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Fed chair nominee Kevin Warsh not necessarily a hawk, says close colleague Stanley Druckenmiller

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The knee-jerk reaction to Donald Trump’s pick of Kevin Warsh to replace Jerome Powell as chairman of the Federal Reserve is that the president made the most hawkish selection among the four reported finalists for the job.

In the wake of last night’s leak that Warsh was to be the choice, risk markets — crypto among them — fell sharply, with bitcoin plunging all the way back to $81,000.

“The branding of Kevin as someone who’s always hawkish is not correct,” Stanley Druckenmiller told the FT on Friday. “I’ve seen him go both ways.”

Druckenmiller — who made billions working alongside George Soros at Quantum Fund and with his own family office, Duquesne Capital Management — is surely in a position to know. Warsh has been a partner at Duquesne since 2011.

The relationship between them has previously been described as close to father-son, with the two speaking and/or texting more than a dozen times per day.

“I could not think of a single other individual on the planet better equipped,” Druckenmiller continued.

Where does Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent fit in?

Druckenmiller also has very close ties to Scott Bessent. It was Druckenmiller who hired Bessent at Quantum Fund more than 30 years ago, where the to-be U.S. Treasury Secretary made his own billions.

“The pair [Bessent and Warsh] embody the way Druckenmiller interprets markets and economic policy,” wrote the FT in a profile roughly one year ago.

“I’m really excited about the partnership between [Warsh] and Bessent,” Druckenmiller said today. “Having an accord between the Treasury secretary and Fed chair is ideal.”

Citi (C) says CLARITY Act momentum builds, but DeFi fight could stall crypto bill

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Citi (C) said the CLARITY Act remains the key catalyst for legitimizing digital assets in the U.S., but progress is slowed by negotiations over its most contentious provisions.

While the Senate Agriculture Committee has advanced its version of the bill, the bank noted the Banking Committee still controls the toughest issues, leaving timelines uncertain.

Lawmakers are expected to keep working even during a potential shutdown, with target dates in the coming months still attainable, though there is a rising risk that talks delay final passage beyond 2026.

“We see the passage of the CLARITY Act as the essential catalyst for advancing/legitimizing digital assets,” analysts led by Peter Christiansen said in the Friday report.

Crypto market structure legislation aims to define who regulates digital assets in the U.S., how tokens are classified and which activities fall under securities or commodities law. The framework is critical to giving crypto firms and investors legal clarity, reducing regulatory overlap and bringing activity back into the country after years of enforcement-driven oversight drove companies abroad.

The bill’s supporters argue that clear rules will unlock institutional adoption, encourage innovation and curb offshore risk, while critics warn that poorly drawn lines could stifle decentralized technologies.

The analysts flagged decentralized finance (DeFi) definitions as the biggest hurdle, with debate focused on defining the point at which decentralized protocols, software and developers become regulated service providers.

An overly restrictive framework could weigh on Web3 development, decentralized exchanges, derivatives, stablecoin yield and layer-2 networks, with any compromise likely to hinge on custody and surveillance rather than pure software neutrality, the analysts said.

The analysts also said they see more scope for compromise on stablecoin rewards, suggesting options such as time-limited yield or alternative incentive structures, even as banks warn of regulatory arbitrage and crypto firms argue rewards are key to adoption. Citi said the issue does not undermine its longer-term view on cross-border and business-to-business stablecoin use.

On tokenized equities, the report said fears of bypassing traditional market infrastructure have driven resistance, but potential workarounds include clearly classifying tokens as securities, keeping distribution within existing rails, using hybrid settlement models or launching an SEC pilot. Such approaches could support innovation without upending the securities value chain, the report added.

Coinbase’s (COIN) decision to end support for U.S. market structure legislation won’t derail the process, investment bank HSBC said in a report earlier this week, suggesting that while the exchanges CEO, Brian Armstrong, prefers no bill over a bad bill, he would probably accept a sensible compromise.

Read more: Coinbase opposition won’t stymie U.S. crypto market structure bill, HSBC says

CoinDesk 20 performance update: index slides 1.9% as all assets trade lower

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Cronos (CRO) fell 4.2% and Aave (AAVE) dropped 3.7%, leading the index lower.

Trump Nominates Kevin Warsh as New Fed Chair

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Warsh is known as having a neutral to positive stance on Bitcoin and crypto.

U.S. president Donald Trump announced via Truth Social his nomination of Kevin Warsh as the next Chair of the Federal Reserve today, Jan. 30.

The decision comes as Trump continues to criticize current Chair Jerome Powell’s monetary policy decisions, particularly his handling of interest rates.

The nomination also comes shortly after the Fed recently decided to leave interest rates unchanged in its latest meeting, as The Defiant reported earlier.

Kevin Warsh, a partner at Duquesne Family Office, served as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors from 2006 to 2011 after being appointed under the George W. Bush administration.

Warsh on Crypto

Known as a longtime critic of loose monetary policy, Warsh has also been skeptical of crypto’s role as money. In a 2018 op-ed for The Wall Street Journal, Warsh wrote that Bitcoin’s price volatility “significantly diminishes its usefulness as a reliable unit of account or an effective means of payment.”

However, in a 2021 interview for CNBC, Warsh admitted that “Bitcoin does make sense as part of a portfolio […].”

This past July, Warsh said in an interview that he doesn’t consider Bitcoin “a substitute to the dollar,” and thus doesn’t see it as a threat to Fed policy.

The news failed to boost the crypto market, which continued to tumble over the past 24 hours. Bitcoin has slipped below $83,000 and is down over 6% on the day, with the total crypto market capitalization losing 5.5% to reach about $2.9 trillion.

Powell’s policy has faced scrutiny from both political figures and market participants, and especially from President Trump, as The Defiant reported earlier. Trump has spent the first year of his second term as president openly and frequently criticizing Powell, including calling him a “very stupid person.”

Powell’s tenure ends in May, and Warsh still needs Senate confirmation before becoming the next Fed Chair.

This article was generated with the assistance of AI workflows.

Bitcoin Bleeds Out: $752M Long Plays Liquidated as Price Dives Into Danger Zone

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Bitcoin’s latest turn left a dent. As of Jan. 30, 2026, at 8:45 a.m. EST, bitcoin trades at $82,564, dragging a $1.64 trillion market cap behind it, with 24-hour trading volume pushing $92.39 billion. Price action on the day ping-ponged within a high-low range of $87,985 to $81,314—tightrope walking a cliff’s edge. Bitcoin Chart Outlook […]

Trump Picks Kevin Warsh as Next Federal Reserve Chair

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US President Donald Trump said Friday he will nominate former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh to succeed Jerome Powell as chair of the US central bank, setting the stage for a high-stakes Senate confirmation battle.

The decision, announced by Trump on his social media platform Truth Social, confirmed Thursday reports that Trump would move ahead with the 55‑year‑old ex–Fed official and Morgan Stanley banker as his preferred candidate.

The president said that he had known Warsh for a long time and had “no doubt” that he would go down as “one of the “GREAT Fed chairmen, maybe the best.”

Prediction markets and Wall Street commentators had increasingly tipped Warsh as Trump’s likely choice, with odds rising sharply ahead of Friday’s announcement. 

Warsh’s record at the Fed

Warsh served on the Federal Reserve Board from 2006 to 2011 and has since been a frequent critic of ultra‑loose monetary policy, calling for a “regime change” at the Fed and questioning its post‑crisis balance sheet expansion.

Trump announces his pick for Fed Chair. Source: Truth Social

Warsh has been noticeably more upbeat on Bitcoin (BTC) than Powell, who repeatedly played down the cryptocurrency’s importance for the United States economy.

Related: Bitcoin investor sentiment cools amid US shutdown fears, Fed policy jitters

In a July discussion hosted by the Hoover Institution, Warsh rejected the notion that Bitcoin would weaken the Fed’s ability to steer the economy, arguing instead that it could act as a form of market discipline.

Market reaction and gold sell‑off

Warsh’s selection comes as traders have already been repricing risk assets, including Bitcoin, around the prospect of a more hawkish Fed chair and the threat of a partial US government shutdown.

Gold advocate and analyst Peter Schiff argued that the “crash” in gold and silver today had “nothing to do with Trump nominating Kevin Warsh to be Fed chair.”

He said that Trump would not have nominated him if he thought he would be a hawk, and, anyway, “even the most hawkish FOMC members are still doves.”

The nomination will require confirmation by the US Senate, where lawmakers are expected to scrutinize Warsh’s past calls for tighter policy and his criticism of the Powell Fed’s approach to regulation and crisis interventions. 

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