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Bitcoin, ether steady, gold falls as US-Iran strikes escalate

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Bitcoin held above $62,000 on Thursday while the assets that are supposed to absorb a war premium moved in opposite directions.

Brent crude climbed 1% to $78.80 a barrel, a third consecutive session of gains, after the U.S. military completed another round of strikes against Iran and both sides raised the prospect of closing the Strait of Hormuz.

Gold extended its slide to a fourth day at around $4,060 an ounce. Government bonds in Japan, Australia and New Zealand fell, extending Wednesday’s global selloff, with two-year Treasury yields pushing toward their 2026 high.

Bitcoin traded at $62,009, down 1.2% over 24 hours and up 1.6% on the week. Ether was at $1,730, also off 1.2% on the day but up 5.7% over seven sessions. Solana was the laggard at $77.25, shedding 1.8% and 1.7% on the week. XRP slipped 0.7% to $1.09, TRON added 4% over seven days, and hyperliquid’s HYPE gained 5.9% on the week despite a 1.2% daily dip.

The escalation reignited inflation concerns and pulled forward rate expectations.

Why traders eye this long-term breakout setup in Ripple-linked token

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• Volume during that move reached 688,000 XRP, about 120% above the session average, before momentum faded.

• Earlier selling took XRP to a session low near $1.0742 after volume rose to 80.2 million, about 83% above the 24-hour average.

Technical Analysis

• The key development is that XRP continues to defend the $1.00-$1.05 support zone, which analysts say aligns with longer-term moving average and trendline support.

• The near-term chart remains weak despite the small bounce. Lower highs at $1.1133, $1.0993 and $1.0932 show sellers are still capping recovery attempts.

• XRP needs to hold above $1.088-$1.091 to build a cleaner move toward $1.093-$1.095.

• The larger setup remains a compression trade rather than a breakout. Monthly wedge and channel patterns may point to higher targets, but confirmation requires a sustained move above nearer resistance first.

• Relative weakness against bitcoin remains a risk, with the XRPBTC pair testing support near 1,700 sats.

What traders should watch

• $1.00-$1.05 remains the key support zone. Losing it would put $0.90 and then $0.80 back in focus.

• $1.088-$1.091 is the immediate resistance area after capping the latest breakout attempt.

• $1.20-$1.25 is the next major zone, where candle resistance and the 100-day moving average sit.

• A move above $1.40 would be the first stronger sign that XRP is breaking out of its broader compression.

SpaceX Nasdaq-100 Entry Brings Bitcoin Exposure To Passive Index Investors

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Today (July 7, 2026) SpaceX formally joins the Nasdaq-100 Index. The inclusion comes just weeks after the company’s public debut and follows its disclosure of 18,712 BTC on the balance sheet. JPMorgan estimates that index rebalancing will drive approximately $4.3 billion in passive inflows from Nasdaq-100-tracking funds and ETFs.

This development is more than headline news. It creates a structural, rules-based channel for institutional capital to gain exposure to Bitcoin through a corporate treasury vehicle, without requiring active allocation decisions, new mandates, or direct cryptocurrency purchases.

For corporate treasury teams, capital allocators, and institutional investors evaluating Bitcoin on balance sheets, the move provides a clear data point on how the strategy can intersect with mainstream equity infrastructure.

The Mechanics of Structural Demand

Passive index funds and ETFs must hold securities in proportion to their index weighting. When a new component is added, these vehicles buy shares mechanically. In SpaceX’s case, the estimated $4.3 billion in inflows represents capital that will flow into the stock regardless of short-term views on Bitcoin or the broader crypto market.

SpaceX’s Bitcoin holdings, disclosed in regulatory filings at approximately $1.2 billion in fair value, now sit within one of the most widely held equity indices globally. This is distinct from direct Bitcoin ETF flows or voluntary corporate purchases. It is demand generated by index rules rather than discretionary conviction.

Combined with Tesla and Strategy, the Nasdaq-100 now contains three companies with material Bitcoin treasuries. While SpaceX’s initial weighting will be modest, the precedent matters: high-growth, high-visibility companies can bring Bitcoin exposure into institutional equity portfolios through existing governance and allocation frameworks.

Strategic Implications for Treasury and Allocation Decisions

Corporate Bitcoin strategies have historically been evaluated on two primary dimensions: balance sheet optionality and long-term value preservation. SpaceX’s inclusion introduces a third dimension, potential for structural equity demand tied to index membership.

For treasury operators, this suggests that Bitcoin holdings, when paired with strong underlying business fundamentals, can contribute to broader market visibility and liquidity. Index inclusion often correlates with increased analyst coverage, improved trading volumes, and easier access to capital markets.

For institutional allocators, the development offers a form of Bitcoin beta that fits within traditional equity sleeves. Many large investors already maintain significant Nasdaq-100 exposure through passive mandates. SpaceX’s addition layers incremental Bitcoin exposure into those portfolios without requiring changes to investment policy statements or new product approvals.

This aligns with patterns observed across the corporate treasury landscape. Public companies now collectively hold more than 1.26 million BTC. The strategy is expanding beyond dedicated Bitcoin-focused entities into diversified operating businesses. SpaceX’s move illustrates how the approach can scale into the core of institutional equity markets.

Hypothetical Case Study: Modeling Indirect Bitcoin Demand

To illustrate the mechanism, consider a simplified hypothetical involving a public company that adopts a Bitcoin treasury strategy and later gains meaningful index attention.

Assumptions (illustrative only):

  • Company market capitalization: $12 billion
  • Bitcoin holdings: 8,000 BTC at $63,000 per BTC = $504 million
  • Bitcoin as a percentage of market cap: ~4.2%
  • The company is added to a major equity index, triggering $800 million in passive inflows over time (scaled-down version of larger index events for clarity)

Step-by-step impact:

  1. Passive funds purchase $800 million of the company’s stock to match index weighting.
  2. Because Bitcoin represents 4.2% of the company’s enterprise value in this example, roughly $33.6 million of the passive inflows can be viewed as indirectly supporting the Bitcoin portion of the balance sheet ($800M × 4.2%).
  3. At current prices, this equates to approximately 533 BTC of effective demand created through equity market mechanics rather than direct cryptocurrency purchases.
  4. If the company’s Bitcoin holdings generate ongoing yield or optionality (through lending, collateralization, or strategic use), the passive capital provides a form of “free” liquidity support to the treasury strategy.

While the numbers are simplified and depend on actual market cap, weighting, and Bitcoin valuation at the time of inclusion, the directional point is clear: index membership can create sustained, non-discretionary buying interest that benefits the Bitcoin component of the balance sheet proportionally.

Treasury teams evaluating this path should model similar scenarios using their own projected holdings, target market capitalization, and relevant index weighting assumptions. The exercise highlights how Bitcoin treasury decisions can interact with traditional equity market dynamics in ways that pure cryptocurrency allocations do not.

Looking Ahead

SpaceX’s Nasdaq-100 entry is one data point in a broader evolution. Corporate Bitcoin adoption is moving from early experimentation toward integration with established financial infrastructure. Passive flows, index rules, custody solutions, and regulatory clarity are all contributing to this shift.

For organizations actively building or evaluating Bitcoin treasury capabilities, developments like this reinforce the importance of treating Bitcoin as a strategic balance sheet asset with multiple potential transmission channels into institutional capital markets.Key questions for treasury and allocation teams to consider:

  • How would index inclusion (or the potential for it) factor into your company’s capital allocation framework?
  • What disclosure and governance standards are becoming necessary as Bitcoin treasuries intersect with passive equity vehicles?
  • For allocators: Does exposure through high-quality corporate treasuries warrant a distinct analytical lens alongside direct Bitcoin or ETF holdings?

The corporate Bitcoin strategy continues to mature. Events that embed Bitcoin exposure within widely tracked equity indices represent one of the more durable forms of institutional adoption currently unfolding.

Disclaimer: This content was prepared on behalf of Bitcoin For Corporations for informational purposes only. It reflects the author’s own analysis and opinion and should not be relied upon as investment advice. Nothing in this article constitutes an offer, invitation, or solicitation to purchase, sell, or subscribe for any security or financial product.

Reserve Bank of India (RBI) still favors crypto prohibition amid tax evasion fears

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Tax authorities, meanwhile, are concerned about widespread underreporting. In the financial year ended March 2023, fewer than a quarter of the 645,000 individuals who transacted in crypto actually declared those gains on their tax returns.

Transactions executed on offshore exchanges and peer-to-peer platforms, especially those denominated in rupees, remain difficult to track, trace and tax.

Indian crypto investors have been operating in a regulatory grey zone since the Supreme Court struck down the RBI’s 2018 ban. It is neither outright illegal nor clearly regulated. A 2021 draft bill to ban private cryptocurrencies was never presented and policy discussions have been repeatedly delayed.

While the government has spoken of balancing innovation with risk management, the latest internal documents suggest key agencies are still not ready to embrace digital assets.

India’s reluctance can partly be explained by its heavy dependence on energy imports and persistent current account deficits. The fragility of this position was recently exposed when tensions with Iran drove oil prices higher, inflating the energy import bill and pushing the rupee to record lows. Authorities are concerned that widespread crypto adoption could accelerate capital outflows, bypassing traditional banking channels and worsening the external deficit.

Elon Musk’s SpaceX moves bitcoin for the first time in six months

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SpaceX (SPCX) apparently moved bitcoin across its wallets early Wednesday for the first time in about six months in three transfers totaling less than $300 of its $1.16 billion holding that don’t signal any impending sales.

Data from Arkham Intelligence shows the largest transfer across addresses tagged as belonging to the company moved 0.00213 BTC, about $135, between two wallets. A second sent 0.00139 BTC, or about $89.

In the third, Coinbase Prime’s custody service topped up a SpaceX address with 0.000738 BTC, around $47, the kind of small amount an exchange sends to cover network fees before a larger transaction can go through.

SpaceX went public on June 12 in the largest IPO on record, and its filing put the company’s full bitcoin position on a public balance sheet for the first time. Small movements can draw attention after a share listing even though none of the coins reached an exchange deposit address and none left SpaceX’s control.

The company still holds 18,712 BTC. Transfers this size are usually routine maintenance: funding a wallet to pay fees, consolidating coins across addresses or testing a signing setup before moving a real balance.

Citadel abandons multi-year crypto lawsuit to focus on bankruptcy order against an ex-employee

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Citadel abandoned its U.S. trade secrets lawsuit against crypto market maker Portofino Technologies, saying it no longer made financial sense to pursue another court victory while struggling to collect a nearly 6 million-pound ($8 million) judgment it already won.

In a filing made on Wednesday in the U.S., Miami-based Citadel jointly agreed with Portofino to dismiss the New York trade secrets case. Also on Wednesday, Citadel asked England’s High Court to declare Portofino founder Leonard Lancia bankrupt over the unpaid arbitration award. The moves underscore that the dispute has shifted from proving liability to collecting money.

Under the U.S. stipulation, each side will bear its own legal fees and costs, and Citadel also dismissed claims against unnamed Doe defendants.

Portofino Technologies is a Swiss crypto-native financial technology firm that provides institutional trading infrastructure for digital asset markets. Founded in 2021 by former Citadel Securities executives, the company specializes in market making, over-the-counter (OTC) trading and treasury management services for exchanges, token issuers, institutional investors and Web3 projects.

A spokesperson for Citadel Securities said “Mr. Lancia repeatedly lied to his colleagues at Citadel Securities and to Portofino’s investors, and we intend to enforce the UK court’s substantial judgment.”

Cantor SPAC And Adam Back’s Bitcoin Treasury Renegotiate Merger Terms, Vow New Structure

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Cantor Equity Partners I (Nasdaq: CEPO), a special purpose acquisition company backed by an affiliate of Cantor Fitzgerald, and BSTR Holdings said today that they will not complete their proposed bitcoin business combination on the terms set in their July 2025 agreement. The parties plan to negotiate a revised structure and amended terms that reflect market conditions.

The companies said the private placements tied to the original deal will not need to close. A shareholder meeting for CEPO, set for July 10, moved to a postponed date with no fixed timeline. Public shares submitted for redemption will return to holders, the note said. 

The announcement marks a reversal for one of the largest bitcoin treasury deals to reach public markets. When the two firms unveiled the merger in July 2025, they framed a plan to take Bitcoin Standard Treasury Company, led by Blockstream co-founder and cryptographer Adam Back, public on Nasdaq under the ticker BSTR. 

The combined entity would launch with 30,021 bitcoin, a stake worth more than $3 billion at the time, and rank among the largest public corporate bitcoin holders.

Adam Back took to X this morning to confirm: “From today’s filing, @bstrco and $CEPO have agreed to work together on and are currently discussing a potential revised structure and amended terms for their previously announced proposed business combination, intended to opportunistically better capitalize on market conditions.” 

Merger targets 50,000-bitcoin treasury

The structure paired Back and Blockstream Capital, who agreed to contribute more than 30,000 bitcoin, with a private investment in public equity of about $1.5 billion. About 5,021 bitcoin came as in-kind contributions rather than cash. 

Backers described the raise as the largest PIPE for a bitcoin treasury, and the company outlined a target of more than 50,000 bitcoin.

The deal drew attention for its ties to Cantor Fitzgerald. Brandon Lutnick, son of U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick, chairs the SPAC sponsor. The Securities and Exchange Commission declared the registration statement effective on June 5, 2026, and CEPO mailed its proxy to shareholders that day.

The path to a vote proved rough. CEPO pushed the shareholder meeting from June 26 to July 2, then to July 10, before the two sides paused the process. The delays tracked a broader slump in the bitcoin treasury model. 

By late 2025, a rising share of treasury firms traded below the value of their bitcoin holdings, a condition analysts measure through mNAV, the ratio of a company’s market value to its crypto.

That gap matters for the treasury playbook. The model depends on a premium: when a stock trades above the worth of its bitcoin, the firm can issue shares to buy more. When the stock slips to a discount, fresh equity raises erode value for existing holders and the growth engine stalls. 

Strategy, the pioneer of the approach, traded at a discount to its holdings, and smaller peers fell to steeper markdowns.

Neither firm detailed the shape of a revised deal. Any new terms would require fresh filings with the SEC to amend the registration statement and proxy. The parties said they expect to share more in due course.

BNB Chain is building a new layer-1 for high-frequency trading and AI agents

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BNB Chain has already lifted performance on BNB Smart Chain. During the first half of 2026, block times fell to 450 milliseconds from 750, while benchmark throughput rose to about 5,200 transactions per second from roughly 2,800.

David Z, BNB Chain’s chief technical officer, told CoinDesk the next phase focuses on execution rather than consensus.

“All smart contracts today need optimization directly at the execution layer,” he said. “The chains got fast at consensus and storage, but the execution engine itself still works like it’s translating sentence by sentence.”

The new network will use execution-layer techniques such as just-in-time compilation, which compiles code as it runs, and strength reduction, which swaps expensive calculations for simpler ones.

The roadmap also reserves blockspace for services such as oracles, liquidations and cross-chain bridges, alongside native privacy, account abstraction, gas sponsorship, transaction batching, scheduled execution and passkey signing.

BNB Chain is separately researching quantum-resistant security. The team said it aims to let users adopt quantum-safe protection without changing wallet addresses or disrupting existing applications, work that remains at the research stage.

Crypto VC Paradigm launches $1.2 billion AI fund as it broadens beyond digital assets

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Paradigm has raised $1.2 billion for a new venture fund focused on artificial intelligence and robotics, according to a blog post Wednesday.

The firm’s third venture fund reflects growing interest in AI and defense technology, though it does not signal an exit from digital assets.

“Crypto was the first frontier for us, and it continues to be a really exciting one, but there’s so much else happening right now that’s pretty hard to ignore,” managing partner Alana Palmedo told Bloomberg.

Paradigm has already deployed capital from the new fund into several companies, including autonomous drone delivery company Zipline International, which was valued at $7.6 billion in January, and space defense startup True Anomaly, which reached a $2.2 billion valuation in April.

Founded in 2018 by Matt Huang and Coinbase co-founder Fred Ehrsam, Paradigm built its reputation as one of crypto’s largest venture investors. The firm launched a $2.5 billion flagship crypto fund in November 2021, then the largest dedicated crypto fund, before raising an $850 million fund for early-stage blockchain startups in 2024.

Bitcoin Slips To $62,000, Paring Rebound As CryptoQuant Sees Room Higher

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Bitcoin traded near $62,000 today, surrendering part of a rebound that had carried it to $64,000 from last week’s bear-market low of $57,700. The pullback holds the price above the $60,000 level that CryptoQuant treats as support, though it trims a recovery of some 11% off the bottom.

The dip came as CryptoQuant’s Weekly Crypto Report, published today and shared with Bitcoin Magazine, argued the backdrop skews toward further gains. Head of Research Julio Moreno framed the bounce as a bear-market recovery rather than a trend reversal, with one central caution: the firm’s Bull Score Index, an aggregate of on-chain, market, and valuation conditions on a 0-to-100 scale, sits at 20, inside the bearish zone at or below 40 and short of the 60 reading tied to a sustainable bull market.

The report’s bullish case rests on seasonality. Across the past decade, July has ranked among Bitcoin’s stronger months, closing higher in most years shown. 

The pattern held in the down-cycles of 2018 and 2022, when Bitcoin gained some 20% and 17% during the month as the broader trend stayed weak. Entering July 2026 off a bear-market low, the report said, that pattern skews near-term risk toward gains.

Bitcoin demand is turning

Demand has turned. The 30-day change in total demand — spot plus perpetual futures — collapsed to some -650,000 BTC in early June, the deepest negative reading since 2022, as Bitcoin fell toward $58,000. 

It has since recovered toward neutral, with speculative futures demand crossing into positive territory and spot selling easing to its slowest pace since mid-May. A return to positive territory, the report said, would confirm a re-igniting demand engine.

U.S. buyers show signs of stabilizing. The Coinbase Premium Index, a proxy for U.S. spot demand, sank below zero in early June as Bitcoin bottomed near $57,000, one of its weakest readings of the year.

The premium remains under zero, though its path has tracked Bitcoin’s climb off the low and points to steadier institutional appetite.

Valuation added a floor. The on-chain trader unrealized profit/loss margin, for coins held one to three months, dropped below -24% in early June, under the -12% threshold the firm treats as undervalued. Readings at such extremes tend to mark local bottoms as short-term holders capitulate, the report said, and the margin has recovered as price bounced off $57,700.

Today’s slip to $62,000 underscores the report’s own hedge. CryptoQuant reads the market as off its lows, with improving internals but a bearish regime intact. 

A durable rally, it concluded, would require the Bull Score Index to climb above 60. Until then, the firm treats the move as a recovery within a bear market, not a reversal — a framing this week’s give-back does little to challenge.