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When A Supplier Becomes a Hidden Cost Centre

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The cost of this fraud? 3% of the company’s turnover. This could have been prevented by detecting fraudulent IBAN changes before payments are issued.

How Does Supplier Fraud Happen?

Supplier fraud relies on a specific mechanism. It needs a hacker, aided by an internal accomplice,
who provides them with information about the processes, steals the identity of an acquired
company and has its bank details changed in the victim’s accounting system. Payments are then
issued to the correct apparent supplier, but to the fraudster’s accounts. The flaw is not in the
payment itself, but in the modification of the IBAN that preceded it.

How an IBAN Change Created a Silent Profit Drain

This company was going through an ERP change. As part of this transition, there was a need to
rationalise the vendor master data. The Group therefore decided it would be a good idea to launch a
mass circularisation of all suppliers to reconfirm their banking details.

However, someone within the company was fully aware of this process and knew that one of the
major suppliers would be contacted. This person passed the information to an accomplice, who was
more than happy to take advantage of the situation.

An individual impersonated a legitimate supplier and, by pretending to be them, succeeded in
obtaining a change of banking details, naturally for their own benefit. Meanwhile, the real supplier
continued sending its invoices as usual. The victim company kept paying those invoices, but the
funds were being sent to the fraudsters, not to the actual supplier.

Key Warning Signs of Supplier Bank Detail Manipulation

The issue was detected fairly quickly, as the real supplier kept requesting payment. However,
recovering the diverted funds proved to be much more difficult. The key warning signs in this case
were clear: a request to change banking details, the absence of proper IBAN verification, and more
generally, a lack of internal controls around vendor data management, even though such controls
are becoming increasingly common today.

What can organisations do to prevent this type of fraud?

It’s always difficult for organisations to control the pressure an employee is under. This is the
hardest part of the fraud triangle to impact, as pressure may come from outside. Opportunity and
rationalisation are another matter. Supplier fraud relies on the lack of automation, coupled with ad
hoc human validation. The opportunity shows itself and the rationalisation follows.

Two Ways to Prevent Supplier Fraud
  • Automate the manual update process
    In most organisations, updating a supplier’s bank details remains a manual, informal process, often handled by email and without systematic double-checking. It is precisely this vulnerability that fraud exploits. To avoid creating an opportunity for fraud here, organisations must remove the reliance on manual validation and checks and replace them with automated controls. That way, any violation of the segregation of duties, any changes made by unusual users or at suspicious times/days are identified.
  • Make late discovery impossible
    In this case, the fraud was only discovered late. Many frauds run for months before being
    discovered, and this one was only revealed after several payments had been issued to the wrong
    accounts. The damage accumulated because of the lack of systematic reconciliation between the
    registered bank details and the payments issued. What the organisation needed was permanent
    monitoring that could not be circumvented. The comprehensive audit trail would also make internal
    complicity much riskier for the accomplice, reducing opportunity for the fraud.
How to Detect and Deter Supplier Fraud
  • Detection of payments to unusual or recently changed IBANs
    Flag priority anomalies. Organisations need pre-configured controls that include checks on payments
    issued to recently changed bank accounts. A payment to an IBAN that differs from the supplier’s
    known history, or that has been changed in the days leading up to the settlement, is automatically
    flagged as a priority anomaly. This was exactly the pattern used in this fraud.
  • Score on consistency between an IBAN and the third party concerned
    Show up risky third-parties. New technologies can issue alerts on potentially problematic third-party
    IBAN pairs. This draws attention to the issue, especially when combined with other analyses which
    strengthen the set of indicators and the score it generates for each entry.
  • Deterrence
    A lack of control leads to a feeling of impunity. Any action taken by a fraudster is fuelled by the feeling that they won’t be caught. Technology can significantly reduce this feeling of impunity by making fraud detectable, and therefore a dangerous development for the potential fraudster. Even with outside pressure on an employee, it can reduce the opportunity and rationalisation for fraud.

The best way to combat fraud is not only to detect it, but to deter it.

Bitcoin Lightning Is Turning IGaming Payouts Into Rails

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Bitcoin’s Lightning Network is starting to turn iGaming payouts into a native Bitcoin use case, as operators look to escape card fees, chargebacks, and slow settlement that no longer fit a real-time betting market. 

A new benchmark report from Voltage frames Lightning as the next major phase of Bitcoin’s evolution, shifting it from a passive store of value to the backbone of instant, global gambling withdrawals. 

The study opens with a 30-day pilot at a single iGaming operator that routed a slice of its customer base through the Bitcoin Lightning Network. In that window, the platform pushed 88.2 bitcoin through Lightning, processed 237,000 payments, and recorded a 99.94% success rate with an average end-to-end settlement time of 1.86 seconds. 

Voltage says 80% of deposits and withdrawals in the pilot flowed through Cash App users, a sign of how much latent Lightning capacity now sits inside mainstream Bitcoin wallets. The company argues that this is exactly where Bitcoin’s second layer begins to matter for gambling: a familiar wallet, a BTC balance, and withdrawal times that drop from days to seconds.

Bitcoin on-chain vs. Bitcoin on Lightning 

The report draws a sharp line between Bitcoin on-chain and Bitcoin on Lightning. On-chain Bitcoin still offers irreversible, global payments, but confirmation times stretch from minutes to hours and fees spike when block space fills, which undermines the economics of frequent, smaller withdrawals. 

Lightning was built to solve that constraint by moving Bitcoin payments into peer-to-peer channels that track balances off-chain and settle the final state back to the base layer when needed. 

In practice, that design lets operators send bitcoin-denominated iGaming payouts in milliseconds with fees under a penny, roughly 0.0029% of transaction value, which the report says makes Lightning around 1,000 times cheaper than card processors on a percentage basis.

What makes this notable for Bitcoin is the way Lightning preserves the properties that supporters treat as non-negotiable. Lightning has no new token or validator set and inherits security from Bitcoin’s proof-of-work chain when payment channels close and settle.

Voltage stressed in the report that this avoids a core tradeoff seen on alternative payout rails: operators do not need to trust a separate governance structure, bridge, or foundation to move player funds. For iGaming, that translates into censorship resistance at the payments layer, where a Lightning node can route around intermediaries in a way that card networks or some newer chains cannot.

The business logic is simple: Bitcoin on Lightning changes how money moves through a gambling platform’s books. Traditional payouts can skim about 2.9–5% per transaction and still leave operators exposed to chargebacks weeks after funds leave the account, which forces them to lock capital in reserve balances and float. 

Lightning payouts are final and irreversible, which removes the chargeback category outright and lets operators reduce or eliminate those reserves. Deposits become Bitcoin transfers that settle into the operator’s Lightning node with no clearing period, while withdrawals push BTC back to the player in seconds with no clawback risk. The report says this shortens the cash cycle, increases capital velocity, and frees more bitcoin to support live activity instead of sitting in transit or in processor accounts.

Payout speed is crucial for iGaming 

Voltage leans on player behavior data to argue that Bitcoin’s role here is not just a cost story. Surveys cited in the report show that 72% of players place payout speed in their top three loyalty drivers, and 71% have left a platform because withdrawals took too long. 

When iGaming payouts rely on Bitcoin Lightning, a winning spin or bet can update a player’s wallet balance in seconds, which the authors say reinforces a direct link in the player’s mind between gameplay and getting paid. That loop, they argue, ties Bitcoin more tightly to user trust than speculative price action or passive holdings do.

The report puts competing chains as partial answers to the payout problem. Ethereum’s mainnet can move ERC-20 tokens like USDT with richer smart-contract logic, but its 15 second blocks and shared global state leave it vulnerable to congestion and fee spikes that can push a single transfer into the 10–30 dollar range. Tron and Solana cut fees and raise throughput, but Voltage highlights their smaller validator sets, hardware demands, and past outages as risks that undercut long-term payment reliability for regulated gambling brands. 

By contrast, Lightning taps into Bitcoin’s existing network effect, with public Lightning capacity now in the thousands of BTC and mobile Lightning wallets counted in the millions, according to the report.

The authors also point to the arrival of stablecoins on Bitcoin’s Lightning rails as a sign of where the technology stack is heading. Using Taproot Assets, issuers like Tether can move USDT over Lightning, which joins the speed and fee profile of Bitcoin’s second layer with dollar-linked balances. 

For iGaming, that mix promises instant payouts over Bitcoin infrastructure without exposing recreational players to spot BTC volatility if they prefer a fiat peg. The report notes that Tether’s decision to support Lightning signals expectations of high-volume, low-cost transactions riding on Bitcoin rather than on newer chains.

Voltage frames all of this as the natural evolution of Bitcoin in a sector that has hunted for better payments for years. In its view, Lightning takes Bitcoin from a slow, expensive base layer to a live settlement engine that can clear millions of small, final transactions per second for users who already hold BTC in popular apps. 

For iGaming operators, that means Bitcoin is no longer just another deposit option; it becomes the core payout rail that can cut fees, kill chargebacks, clear regulatory audits with deterministic records, and ship winnings to a player in Brazil or New Jersey on the same infrastructure.

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Senator Lummis Puts Congress On The Clock, Vows May Push To Rescue Stalled Clarity Act

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Speaking at The Bitcoin Conference U.S. Senator Cynthia Lummis opened her keynote by recalling her first encounter with Bitcoin, describing it as an unfamiliar concept of owning an asset that exists on a blockchain, before purchasing three tokens at roughly $300 each.

Lummis told the audience that Bitcoin first struck her as “free money” because it removes the need to trust a third party to hold or move value. 

She linked that realization back to her early purchases of three bitcoin at about $300 each, when the idea of owning an asset that lives on a blockchain still felt strange.

Lummis referenced periods of war, noting that bitcoin often serves as a refuge from poor monetary policy and disrupted financial systems. 

Lummis said there are women who have been able to leave dysfunctional marriages and walk away with Bitcoin as an asset that is uniquely theirs, underscoring the role of self-custodied money in personal freedom.

“Bitcoin comes with a culture that could’ve written the U.S. Declaration of Independence that we celebrate today. This is freedom money. That all people are created equal, and that this asset guarantees it,” Lummis said. 

Lummis closed by promising imminent action in Washington, saying the Senate “will mark up the Clarity Act in May” and that lawmakers are going to pass digital asset legislation.

Lummis has been very vocal about the struggles around passing crypto legislation popularly known as the Clarity Act. 

What’s happening with the Clarity Act? 

The Clarity Act has inched forward but remains stuck in Washington’s procedural grind, with its fate tied to a narrow legislative window in 2026.

The bill, a comprehensive market structure framework for digital assets, cleared the House more than eight months ago and has waited in the Senate Banking Committee as senators haggle over issues such as stablecoin yields and agency jurisdiction. 

A January markup was pulled at the last minute, signaling early resistance and forcing drafters to rework language before bringing it back. Since then, industry groups have pressed Senate leaders to move, warning that each delay adds regulatory uncertainty and pushes activity offshore.

In April, committee dynamics shifted again when Senator Thom Tillis urged Chair Tim Scott to delay a markup into May to allow more time to sell the compromise to traditional banking stakeholders. 

Reporting from policy shops and crypto lobbyists now points to the second week of May as the first realistic slot for a Banking Committee vote, following the current Senate recess. 

If the markup slips past mid‑May, the odds of enactment this year drop sharply because floor time tightens ahead of summer recess and the 2026 midterm cycle.

If the bill does advance, the path would likely run through a committee markup in early or mid‑May, a full Senate vote in May or June, and potential reconciliation before a signing window that market observers place around June. 

Supporters frame the Clarity Act as the companion to the GENIUS Act, handing the CFTC primary jurisdiction over most non‑stablecoin digital assets while narrowing the SEC’s reach to tokenized securities.

These Three Bitcoin Charts Say BTC Price Set for Recovery to $82,000

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Bitcoin (BTC) has rebounded more than 28% from its February low below $60,000, and a mix of technical, liquidity, and on-chain signals suggests the recovery may still have room to run.

BTC/USD daily chart. Source: TradingView

Key takeaways:

  • Bitcoin is holding a support zone that has previously triggered 8%–10% rebounds.
  • Binance stablecoin inflows are rising, boosting fresh deployable liquidity for crypto markets.

BTC hits support with 8%–10% rebound history

Since early April, Bitcoin has been trading within a well-defined ascending channel, with price consistently respecting both rising support and resistance trend lines.

Each test of the lower boundary has triggered 8%–10% rebounds, often driving BTC back toward, or even beyond, the upper trend line. The current setup mirrors those prior cycles.

BTC/USD four-hour chart. Source: TradingView

BTC is now consolidating near the channel’s lower support zone around $76,800–$77,500, which also coincides with the 20-period (green) and 50-period EMAs (red) on the 4-hour chart, a key dynamic support level in ongoing uptrends.

A rebound from this range increase the odds of BTC’s price hitting the upper boundary near $82,700, up by roughly 7.70% from current prices. This level coincides with the 1.618 Fibonacci retracement level.

Related: Bitcoin shorts create $1.4B liquidation risk: Is a price squeeze to $80K next?

Conversely, a breakdown risks BTC price dropping toward $73,600, a level aligning with the 0.786 Fib line and the 200-4H EMA (blue).

Binance’s stablecoin inflows boost BTC rally potential

Liquidity conditions are also rising, which improves the technical setup.

Binance has recorded nearly $6 billion in stablecoin inflows across March and April, including $3.5 billion in April alone, marking a sharp reversal from the previous $7.6 billion in net outflows, data from CryptoQuant shows.

Binance monthly stablecoin netflow. Source: CryptoQuant

This is important for the bulls because stablecoin inflows represent deployable capital. In other words, liquidity is returning to exchanges, suggesting traders are preparing to re-enter risk despite US–Iran tensions and elevated oil prices.

Bitcoin MVRV fractal hints at rally above $92,000

Bitcoin’s latest rebound has pushed its price back above the MVRV -0.5 standard deviation band (green) at around $72,750. This band has often acted as support and resistance across previous market cycles.

The MVRV bands measure how far Bitcoin’s spot price has moved from investors’ aggregate on-chain cost basis.

BTC MVRV Extreme Deviation Pricing Bands vs. price. Source: Glassnode

When BTC climbs back above a lower deviation band, the market is no longer trading at a deep discount to its realized value, often opening room for a move toward the next band.

A similar reclaim of the green band as support in past downturns, including the 2014 and 2018 bear markets, preceded short-term rallies toward the mean band (yellow), as shown below.

BTC MVRV Extreme Deviation Pricing Bands vs. price. Source: Glassnode

That puts Bitcoin’s next potential upside target near $94,500 if history repeats.

The signal does not confirm a new bull market, but it does strengthen the case for a bear-market relief rally. On-chain analyst Willy Woo said Bitcoin is still forming a bottom, with the $65,000 level acting as a key floor.

A decisive break above the $79,000 cost basis of recent investors is needed to strengthen the recovery, said Woo, with the next six weeks likely to determine whether the move can evolve into a sustained trend reversal.

The next test for BTC is cleanly breaking the cost basis of recent investors (79k).

I give it 30% odds on doing this on this attempt.

‘Bitcoin Isn’t Going Anywhere’: Trump Officials Talk Bitcoin

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Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche and FBI Director Kash Patel used a Bitcoin 2026 Conference panel to signal a shift in how the U.S. government approaches digital assets, stressing support for developers and a focus on crime rather than code.

Coinbase Chief Legal Officer Paul Grewal, moderating the virtual discussion, opened by asking Blanche and Patel for their Bitcoin origin stories. 

Blanche said his son pushed him toward Bitcoin and called him a “clown and idiot” for not investing, while also noting that his government role bars him from owning assets. Patel framed Bitcoin and other virtual assets as economic infrastructure, saying they are assets “just like business and everything else” that “power and muscle the world.”

Blanche: Prior administrations suppressed bitcoin and crypto

Grewal then pressed the officials on past prosecutions tied to crypto. Blanche said some prior FBI and Justice Department efforts were misguided, suggesting that earlier administrations pursued cases against developers in ways that cut across core rights. 

He argued that the government should not treat software builders as stand‑ins for criminals and said the focus should be on “the third party criminal and not… the builders and platform builders.” 

According to Blanche, aggressive enforcement caused some platforms to leave the United States and reflected a lack of understanding that “stifled innovation” and “suffocated enthusiasts.”

“In the last administration, we were stifling innovation and depriving US citizen and Bitcoin and crypto enthusiasts from doing what they should be able to,” Blanche said.

Blanche drew a line between criminal use of crypto and the underlying technology. He said the government will not excuse bad actors who use Bitcoin or other digital assets for crime, but he rejected the idea that ordinary participants should live in constant fear of prosecution. 

On policy questions tied to cases such as Tornado Cash, Roman Storm, and Samourai Wallet, he said that if a person is developing software and is not the third‑party user committing a crime, “you are not going to get investigated and/or get charged.” He told coders that if they are under investigation, “your lawyer should feel very comfortable working with the FBI.”

Patel echoed that stance while stressing active enforcement against fraud. He said the FBI has spent the past year targeting scam centers that use crypto, including networks tied to foreign adversaries that seek to “police Americans and fleece them from their hard earned assets.” 

His goal, he said, is for the bureau to “look at the right people” and for Americans who buy digital assets to feel their funds are safe. Patel added that the FBI is proactively investigating crime in Bitcoin and other digital assets and is pushing prevention work on the “front end” to stop schemes before they reach victims.

Coders shouldn’t “sleep with their eye open” 

Asked why this moment is different for Bitcoin policy, Blanche pointed to the White House. He said the shift “starts with President Trump,” describing the current team as “by far the most pro‑crypto administration in the world” and stating that “we want to be the crypto capital of the world.” 

Blanche criticized what he called “attacks on the industry” by the prior administration as “outrageous” and “ill advised,” and said the government needs to adjust its thinking about digital assets and open‑source code.

Both officials framed the emerging doctrine in simple terms: Bitcoin and code are not the targets, crime is. Patel said federal law enforcement will prosecute criminal activity “in Bitcoin or out of Bitcoin.” 

Blanche said people in crypto “shouldn’t sleep with one eye open” over routine development or use, as long as they are not engaged in fraud, money laundering, or other offenses. 

NFTs Attempt Another Comeback as Blue Chips Surge

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Bored Apes, Mutant Apes, Pudgy Penguins, Azuki and Doodles are all up double digits on the month.

The NFT sector has posted its strongest 30-day performance in months, with Yuga Labs’ flagship collections soaring and Azuki, Doodles, and Meebits catching bids.

The global NFT market cap sits at $1.87 billion after topping $2 billion over the weekend for the first time in three months, according to CoinGecko.

Yuga Ecosystem Leads

Bored Ape Yacht Club’s floor is 9.49 ETH, or roughly $21,715, up 15% on the week and 79% over the past 30 days. Meanwhile, Mutant Ape Yacht Club is up 26% on the week and 112% on the month. Otherdeed Expanded and Otherdeed for Otherside, the metaverse land tied to the Yuga ecosystem, are up 66.2% and 37.4% over 30 days, respectively.

While there is no clear catalyst for the move, Yuga Labs recently settled its long-running trademark suit against artist Ryder Ripps and partner Jeremy Cahen.

Other Ethereum blue chips are also participating. Azuki is at 1.09 ETH, up 28% on the week and 61% on the month, while Doodles is up 30% and Clone X is up 28% over 30 days. Meebits, the pixel-art collection that Yuga acquired from Larva Labs and subsequently sold, is up 28% on the month.

CryptoPunks Maintain Top Spot

CryptoPunks remain the largest collection by market cap, with the floor at 30.94 ETH, or about $70,805, up 16% on the week and 7.6% on the month. The relatively muted 30-day performance likely reflects the collection’s much higher starting base.

Pudgy Penguins, the third-largest collection, has rallied harder, with the floor at 5.05 ETH, up 15% on the week and 25% on the month. The collection has been a focal point for crypto-native consumer IP this cycle, with parent Igloo Inc. launching its browser-based Pudgy World metaverse in March and a mobile racing title that briefly topped Apple’s App Store rankings last year.

Canary Capital’s proposed spot PENGU ETF, which would also hold up to 15% of assets in Pudgy Penguins NFTs, remains pending at the SEC.

This article was written with the assistance of AI workflows. All our stories are curated, edited and fact-checked by a human.

DeepSeek-V4 Could Change Global AI Model Race

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DeepSeek’s newly launched AI model shows how the Chinese startup’s focus on open source and lower costs could help China advance in the geopolitical AI race, especially as the vendor begins to break its reliance on U.S. AI chip giant Nvidia.

DeepSeek released DeepSeek-V4 in preview on April 24. The open source model can process longer prompts than previous DeepSeek models. It’s also the startup’s most significant release since its R1 launch in January 2025, which shocked the AI market with its reasoning capability and low price. 

DeepSeek-V4 comes in two versions: V4-Pro and V4-Flash. V4-Pro is larger with 1.6 trillion total parameters, and V4-Flash is a high-speed version of the model with 284 billion parameters. The model versions are efficient in long-context scenarios, supporting context lengths of up to 1 million tokens, according to DeepSeek. The long context length makes V4 models comparable to Google Gemini and Anthropic’s Claude. The models are designed for long-horizon reasoning, coding and agentic workflows.

Related:Google Could Invest Another $40B in Anthropic

DeepSeek’s V4 release highlights the vendor’s commitment to open source. While the fact that the vendor is from China could discourage some enterprises, the model’s cost adds appeal for enterprises concerned with recent price increases from other model makers. 

The Cost Factor

V4-Pro costs $1.74 for input per million tokens and $3.48 for output per million tokens. V4-Flash costs $0.14 for input and $0.28 for output. Compared with Gemini 3.1 Pro, Gemini 3.1 Pro costs $2 for input and $12 for output. GPT 5.5 costs $5 for input and $30 for output, and Claude Opus 4.7 is $5 for input and $25 for output. 

“The token pricing is a third of the frontier labs’ pricing,” said Kashyap Kompella, CEO of RPA2AI Research. “That kind of pricing can change buying behavior.”

He added that while DeepSeek’s models might trail behind frontier models from OpenAI, Google or Anthropic by three to six months, the lag does not matter if the cost gap is also significant.

“Enterprises do not always need the absolute best model for all use cases,” Kompella said. “They need good enough performance, predictable cost and control. DeepSeek is forcing Western frontier labs to innovate on cost, not only on model capabilities.”

Moving Away from Nvidia

The V4 series also marks a significant shift for DeepSeek, as the models are optimized for inference on Chinese chipmaker Huawei’s Ascend supernode. Previous DeepSeek models such as V3 were trained on Nvidia H800 chips, but V4-Flash is reported to be partially trained on Huawei hardware, while V4-Pro still relied on Nvidia due to its massive compute needs.

Related:Canadian, German AI Startups Join Forces to Challenge US Dominance

The relationship between DeepSeek and Huawei helps both DeepSeek and the Chinese chipmaker, which has not gotten much traction on its own Pangu series of models, said Lian Jye Su, an analyst at Omdia, a division of Informa TechTarget. 

“Being able to support DeepSeek now natively, showcasing pretty reasonable performance, is a very advanced achievement,” Su said. “It does allow China to gain a bit more respect from other vendors.” He added that China-friendly countries will be more open to adopting other products from China, “given that now China seems to be able to fight through all the restrictions and the limitations and now emerging stronger as compared to 12 months ago.” 

However, Huawei is still behind Nvidia and the broader global AI ecosystem in chip fabrication and software development, Su noted.

The Commitment to Open Source

DeepSeek’s adherence to open source also matters on the geopolitical front. While U.S. vendors such as Meta and OpenAI previously embraced open source, they have since largely departed from it. Open source could be DeepSeek’s best differentiator.

“Open source helps them attract developers, build trust and create an ecosystem,” Kompella said, adding that open source is also helpful for the Chinese market. Other Chinese vendors — such as Alibaba, Kimi, Qwen and Minimax — also offer open-weight models. 

Related:GPT-5.5 Boasts Coding Advancements, But Falls Short of Opus 4.7

“Open source fundamentally is just a commercial strategy,” Su said. He added that, for DeepSeek, open source is built into the vendor’s approach, and it is more than just a strategy to   entice the market before eventually becoming a closed model provider. 

On the geopolitical front, open source also offers China an opening in price-sensitive markets outside the U.S., Kompella said. 

“It also lets China influence global AI markets without needing to own every application layer,” he said.

Furthermore, with DeepSeek beginning to shed its reliance on Nvidia chips, it furthers the Chinese government’s intent to reduce its dependence on Nvidia and other Western vendors.

However, the Western market is still wary of Chinese vendors, Su said.

“There are now significant reservations in the Western camp about adopting any open source solution from China,” he said. “There is a large pushback from large enterprises, especially those in critical industries, not choosing or avoiding Chinese models entirely, mainly because of scrutiny from governments.”

Nevertheless, for enterprises already using Huawei’s products, V4 models might be worth considering, Su added.

Moreover, for some enterprises, DeepSeek’s low-cost models and inclination toward open source may be enough, which could influence the AI race.

“The global AI race is about who can deliver intelligence at scale, at low cost, on a sovereign technology stack,” Kompella said.

White House Says Major Bitcoin Reserve Announcement Is Coming

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The White House is preparing a major announcement on the US Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, according to crypto advisor Patrick Witt, who said the administration has made what he described as a “breakthrough” on the executive-branch side of the policy.

US Strategic Bitcoin Reserve May Get An Update Soon

Speaking Monday at the Bitcoin 2026 conference in Las Vegas, Witt said the government has been working through the legal and operational details needed to formalize how federally held Bitcoin should be protected and treated on the balance sheet. His comments point to a near-term policy move from the administration, even as lawmakers continue working on legislation to codify the reserve in statute.

“The President signed the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Executive Order last year, and we’ve gone to work in figuring out exactly the machinations necessary and legal interpretations that we need to get that right and solidify that and protect the digital assets, but specifically Bitcoin, that we have on the government balance sheet,” Witt said. “So in the next few weeks, we’ll be making a big announcement. I think we have a bit of a breakthrough there, and obviously that needs to be followed up with legislation.”

The executive order, signed on March 6, 2025, established the Strategic BTC Reserve and a separate US Digital Asset Stockpile. It directed that forfeited government Bitcoin placed into the reserve “shall not be sold” and called for Treasury and Commerce to develop budget-neutral strategies for acquiring additional Bitcoin without imposing incremental taxpayer costs.

That structure is central to why Witt framed the coming announcement as a step forward, but not the final stage. The administration can move on custody, agency coordination and legal interpretation through executive authority, but a more durable reserve policy would likely require Congress to act.

“Senator Lummis’ Bitcoin Act over in the House, Representative Begich has talked about the ARMA Act that he has put together, so we need to codify it,” Witt said. “But in the meantime, we do believe we’re going to be able to take a big step forward from the executive branch side in the next few weeks.”

The legislative track is also moving. On another panel, Rep. Nick Begich said legislation to establish a US strategic Bitcoin reserve is set to be reintroduced in the next few weeks under a new name: the American Reserves Modernization Act, or ARMA.

Begich said the proposal builds on the Bitcoin Act originally introduced by Sen. Cynthia Lummis in the 118th Congress and reintroduced in the Senate in the current 119th Congress. Begich said his office has been working with Lummis’ team and the House Financial Services Committee on revisions aimed at improving the bill’s path through Congress. Begich and Lummis previously introduced the BITCOIN Act of 2025 in March 2025, describing it as legislation to establish a Strategic BTC Reserve in law.

“And why the renaming? Because it’s so important for people both in Congress and across the nation to understand what we’re actually trying to do,” Begich said. “We’re trying to make sure that Bitcoin is treated like the reserve asset that it is. We want to make sure that we have a place to store our Bitcoin, that that Bitcoin is going to be held for a long period of time, that it’s going to be prevented from being attached, right?”

Begich said the goal is to prevent the reserve from becoming another short-term political instrument. In his description, ARMA would identify where BTC is held across government agencies, place it into responsible custody, and restrict the ability to lend against it or subject it to shifting reserves policy.

At press time, BTC traded at $76,941.

Bitcoin price chart
BTC faces the 20-week EMA, 1-week chart | Source: BTCUSDT on TradingView.com

Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

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Bitcoin loses $77,000, ether, solana slide as Hormuz standoff lifts oil to 3-week high

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Bitcoin’s price is falling on Tuesday after failing to hold above $79,000 three times in eight sessions. The level is now defining the range.

The cryptocurrency traded at $76,923 on Tuesday morning, down 2.4% over 24 hours after climbing to $79,399 on Monday and reversing throughout the day. Ether (ETH) fell 3.7% to $2,290, XRP (XRP) slipped 3.2% to $1.39, solana (SOL) dropped 3.9% to $84.10, and BNB declined 1.8% to $625. Top 10 tokens traded in the red over the past 24 hours, except for TRON (TRX) and .

Brent crude rose 1% to above $109 a barrel, extending its rally to a seventh day after Iran’s interim deal proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz failed to advance over the weekend. The White House said U.S. officials were discussing the latest Iranian proposal but maintained “red lines” on any deal to end the eight-week war.

The MSCI Asia Pacific Index was little changed, with Japanese stocks supported by the Bank of Japan’s 6-3 split decision to keep policy unchanged. The yen strengthened 0.3% to around 159 per dollar.

Two readings of the bitcoin tape are circulating among market analysts.

Mike Novogratz of Galaxy Digital said in a note that U.S. retail investors have returned to the market and the combination of retail demand, institutional capital, and limited supply creates the foundation for further upside. Santiment data shows whales have accumulated more than 40,000 BTC over the past two weeks, and the firm flagged a sharp shift in sentiment from fear to fear of missing out over a short period.

Analysis firm CryptoQuant takes the opposite view. Founder Ki Young-Ju said in an X post that bitcoin’s push above $79,000 was driven primarily by a short squeeze in the derivatives market rather than sustained spot demand, and that large-scale short covering leaves the market vulnerable to a reversal once the squeeze exhausts.

Funding rates on perpetual futures across major exchanges remain negative on a 7-day basis at -0.13% per Coinglass, meaning shorts are still paying longs to hold positions, the pattern that historically precedes both squeezes and the unwinding of squeezes.

The two views are not mutually exclusive. Spot demand from retail and institutions can return at the same time as the rally toward $79,000 was front-loaded by short covering. The test is whether the next attempt at the level brings fresh spot bids or runs out of shorts to squeeze.

Corporate accumulation continues regardless. Strategy bought $3.9 billion of bitcoin in April per Bloomberg, the firm’s largest monthly accumulation in a year.

Japanese company Metaplanet announced a $50 million bond issuance Tuesday to finance new bitcoin purchases, the latest in a series of yen-denominated debt deals the firm has used to build one of the largest corporate bitcoin treasuries outside the U.S.

The week’s catalysts arrive on Wednesday and Thursday.

The Federal Reserve announces its policy decision on Wednesday, with traders pricing in a higher likelihood of a rate cut after the Justice Department closed its probe into Fed Chair Jerome Powell.

Megacap tech earnings from Alphabet, Microsoft, Amazon, and Meta on Wednesday and Apple on Thursday represent roughly a quarter of the S&P 500’s market capitalization.

Either the Fed or a strong earnings beat could be the catalyst to push bitcoin past $80,000. Without one, the rejection from the level starts to define the upper end of the range rather than precede a breakout.

BTC remains under pressure after three Bank of Japan (BoJ) members call for a rate hike

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The Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) monetary policy decision on Tuesday boosted expectations of a hike in borrowing costs by the end of the second quarter. The yen is loving it, while bitcoin remains under pressure.

The central bank kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 0.75% as widely expected. The decision, however, wasn’t unanimous, as three board members wanted to hike rates today itself.

The 6–3 vote split is the largest since Kazuo Ueda became governor of the central bank, indicating that more policymakers are now pushing to raise borrowing costs.

Markets price June rate hike

The central bank also raised its forecast for core inflation to 2.8% for this fiscal year, while revising economic growth projections lower to 0.5% from 1%. The rationale behind the BoJ’s hawkish tilt is largely tied to war-related disruptions in energy flows through the Strait of Hormuz, which have pushed up global energy prices and fed into inflationary pressures across energy-import-dependent economies like Japan.

Traders immediately priced in a 74% chance of a rate hike on June 16. That aligns with the consensus among Bank of Japan watchers, who had widely expected a June hike ahead of the decision, according to Bloomberg News.

Yen jumps: Another carry unwind shock ahead?

The Japanese yen rose, pushing the dollar-yen (USD/JPY) pair down nearly 0.5% to 158.95 (For major currencies, that’s a notable move). Rate hikes, or expectations of them, typically support a country’s currency, in this case, the yen.

The bitcoin-yen pair (BTC/JPY) listed on bitFlyer fell by 0.6% to 12.28 million yen, consistent with the weakness in the dollar-denominated prices, according to data source TradingView.

Trends in the Japanese yen are closely watched, given its long-standing role as a funding currency.

Sustained yen strength is often associated with risk aversion. This is because the Bank of Japan’s prolonged period of ultra-low interest rates over the past decade, including the post-COVID years, encouraged traders to borrow in yen and invest in higher-yielding assets abroad.

As a result, yen strength is often seen as triggering the unwinding of these so-called carry trades. The unwinding of yen-funded positions was widely cited as weighing on global risk assets in August 2024, when bitcoin fell from $65,000 to $50,000 over the course of a week.

It is therefore possible that growing expectations of a potential rate hike in June could renew concerns about another episode of yen carry trade unwind-driven global risk aversion.

That said, the latest available data on market flows from February suggests otherwise. Japan continued increasing its holdings of U.S. Treasury notes, indicating that yen-funded carry trades remain active.

“Japan, the largest foreign holder, raised its stockpile by +$14 billion, to $1.24 trillion, the highest since February 2022. This marks Japan’s 13th monthly purchase of the last 14 months, as Japanese institutions continue chasing higher yields overseas,” the founders of newsletter service LondonCryptoClub said.

“As we have said, there is no “JPY carry unwind” trade. Those who are talking about that don’t understand how Japanese investors operate and you should ignore them,” they added.