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Bitcoin Closer To Bottoming Than Early Bear Stage: Glassnode

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Bitcoin Closer To Bottoming Than Early Bear Stage: Glassnode

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A new report from Glassnode says Bitcoin could potentially be closer to a bottoming range than the early phase of the bear market.

Bitcoin Supply In Loss Trend Doesn’t Look Similar To An Early Bear Market

In its latest weekly report, on-chain analytics firm Glassnode has discussed how the current bear market structure is looking from the perspective of the Total Supply in Loss. This indicator measures the amount of Bitcoin that’s currently being held at some net unrealized loss on the blockchain.

Here is the chart shared by Glassnode that shows the trend in the 7-day moving average (MA) value of the metric over the last several years:

The 7-day MA value of the metric seems to have shot up in recent months | Source: Glassnode's The Week Onchain - Week 8, 2026

As displayed in the above graph, the Bitcoin Total Supply in Loss approached a value of zero as the cryptocurrency’s price hit a new all-time high (ATH) in October. The market downturn that has followed since then, however, has put a large chunk of the supply into loss, causing a sharp surge in the indicator.

Today, the 7-day average value of the metric is sitting at 9.2 million BTC, which is the highest level since the end of the last bear market. Currently, there are just under 20 million tokens in circulation, so the latest value of the Total Supply in Loss corresponds to nearly half the asset’s supply. “This aligns with prior bear market environments where drawdowns approached the 50% threshold and broad investor cohorts were under pressure,” explained the analytics firm.

From the chart, it’s visible that not only is the current level of the metric similar to past bear markets, its structure in fact resembles that of their latter stages, rather than early phases.

Historically, the higher the Total Supply in Loss has gone, the more probable a market bottom has become. The reason behind the pattern is that as loss concentration increases on the Bitcoin network, selling pressure with the motive of profit-taking starts becoming exhausted. Both the 2018 and 2022 bear markets reached their bottoms alongside tops in the metric.

So far, the 7-day MA Total Supply in Loss hasn’t reached the same highs as during previous cyclical bottoms, but it has certainly come close following the most recent jump in the metric. “In structural terms, the market appears closer to a potential bottoming range than to the initial onset of contraction, even as volatility and fragility persist,” noted Glassnode.

BTC Price

Bitcoin recovered above $69,000 on Wednesday, but its price has seen a small pullback since then as it’s now trading around $67,300.

Bitcoin Price Chart

Looks like the price of the coin has overall moved sideways over the past few days | Source: BTCUSDT on TradingView

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView.com

Editorial Process for bitcoinist is centered on delivering thoroughly researched, accurate, and unbiased content. We uphold strict sourcing standards, and each page undergoes diligent review by our team of top technology experts and seasoned editors. This process ensures the integrity, relevance, and value of our content for our readers.

OKX and Chainalysis to Deploy AI for Proactive Fraud Prevention

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OKX and Chainalysis to Deploy AI for Proactive Fraud Prevention

OKX has adopted Chainalysis Alterya, an artificial intelligence (AI)-powered security solution designed to identify and block fraudulent transfers before funds leave the platform. OKX announced the expansion of its partnership with Chainalysis on February 26, 2026, shifting its security focus from reactive tracing to proactive prevention. By integrating the Alterya fraud prevention layer, OKX can […]

Circle Stock Jumps 40% on Q4 Earnings

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Circle Stock Jumps 40% on Q4 Earnings

The stablecoin company had a strong 2025 and is exploring a token launch for Arc, its new Layer 1 blockchain.

Circle’s stock, CRCL, is up 40% over the last two trading days after the company unveiled its Q4 2025 report, showcasing a 64% increase in revenue and 104% growth in earnings year over year (YoY).

The report sent CRCL rallying from $61 per share to $86.25, as the company also shared an 82% increase in total USDC minted and a 59% increase in what it calls “meaningful wallets,” defined as any onchain wallet holding more than 10 USDC.

Circle Q4 and Full Fiscal Year Report

The stock appears to be pricing in future growth, as the company still posted a net loss of $70 million in 2025, “significantly impacted by $424 million for stock-based compensation.”

The company also touched on its upcoming Layer 1 stablechain, Arc, which launched its testnet in October.

In addition to Arc’s impending mainnet launch, Circle CEO Jeremy Allaire also revealed that Circle is exploring a native token for the Arc blockchain, but did not reveal any further details.

While the earnings report and subsequent rebound offer some relief for shareholders, CRCL is still down 71% from its all-time high of $300, reached shortly after its initial public offering (IPO).

Onramper Expands Global Payments Coverage with Integration to Kraken Via Payward Ramp

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Onramper Expands Global Payments Coverage with Integration to Kraken Via Payward Ramp

Onramper, the world’s leading fiat-to-crypto onramp aggregator, and Kraken, one of the world’s longest-standing, most liquid and secure cryptocurrency platforms, today announced the successful integration of Payward Ramp by Kraken into Onramper’s industry-leading aggregation platform. 

Payward Ramp enables businesses to offer their customers a simple and secure way to instantly buy and sell crypto using familiar payment methods, including cards and local bank transfers. By becoming part of Onramper’s network, Payward Ramp  joins more than 30 onramp providers in expanding its global payments coverage, giving businesses direct access to Kraken’s deep liquidity.

The integration with Payward Ramp enables Onramper partners to deliver crypto access to their customers with minimal engineering lift, reducing the complexity traditionally associated with launching compliant fiat-to-crypto flows. Businesses can add crypto buy and sell functionality quickly, while Payward Ramp handles the underlying compliance, licensing, KYC checks and fraud prevention so partners can focus on delivering the right user experience. 

Payward Ramp supports the 600+ digital assets across 100+ blockchains available on the Kraken platform, with access to card payments methods, Apple Pay and Google Pay across the U.S, EU and UK. It’s supported by Kraken’s secure, regulated infrastructure, which include a series of money transmitter and CASP licenses in key jurisdictions. 

“Payward Ramp  delivers a premium buying experience backed by Kraken, one of the most trusted and robust infrastructures in crypto,” said Thijs Maas, CEO of Onramper. “We’re constantly evaluating the best ramps in the market, and adding Payward Ramp  shortly after launch ensures our partners always have access to the highest-quality onramps with minimal integration effort.” 

For crypto platforms, wallets and fintechs, integrating local payment methods across multiple regions has historically been a complex and resource-intensive process. Onramper’s aggregation technology removes this barrier by unifying global and local onramps within a single API, giving partners instant access to the world’s most comprehensive fiat-to-crypto infrastructure. 

“Payward Ramp was built to leverage Kraken’s leading liquidity in order to provide access to crypto at a global scale,” said Brett McLain, Head of Payward Ramp. “By integrating with Onramper, we’re connecting into a broader ecosystem of wallets, fintech and platforms, making it easier for partners to launch compliant crypto experiences across regions without the complexity of building and maintaining their own onramp stack.”

Payward Ramp is the latest addition to Onramper’s growing aggregation network. In October 2025, Onramper announced it had surpassed 30 aggregated onramps, reinforcing its position as the leading onramp aggregator and enabling partners to connect customers to crypto globally without managing multiple integrations, licenses or payment providers. 

Is Bitcoin Done Or Is This Just The Beginning? Pundit Shares Points To Consider

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Is Bitcoin Done Or Is This Just The Beginning? Pundit Shares Points To Consider

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The Bitcoin price crash from $126,000 to $60,000 has naturally sent most of the market into a panic, and with sentiment still in the red, the probability of the price falling lower remains high. At this time, the focus has now turned to predictions of when Bitcoin will hit a bottom. Over the years, a number of factors have determined when the price has reached its bottom. But taking into account the current climate, crypto analyst BarneyXBT has outlined three different reasons arguing for and against why the Bitcoin bottom might be in.

Reasons Why Bitcoin Price Could Still Be In A Bear Market

In the post shared on X, BarneyXBT gives three things to consider that might show that Bitcoin is still in a bear market. The first reason given to consider Bitcoin being in a bear market is that large investors are still selling their coins. Satoshi-era whales have been recently seen selling, while Vitalik Buterin, founder of Ethereum, has been selling ETH.

Next on the list of reasons points to the current macro climate. With the tariff war still mostly unresolved, interest rates staying the same, and consumer confidence plunging, the analyst says the macro climate is a “mess.”

The last reason given is the fact that retail seems to be completely gone from the market. This is proven by the lack of liquidity currently flowing into the market. In addition to this, there has been no emergence of new narratives, such as was seen with Artificial Intelligence (AI) back in 2024, among others.

The Argument For A Bull Market

On the flip side, the analyst also gives reasons that suggest that Bitcoin could still be in a bull market. One is the fact that sentiment has plunged to levels not seen since the FTX exchange crash. Now, this is important because the sentiment reached a low at this point, and then the market began to recover.

Another reason is that institutions are not going to let their investments be in vain. The likes of BlackRock and Fidelity have poured billions of dollars into their ETF products, and BarneyXBT explained that it is unlikely they spent this much on infrastructure just to walk away.

Lastly, there is the legendary Bitcoin halving cycle. Past performances show that the bull run has always revolved around the Bitcoin halving, which happens once every four years. Thus, it is possible the BTC price could recover as another halving rolls around in 2028.

Bitcoin price chart from Tradingview.com
Bulls reclaim $67,000 after brief dip | Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview.com

Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com

Editorial Process for bitcoinist is centered on delivering thoroughly researched, accurate, and unbiased content. We uphold strict sourcing standards, and each page undergoes diligent review by our team of top technology experts and seasoned editors. This process ensures the integrity, relevance, and value of our content for our readers.

Judge Blocks Binance Bid to Force US Crypto Claims into Arbitration

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Judge Blocks Binance Bid to Force US Crypto Claims into Arbitration

A United States federal judge ruled that Binance cannot force a group of US customers to arbitrate claims over losses on crypto tokens they bought on its global platform before Feb. 20, 2019, keeping a major class action in open court.

The decision on Thursday by District Judge Andrew Carter Jr. in the Southern District of New York held that those claims were not bound by Binance.com’s 2019 arbitration clause because users lacked sufficient notice when the company unilaterally shifted its terms of use away from the 2017 version, which contained no arbitration or class action waiver provisions.

According to the judge, Binance relied on a general change‑of‑terms clause and the posting of updated 2019 terms on its website, and there was no evidence that the exchange provided any individual notice or formally “announced” the new arbitration provision to users.

Carter found that Binance’s “new world” rhetoric about operating in a decentralized manner did not change the basic contract law analysis for internet‑based agreements.

Williams vs. Binance. Source: CourtListener

He concluded that the 2019 arbitration clause could not be applied retroactively to claims that arose before its Feb. 20 effective date, because the contract never clearly said it would cover earlier conduct.

Related: US senator launches probe into Binance over Iran, Russia sanctions claims

Carter also held that a purported US class action waiver embedded in a section heading of the 2019 terms was unenforceable in federal court because the contract never actually sets out the terms of any such waiver and had to be interpreted narrowly against Binance as the drafter.

​​Binance says post‑2019 claims already dismissed

The case, Williams v. Binance, is a proposed class action brought by five US investors from California, Nevada and Texas who claim that Binance and founder Changpeng Zhao (CZ) illegally sold unregistered securities on Binance.com and failed to register as a broker‑dealer.

The case was previously dismissed in 2022 before the Second Circuit revived the investors’ claims in 2024, sending the dispute back to Carter’s court.

In a statement to Cointelegraph, a Binance spokesperson said that “in response to our motion on this issue plaintiffs voluntarily and correctly dismissed all claims that accrued on or after Feb. 20, 2019.” They added that Binance would “vigorously defend the limited claims that remain in this meritless case.”

The remaining claims will now proceed in a federal US court rather than private arbitration in Singapore, as judges, rather than arbitrators, assess whether crypto platforms can rely on unilaterally updated online terms to limit investor lawsuits.