The Bank of England approved HSBC Orion to go live in its Digital Securities Sandbox, with the first Digital Gilt Instrument transaction expected in the first quarter of 2027.
This $28 million ETH bet aims to profit from pure market chaos
It shows that major participants are not just “long-only” or “short-only” speculators; they are increasingly treating volatility as a separate asset class and using complex options Greeks, specifically vega (sensitivity to volatility) and gamma (sensitivity to price acceleration), to extract profit from market turbulence.
Inside the $28 million straddle
Notional value represents the total market value of the underlying asset controlled by the trade, rather than the cash paid to enter it.
The straddle involved the purchase of 15,000 contracts, with each contract representing 1 ETH. The notional value, therefore, is calculated by multiplying 15,000 by the market price of ETH on the day of execution. That amount comes to roughly $28 million.
According to Laevitas, the trader paid a premium of $852,000 to establish this $28 million notional straddle. That premium represents the maximum amount at risk if ether remains range-bound or quiet through the July 24 expiry, leading to a “time-decay” in option value.
Now, turning to the maximum possible gain: it is theoretically unlimited. This stems from the fact that volatility itself has no upper bound, as asset prices can, in principle, move dramatically in either direction.
Caveat
While the prospect of profiting from a move in either direction is enticing, the high cost of entry and the relentless decay of time value serve as a stark warning.
Bitcoin Price Falls Under $63,000 As Data Points To Buyers
Bitcoin price fell below $63,000 on Friday, as a fresh wave of U.S. airstrikes on Iran and a new political dispute between Washington and Beijing pushed investors out of risk assets.
Bitcoin price traded near $62,800, an extension of Thursday’s 1.4% slide from $65,000, according to Bitcoin Magazine Pro data. The token slipped under its 50-day simple moving average, a gauge of near-term momentum that many traders watch.
The bitcoin price retreat tracked a broad decline across global markets. Japan’s Nikkei 225 dropped 4% and entered a correction, a fall of more than 10% from its June 25 peak, as memory-chip maker Kioxia lost 16.1%. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng shed 2%, while the Shanghai Composite fell 3.1% to an 11-month low.
Futures tied to the Nasdaq pointed to a decline of 1.6%, an echo of Thursday’s drop on Wall Street, where chip shares from Nvidia, Micron, Broadcom and Qualcomm came under pressure on fears that the AI rally has run past its earnings.
Bitcoin price, Iran escalations, and uncertainty in Washington
Iran’s semi-official Fars news agency, citing the Hormozgan province governorate, said U.S. airstrikes hit five bridges in the southern province.
A separate missile strike damaged the maritime control tower at Iran’s Chabahar port. WTI crude climbed near $79 a barrel, a rise close to 15% across five sessions, a move that revived concern about inflation and the path of interest rates.
A second front of uncertainty opened in Washington. President Donald Trump declassified intelligence reports that allege Chinese interference in U.S. elections and claimed Beijing obtained 220 million voter records, a threat he cast as a danger to democracy. China’s embassy denied the allegations.
The dispute itself carries little market weight, though traders fear it could strain ties before Trump’s September meeting with Xi Jinping. The Australian dollar, a proxy for China-linked trade, weakened against the greenback.
Bitcoin price market dynamics
Against that backdrop, some analysts argue the sell-off masks a market whose core drivers have changed little. Nicolai Sondergaard, a research analyst at Nansen, said the bitcoin price tape reflects macro data more than a geopolitical hedge.
“The inflation and liquidity channel is doing more work here than the geopolitical hedge narrative,” Sondergaard said. He pointed to the June CPI report released July 14, which showed headline inflation of 3.5% against a 3.8% forecast and a core reading of 2.6% against 2.9%. The dollar index sank to near 100.77, a multi-month low, and the 10-year Treasury yield eased to 4.57%.
The softer print reset Fed expectations. Odds of a rate hike at the July 28-29 meeting fell from above 40% to the low teens, according to CME FedWatch data.
“The FOMC meeting on July 28 to 29 is the actual binary,” Sondergaard said. “If the CPI data holds and the Fed signals a credible pivot path, the conditions for sustained ETF inflows are back in place.”
Onchain flows support his read. Spot bitcoin ETFs drew $510 million across three sessions this month, an end to a $2.73 billion outflow streak, with BlackRock’s IBIT in the lead. Nansen’s data shows large wallets held their ground through the strike.
“Net outflows hit -18.3 BTC in the strike hour, then reverted to a post-shock average of +0.67 BTC per hour, meaning buyers returned within the same session,” Sondergaard said.
Sondergaard framed positioning as constructive rather than fragile. Funding rates sat near zero, a sign that leveraged longs are not crowded, and smart-money long/short ratios ran at 1.58 with no rotation into stablecoins. Retail traders held a ratio of 1.79, a step ahead of the pros but in the same direction. Seven-day inflows concentrated in liquid staking, DeFi lending and decentralized exchanges, a risk-on allocation.
Sondergaard said the sequence rhymes with past shocks. “Prior Middle East escalations produced the same pattern: short-duration flush, accumulation resumes,” he said.
“MVRV sits at 1.205 with realized price at roughly $53,000 and the long-term holder cost basis around $49,900, which defines the structural floor,” Sondergaard said. “That is not the profile of a market running on geopolitical sentiment.”
At the time of writing, the bitcoin price is $62, 836.
MiCA Licensing Slows as ESMA Adds 14 New CASPs to Its Register
European authorities added 14 crypto companies to the Markets in Crypto-Assets (MiCA) framework register in the second post-deadline update, signaling a slower licensing pace after an initial surge.
The European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA) updated its interim MiCA register on Thursday, bringing the total number of licensed crypto-asset service providers (CASPs) to 294.
The new entries include Ripple Payments Europe, the European payments arm of blockchain company Ripple, as well as Portugal-based Bison Bank and Croatia’s state-owned bank, Hrvatska poštanska banka (HPB).
The update follows ESMA’s previous register expansion on July 3, when the regulator added 37 CASPs in the first major post-deadline update after MiCA’s transitional period ended.
Banks deepen MiCA presence
Several newly added companies highlight the continued entry of traditional financial institutions into Europe’s regulated crypto market.
In addition to Bison Bank and HPB, the MiCA register added two cooperative banks from Germany, namely Volksbank Schwarzwald-Donau-Neckar and Raiffeisenbank Auerbach-Freihung.
The update also included Liechtenstein-based Kaiser Partner Privatbank, expanding the presence of private banking groups offering regulated crypto services under MiCA.
Fourteen new CASPs in the MiCA register update on Thursday. Source: ESMA
The register counts dozens of traditional finance institutions, including Spain’s BBVA and CaixaBank, Germany’s Commerzbank, France’s CACEIS Bank and Standard Chartered Luxembourg.
EMT and ART registers remain unchanged
ESMA reported no changes to its registers for electronic money tokens (EMTs), a category of crypto-assets designed to maintain a stable value against a single official currency, or asset-referenced tokens (ARTs), which are linked to multiple assets such as currencies or commodities.
As of the latest update, the EMT register counted 21 unique issuers, while the ART register continued to list no approved issuers.
Related: MiCA licensing only the beginning as crypto custodians face scrutiny
The regulator also added two entities to its non-compliant register following actions by Italy’s securities regulator, the Commissione Nazionale per le Società e la Borsa (CONSOB).
The new additions were Reversal Investment Group and Kortex, bringing the total number of entries on the non-compliant list to 164, including crypto exchange MEXC.
Magazine: Will the crypto lobby’s $189M campaign get CLARITY over the line?
AI frenzy losing steam leaves BTC price less volatile than South Korea’s Kospi: Crypto Daily
For bitcoin supporters, the reality that BTC is steadier than the Kospi is a notable victory. Still, the largest cryptocurrency remains twice as volatile and risky as the S&P 500 index, whose 30-day volatility index (VIX) sits below 20%. Perhaps the true milestone for bitcoin bulls will be the day when the VIX becomes more expensive than the BVIV.
In the meantime, bitcoin’s price remains under pressure, trading below its widely followed 50-day moving average, though there is a glimmer of optimism. According to analytics firm Nansen, the wallets that typically move first and in the largest size during geopolitical flare-ups have not meaningfully shifted into stablecoins.
“This is consistent with prior Middle East flare-ups: Short-term leveraged longs get flushed, and then accumulation resumes,” Nicolai Sondergaard, a research analyst at Nansen, said in an email.
Other market observers are urging a focus on the forthcoming hearings in Washington D.C.
“The Clarity Act faces what could be its final test today, the industry insisting its gets done while the bill snags on Trump conflict of interest provisions and fresh Senate hurdles before the August recess. This is the regulatory clarity the institutional bid has been waiting for,” analysts at Marex said.
Bitcoin faces fresh headwinds as China’s Kimi beats Claude, GPT in coding benchmark
The part that rattles valuations is the license. K3 is open-weight, with the full model due for public release on July 27. Anyone will be able to download it, run it on their own hardware, and pay nobody.
Anthropic released Fable 5 last month, and OpenAI shipped GPT-5.6 a week ago, both closed and metered. The assumption underwriting hundreds of billions of dollars in AI infrastructure spending is that frontier capability stays scarce, expensive and American.
A free Chinese model at the top of a coding leaderboard is a direct argument against that.
Meanwhile, Moonshot’s domestic rivals took it worst, with Z.ai falling about 27% and MiniMax about 16%.
For crypto, the headwinds run through the tape rather than through anything onchain. Bitcoin has spent this entire week taking direction from semiconductors.
Last Friday, it rose 4% on the day South Korea’s Kospi jumped 8% and SK Hynix priced $26.5 billion of American depositary shares. This Friday, it fell because a model release in Beijing made the same trade look expensive.
There is, however, a more concrete exposure underneath.
Bitcoin miners have spent two years repositioning themselves as AI data center landlords, signing long-term leases with model developers on the assumption that demand for training and inference compute keeps rising.
Bitcoin slips to $63,000 as the chip rout goes global
Bitcoin fell to about $63,000 on Friday, down 1.7% over 24 hours and 2.2% on the week, as a deepening selloff in chipmakers dragged risk assets lower, per CoinDesk data. Ether held better at $1,836, still up 2.4% over seven days, while Hyperliquid led the losses at 8% on the day and 12% on the week.
Nasdaq 100 futures dropped 1.8% and S&P 500 contracts fell 0.9% as a semiconductor ETF slid 3% in premarket trading. Taiwanese stocks fell into a technical correction and Asia’s main benchmark hit a two-month low. Europe held up better on lower tech exposure.
The question driving it is the one that has hung over the sector all month. Chipmakers are under scrutiny over whether the hundreds of billions that AI hyperscalers are spending will produce the returns to justify their valuations, and TSMC’s results this week did not settle it.
Crypto is following the same current it has all quarter. This week’s soft inflation print gave bitcoin a lift toward $65,000, but that was a macro trade, and the chip selloff is pulling the other way. The Fed meets July 28 and 29.
Bitcoin (BTC) price falls below $63,00 as AI fatigue, Middle East tensions drag crypto, tech stocks lower
The crypto market fell Friday, with bitcoin recovering from a drop below $63,000 to trade down 1.2% since midnight UTC and ether (ETH) losing 1.74%. Total crypto market capitalization shed 1.86% to sit at $2.16 trillion.
The selloff is not isolated to crypto. Nasdaq 100 index futures dropped 1.91% and S&P 500 futures slipped 0.96%, pointing to macro forces driving the move rather than anything crypto-specific. Japan’s Nikkei 225 index dropped 4%, while South Korea’s Kospi stock exchange was closed for Constitution Day.
In a a classic risk-off rotation, the Dollar Index (DXY) rose to 100.75 while gold advanced 0.61% to climb back above $4,000.
The move to the downside can be attributed to a selloff in tech stocks across North America and Asia, as well as mounting tensions in the Middle East.
“The market is ending the week with two bruises: AI fatigue and Hormuz heat,” said Patrick Munnelly at Tickmill Group. “The semiconductor selloff has gone from profit-taking to position-clearing, dragging Asia toward its worst levels in months.”
Senate Unanimously Votes That Sam Bankman-Fried Should Never Get A Pardon
The Senate passed a resolution on Wednesday stating that Sam Bankman-Fried should “under no circumstances” receive executive clemency, a rebuke of the FTX founder’s request that President Donald Trump commute or pardon his sentence.
The measure, S. Res. 772, cleared by unanimous consent, a procedure that adopts a resolution when no senator objects. It expresses the sense of the Senate that Bankman-Fried should receive neither a pardon nor a commutation, and it affirms the chamber’s commitment to “the rule of law and integrity of the United States financial system.”
The resolution is nonbinding and does not limit the president’s constitutional power to grant clemency.
Senators Cynthia Lummis, a Wyoming Republican, and Ruben Gallego, an Arizona Democrat, sponsored the measure. The two serve as the top Republican and top Democrat on the Senate Banking Committee’s digital assets subcommittee. They introduced the resolution on June 17, days after Bankman-Fried filed a formal pardon application with the Justice Department.
Lummis is the crypto industry’s most committed advocate in Congress and has spent years drafting the legislation the industry seeks. On this measure she has led the push to keep one of the industry’s most infamous figures in prison. “He had his day in court,” Lummis said when she and Gallego introduced the resolution. Gallego’s statement closed with four words: “Keep him locked up.”
The text of the resolution states that Bankman-Fried’s 25-year sentence “reflects the extraordinary scale and deliberateness of his crimes, his lack of remorse, and the catastrophic harm inflicted upon millions of victims.”
Bankman-Frieds’ attempts to get out of jail
Bankman-Fried, 34, filed his petition on June 8. His application seeks a “pardon after completion of sentence,” a form of clemency that would not erase his conviction but would restore civil rights such as voting and jury service and lift barriers to licensing, employment, and housing after he leaves prison.
He is not eligible for release until around 2044.
Trump said in a January interview that he had no intention of pardoning Bankman-Fried. During his second term the president has granted clemency to other figures tied to crypto and to online markets, including Binance founder Changpeng Zhao and Silk Road creator Ross Ulbricht, along with other white-collar offenders.
A jury convicted Bankman-Fried in November 2023 on seven counts tied to the collapse of FTX, a case prosecutors described as one of the largest financial frauds in U.S. history. American customers lost more than $8 billion. A judge sentenced him to 25 years in prison in 2024.
Bankman-Fried ran two companies at the same time. FTX was a crypto exchange, which holds customer money the way a broker does and is not supposed to spend it. Alameda Research was a trading firm he owned.
He moved billions of dollars in FTX customer deposits to Alameda, which used the money for trades, venture investments, political donations, and Bahamian real estate. FTX’s software exempted Alameda from the rules that would have forced it to cover its losses like any other trader.
The arrangement came apart once Alameda’s balance sheet was found and reported that much of what the firm counted as assets was FTT, a token FTX had created and could issue at will. The collateral behind Alameda was, in effect, an asset its sister company had invented. The exchange Binance said within days that it would sell its FTT holdings, and the price of the token dropped.
Customers moved to withdraw their deposits, and FTX could not return the money because it was no longer there. The exchange filed for bankruptcy on Nov. 11, 2022.
CoinDesk was the first to report on FTX’s dubious balance sheets.
Ether falls twice as hard as bitcoin and HYPE drops 10%
Ether (ETH) fell twice as hard as bitcoin on Friday and hyperliquid’s HYPE fell more than five times as hard, as a selloff in Asian semiconductor shares dragged every major cryptocurrency lower.
Ether dropped 4% to $1,850, though it remains up 4% over seven sessions and is the only major still green on the week. HYPE was the worst of them at $60, down 10% on the day and 12% on the week, its steepest stretch since June. Solana slid 2% to $75 and is off 5% for the week.
XRP eased 2% to $1.09, BNB fell 2% to $571, TRON slipped to 32 cents and dogecoin lost 2%. Bitcoin held up best of the group, down 2% to about $63,400 and 1% on the week after failing twice at $65,000.
The selling started in semiconductors. MSCI’s Asia Pacific equities gauge dropped 3%, heading for its lowest close in two months, while Japan’s Nikkei 225 slumped 5% in its worst session since March. Taiwan Semiconductor was on track for its biggest one-day decline since April 2025 and Japan’s Kioxia sank as much as 16%.