key step in progressing our digital asset journey in Europe,” Standard Chartered’s global head of financing, Margaret Harwood-Jones, said.

Related: Standard Chartered, Circle bring USDC minting onto banking rails

The bank said the approvals build on recent milestones, including the launch of digital asset custody services in Asia and the Middle East, and support growing client demand for regulated access to digital assets in Europe.

Cyprus leads new MiCA authorizations

Cyprus led the latest wave of MiCA authorizations, accounting for six of the newly listed crypto-asset service providers (CASPs), the highest share among EU jurisdictions.

France followed with five entries, alongside Italy and Malta, which also recorded five newly authorized CASPs. The Czech Republic and Spain added four CASPs each, while Luxembourg accounted for three listings and the Netherlands added two. Germany, Liechtenstein and Latvia each recorded one new entry.

37 newly approved CASPs in the MiCA register update on July 3, 2026. Source: ESMA

The approvals bring the total number of MiCA authorizations granted by the Cyprus Securities and Exchange Commission (CySEC) to 21, while Germany’s Federal Financial Supervisory Authority (BaFin) remains the EU authority with the most MiCA authorizations at 58.

The latest update included no changes to the register of asset-referenced tokens (ARTs), which continued to show no approved issuers, or to the list of non-compliant entities, which remained at 162.

Magazine: How crypto laws changed in 2025 — and how they’ll change in 2026

Bitcoin, ether traders aren’t fully buying the bounce, options markets show: Crypto Daily

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With bitcoin and the broader crypto market showing signs of life, defensive positioning in the market has eased, not disappeared, a sign of continued caution.

This is evident from the BTC and ether (ETH) options markets listed on Deribit, where put options, derivative contracts offering protection against price slides, continue to trade at a premium to calls, or bullish contracts.

Bitcoin’s one-week, 25-delta put-call skew, which measures the difference in volatility for puts relative to calls, was around 16%. It showed puts outpacing demand by a 16% vol point premium. That’s still notably elevated, though significantly lower than the 25% of 10 days ago, according to data source Velo.

The one-, three-, and six-month skews also show put premiums of around 10% or more. The same is true for ether.

The message is clear. Downside fears persist, keeping demand for insurance against price declines intact even though BTC long-term holders and ETF investors appear to have returned to accumulation.

Bitcoin Can Still Go Lower as Supply Metric Prints First ‘Buy’ Signal in 4 Years

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Bitcoin (BTC) has added another bear-market bottom signal this month as analysis draws comparisons to November 2022.

Key points:

  • Bitcoin adds to its list of bear-market bottom signals with a key supply ratio “buy” trigger.
  • A bear-market floor could still be some time off, analysis says, with supply held at a loss still relatively low.
  • Demand is the missing piece of the puzzle to shore up a bullish rebound.

Bitcoin profit metric echoes 2022 bear-market bottom zone

In a blog post on Friday, crypto analyst Axel Adler Jr., a contributor to onchain analytics platform CryptoQuant, confirmed the return of a key Bitcoin buy signal.

Advanced Net UTXO Supply Ratio, which measures the proportion of the BTC supply which last moved in profit or loss, is back in negative territory for the first time in nearly four years.

“The ratio dropped into deeply negative territory and then crossed back above the signal threshold on the rebound, which caused the model to print BUY on several sessions in late June and early July,” Adler wrote. 

“This is the first buy trigger since November 2022, which was the bottom of the previous bear cycle.”

Bitcoin Advanced Net UTXO Supply Ratio. Source: CryptoQuant

UTXO Supply Ratio cues do not imply that a macro bottom has arrived, but occur “near cyclical lows.”

“Confirmation would be the ratio holding above zero together with rising price. The negative scenario is a move back into negative territory without price support,” Adler explained.

A missing piece of the puzzle involves supply being held at a loss, which has not yet reached the levels seen during previous bear markets.

Adler forecast that the 90-day simple moving average (SMA) of supply in loss should hit its bear-market reversal target within two months.

“Until then, it is more accurate to treat capitulation as a process rather than a completed fact,” he continued.

Bitcoin supply in loss. Source: CryptoQuant

Signals will not “stop BTC from going lower”

On the topic of UTXO Supply, fellow CryptoQuant contributor Darkfost also eyed a potential market inflection point this week.

Related: Bitcoin bear market ‘dead’ after first TD9 reversal signal since July 2022 fires

“Since it depends on the profit and loss of UTXOs, it can very well signal something during either a sharp drop or a sharp rise. That said, in terms of cyclicality, it wouldn’t be inconsistent to think that the end of this bear market could be approaching,” he wrote in a Quicktake blog post on Wednesday. 

“This won’t stop BTC from going lower, but we now have several signals pointing to seller exhaustion. The next step is a renewal of demand, and that could take some time.”

As Cointelegraph reported, BTC price expectations tend to favor a bear-market bottom coming in Q3 or later.

Donald Trump says there’s ‘nothing wrong’ with his $1.4 billion crypto windfall

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President Donald Trump said there is ‘nothing wrong’ with the money his family has made in crypto, responding to financial disclosures that showed he earned at least $1.4 billion from the industry last year.

Asked in a CNBC interview on Thursday at the White House whether he knew about the ventures, Trump said “I could know about it. I didn’t.” He said that there was nothing illegal about his involvement and that his goal was for the U.S. to lead in crypto.

Trump handed day-to-day control of his businesses to his two eldest sons before taking office, and did not divest his assets.

The disclosure, released this week by the federal Office of Government Ethics, made Trump the largest crypto earner in U.S. politics.

It showed about $636 million tied to his eponymous memecoin, which was launched on the eve of his return to office, roughly $594 million from World Liberty Financial, the crypto firm he co-founded with his sons and nearly $197 million from a stablecoin venture.

Bitcoin whales bought $16.7 billion of BTC in two weeks even as ETFs bled a record $4 billion

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Large bitcoin holders bought more than 270,000 bitcoin ($16.7 billion) over the past two weeks, stepping in as U.S. institutions pulled money out at a record pace.

U.S. spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) shed $4.06 billion in June, their worst month since listing, past the previous record of $3.56 billion set in February 2025.

The outflows pushed the funds into the red for 2026 as a whole for the first time, and these products finally recorded a $221 million inflow on Thursday.

Large wallets, often called whales, went the other way, analysts at crypto exchange Bitfinex shared with CoinDesk in a Friday note. They added more than 270,000 BTC over two weeks while the spot premium, a gauge of how hard U.S. buyers are bidding, stayed negative, meaning the buying was not coming from spot desks.

Institutions selling and large holders accumulating at the same time is the pattern that has shown up near past cycle lows, where long-term holders take coins off sellers before any recovery reaches the price.