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Bitcoin’s price discovery is moving to Chicago

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Bitcoin , once hailed as an anti-establishment asset and antithesis to Wall Street, may now bend to sharp traders from those same floors.

Trading in the leading cryptocurrency is steadily shifting toward CME Group, and the exchange’s move to 24/7 derivatives later this year could cement its role as the dominant venue for institutional crypto risk.

The change removes one of the last advantages held by crypto exchanges: nonstop market access.

“You’ll see more traditional hedge fund managers getting more into the asset class, because they’ll be able to trade it on instruments they know, without having to upgrade their tech or move their signals,” Karl Naim, Chief Commercial Officer at XBTO, told CoinDesk. “Why would they want to take a counterparty risk of an entity they don’t know?”

CME already leads regulated bitcoin futures markets by open interest, and its contracts underpin much of the hedging activity tied to U.S. spot ETFs. Until now, however, trading paused over the weekend, producing the well-known “CME gaps” and leaving institutional investors unable to adjust positions while offshore exchanges continued operating.

Around-the-clock trading removes that constraint. Institutions that once relied solely on exchange-traded funds (ETFs) or avoided weekend exposure will be able to hedge continuously, tightening arbitrage windows between prices for regulated futures and offshore perpetual swaps.

As those gaps disappear, so too does the need for large allocators to maintain exposure on crypto exchanges simply for access. For institutions that prioritize regulatory clarity and established clearinghouses, CME begins to look less like an alternative and more like the default.

Even crypto exchange executives are aware of this. In January, OKX President Hong Fang wrote in a CoinDesk op-ed that crypto derivatives trading could one day rival or even surpass spot volumes on major global exchanges, making U.S. regulated volatility markets an even stronger anchor for bitcoin price discovery worldwide.

Institutions calling the shots

For Naim, the shift reflects a broader evolution in how capital enters bitcoin. What began as a grassroots activism by retail traders chasing BTC as an alternative to Wall Street has flipped upside down, with traditional institutions now calling the shots.

“Today we speak to a lot of the sovereigns, a lot of the institutions. They go for what they know,” he said, describing allocators that first accessed the asset through spot ETFs before considering more complex strategies.

With institutional positioning carrying more weight, bitcoin’s short-term direction increasingly reflects global risk sentiment.

“If [Trump attacks Iran], obviously what we’re going to see is that it’s going to be all risk off,” Naim said, referring to a potential forced regime change in Iran by the U.S. “Gold already started rallying. Equities will go down. Bitcoin will go down.”

In that framework, bitcoin behaves less like a standalone crypto trade and more like a macro instrument, priced alongside equities and commodities rather than apart from them.

Naim acknowledged the irony.

“Bitcoin was all about decentralization,” he said.

But as institutional capital scales and liquidity consolidates within regulated clearinghouses, the infrastructure surrounding the asset is becoming increasingly centralized — because institutional money chases risk assets, not risky platforms.

Crypto.com Moves Closer To Full Bank Status With Conditional US Charter Approval

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Crypto.com has received conditional approval from the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) to establish a national trust bank. The firm said that the approval allows the company to charter Foris Dax National Trust Bank, which will operate under the name Crypto.com National Trust Bank once it secures full authorization. 

Crypto.com Advances Regulated Custody Plans

Kris Marszalek, Co‑Founder and CEO of Crypto.com, described the development as a reflection of the company’s focus on regulatory compliance and customer protection. 

According to Marszalek, achieving full approval would position the firm as a “one‑stop shop” qualified custodian operating under what he characterized as a gold standard of federal supervision.

The company said it intends to provide custody, asset staking across multiple blockchains and digital asset protocols — including its Cronos network — as well as trade settlement services within a regulated framework.

Yet, Crypto.com is not alone in pursuing this regulatory pathway. Over the past year, the OCC has approved national trust charter applications from several major digital asset firms, including Circle’s First National Digital Currency Bank, Ripple National Trust Bank, BitGo Bank & Trust, Fidelity Digital Assets, and Paxos Trust Company. 

More recently, Bridge — a stablecoin infrastructure provider owned by Stripe — said it also secured conditional approval to establish a national trust bank.

If finalized, these charters would allow crypto companies to hold and manage customer assets directly, potentially streamlining payment processing and accelerating settlement times. However, the OCC’s recent approvals have drawn scrutiny from traditional banking groups. 

ABA Urges OCC To Halt Crypto Trust Bank Approvals

The American Bankers Association (ABA) last week called on the OCC to pause further approvals for crypto and stablecoin firms until there is greater clarity surrounding the regulatory framework tied to the GENIUS Act. 

The ABA urged the regulator not to move forward with applications if the full scope of regulatory obligations — including requirements that may arise under future GENIUS Act rulemaking — has not been clearly defined.

In its comments, the association cautioned that uninsured national trust banks focused primarily on digital assets present unresolved safety and soundness concerns. 

Among the issues cited were the segregation of customer assets, potential conflicts of interest, alleged cybersecurity risks, operational resilience, and how such institutions would be handled in the event of failure.

Meanwhile, interest in national trust bank status continues to grow within the digital asset sector. In January, World Liberty Financial (WLFI) said that one of its subsidiaries had filed an application to form a national trust bank centered on stablecoin operations.

Crypto.com
The 1D chart shows CRO’s valuation trending downwards. Source: CROUSDT on TradingView.com

However, at the time of writing, the exchange’s native token, CRO, was trading at $0.074, according to CoinGecko data, registering a 20% loss in the monthly time frame. 

Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com

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Fed Moves to Permanently Drop ‘Reputational Risk’ From Bank Supervision

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In brief

  • The Fed has launched a 60-day comment period to permanently remove “reputational risk” from bank supervision.
  • Lawmakers and crypto advocates say the move curbs informal regulatory pressure on banks serving digital asset firms.
  • Policy experts say legislation is still needed to set clear, durable rules for crypto banking access.

The Federal Reserve has opened a two-month comment period on a proposal to permanently codify the removal of “reputational risk” from its bank supervision rules, the most binding step yet in a sweeping regulatory rollback that crypto advocates say puts Operation Choke Point 2.0 to bed.

The move follows a last year announcement that the term would no longer factor into bank supervision and would instead be replaced with a focus on “material financial risks.”

 “This vague and inherently subjective standard has introduced unnecessary variability into supervisory approaches and diverted focus from core, measurable financial risks such as credit, liquidity, and market risk that most directly affect the safety and soundness of financial institutions,” Vice Chair for Supervision Michelle Bowman said in a statement on Tuesday.

“Discrimination by financial institutions on these bases is unlawful and does not have a role in the Federal Reserve’s supervisory framework,” she added.

Senator Cynthia Lummis (R-WY), who last year displayed the Fed’s “Account Access Implementation Handbook” at a Senate Banking hearing to show how reputational risk was used against crypto firms, said the proposal is long overdue.

“It’s not the Fed’s role to play both judge and jury for banking digital asset companies,” she posted on X. “Glad to see this important step to permanently remove ‘reputation risk’ from Fed policy and put Operation Chokepoint 2.0 to rest so America can become the digital asset capital of the world.”

Sudhakar Lakshmanaraja, founder of Web3 policy body Digital South Trust, told Decrypt the proposal was a necessary corrective, but cautioned that informal pressure alone was never the whole picture. 

“Banks are cautious about crypto not only due to AML compliance and volatility, but because crypto payment rails and stablecoins can challenge core banking economics like deposits and payments,” he said. 

Lakshmanaraja said Congress should “settle this through clear crypto market structure and stablecoin legislation such as the CLARITY Act and the GENIUS Act,” so lawful businesses get predictable banking access rules instead of “discretionary supervisory signals.”

“Basic banking services should not be weaponised against any lawful industry based on institutional interests and informal pressure,” he said.

The comment period announcement lands days after JP Morgan Chase acknowledged for the first time that it closed President Donald Trump’s accounts after the January 6, 2021, attack on the U.S. Capitol, according to a recent AP News report.

Trump is suing JP Morgan for $5 billion over the allegedly politically motivated account closures, as Fox Business’ Charles Gasparino noted multiple banks acted under OCC “reputational risk” pressure.

Last August, Trump signed an executive order directing federal banking regulators to adopt policies preventing “politicized or unlawful debanking,” with the White House stating the administration had “ended Operation Chokepoint 2.0 once and for all.” 

Earlier this month, the FDIC settled a separate FOIA lawsuit brought at Coinbase’s direction, agreeing to pay $188,440 in legal fees after a court found the agency had “violated FOIA” by categorically withholding dozens of crypto “pause letters,” documents that showed banks were pressed to halt or limit crypto activity during the Biden era. 

Under the settlement, the FDIC also pledged to revise FOIA training materials and declared it would no longer maintain a blanket policy of categorically withholding bank supervisory documents.

The Fed’s public comment window closes within 60 days, after which a final rule is expected to be published in the Federal Register.

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Step Finance Shuts Down After $27 Million Hack

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Three Solana-based platforms have announced they are shutting down after a Step Finance hack at the end of January that has been deemed unrecoverable. 

Solana portfolio dashboard and DeFi aggregator Step Finance announced on Monday that it would be winding down operations. The closure also extends to subsidiaries Solana NFT analytics and the ecosystem media outlet SolanaFloor, as well as lending and yield protocol Remora Markets.

“Following the hack at the end of January, we explored every possible path forward, including financing and acquisition opportunities,” it stated, referring to a $27 million security breach of its treasury wallets in January. 

The team said they were “unable to secure a viable outcome,” resulting in the decision to “end all operations effective immediately.” 

The DeFi platform said it is working on a buyback for holders of its native token, STEP, based on a snapshot taken before the incident. There will also be a redemption process for Remora rToken holders, they said. 

Source: Remora Markets

Step suffers $27 million security breach 

Step Finance reported a “breach of security for some of our treasury wallets” on Jan. 31 and asked cybersecurity firms to assist with the investigation. 

Blockchain security firm CertiK reported that 261,854 Solana (SOL), worth roughly $27 million at the time, was unstaked and transferred during the incident.

Related: Solana treasuries sitting on over $1.5B in paper SOL losses

Crypto investor Mike Dudas said he was contacted by Step Finance about participating in a bridge round, but requested a security post-mortem first and received no response. 

Step Finance co-founder George Harrap said on Tuesday that “Some people have reached out on acquiring various businesses, and we will pursue those if serious and have interest, but we are on a time crunch.”

The platform’s native STEP token tanked 96% in the days following the hack. It slumped a further 36% following the announcement of the closure on Monday and is currently trading at $0.00057, according to CoinGecko. 

STEP hit an all-time high of $10.20 in August 2021.

STEP prices have crashed to virtually zero. Source: CoinGecko

Solana DeFi total value locked tanks 50% 

The triple closure is another blow to decentralized finance on Solana, which has seen total on-chain value tank 52% since its September peak. Solana DeFi TVL currently stands at just $6.3 billion, according to DeFiLlama. 

Meanwhile, SOL prices have lost a further 1.8% on the day, falling to $78, according to CoinGecko. The asset is now 74% down from its January 2025 all-time high of $293, hit during the peak of memecoin mania. 

Magazine: Bitcoin may take 7 years to upgrade to post-quantum: BIP-360 co-author