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Analyst Says 3 Possible XRP Price Paths As XRPL Activity Explodes

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Analyst Says 3 Possible XRP Price Paths As XRPL Activity Explodes

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The XRP price is showing signs of a recovery after breaking above the $1.4 resistance that had held it down for weeks. As the cryptocurrency attempts to climb even higher, market analysts remain divided on its next move, outlining three possible price paths. At the same time, the XRP Ledger (XRPL) is surging, with ecosystem usage reaching new levels. This spike in on-chain activity is helping to fuel new optimism and could play a key role in supporting XRP’s upward momentum. 

Analyst Outlines Three Scenarios For The XRP Price

A crypto market analyst known as Bird on X has laid out three potential scenarios for the XRP price as the cryptocurrency traded around $1.52 at the time of the analysis. Despite experiencing a major rebound this week, XRP has given up much of those gains and is now back down to $1.46, reflecting a 4% decline in the last 24 hours, according to CoinMarketCap.

In his 4-hour chart, Bird shows that XRP has been grinding sideways since early February, with the XRP price respecting a descending trendline that has capped each recovery attempt. That trendline, drawn from the January highs near $1.85 to $1.45 in March, has now been decisively broken, with price briefly pushing toward $1.60 before pulling back. 

XRP Price 1
Source: X

Following this reversal, XRP is now testing the upper boundary of a clearly defined range that has held it between roughly $1.15 and $1.55 for weeks. Bird marks this area as a purple rectangular zone on the chart, reflecting a broader accumulation range where bulls and bears have been battling. 

With XRP now at a key inflection point, Bird has outlined three potential pathways currently shaping market sentiment. The first scenario points to a deeper pullback that sweeps recent lows before any meaningful rally materializes. The second path sees XRP climbing to $1.80 before entering another prolonged sideways period lasting months. 

The third and most optimistic scenario suggests that XRP’s corrective phase could be complete, with the cryptocurrency now positioned for a bullish continuation higher without revisiting lower levels. Bird made his preference clear, stating that he hopes XRP takes the third path. 

Supporting the bullish case, the analyst has also pointed to a notable uptick in on-chain activity across the XRP Ledger, alongside fresh news and narratives beginning to circulate about the project. He also flagged the timing around St. Patrick’s Day on March 21 as a possible calendar catalyst that could fuel near-term momentum. 

XRP Ledger Surpasses 7.7 Million Holders

Expanding on the recent surge in the XRP Ledger, data from crypto analytics platform Santiment reveals that XRPL has exceeded 7.7 million holders for the first time since its 13-year history, as network participation continues to accelerate at a notable pace.

XRP Price 2
Source: Santiment

The milestone arrived alongside a sharp surge in daily active addresses. On March 16, active wallets reached 46,767, the highest level since February 12 and representing a five-week peak in network engagement. The activity spike also coincided with the XRP price jumping over 14% within a 48-hour window, pushing the cryptocurrency above $1.60. 

XRP price chart from Tradingview.com
XRP price retraces gains from earlier in the week | Source: XRPUSDT on Tradingview.com

Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com

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Crypto scammer who duped movie star and professional fighter out of over $3m jailed for six years – DL News

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Crypto scammer who duped movie star and professional fighter out of over $3m jailed for six years – DL News

  • Scammer preyed on rich Muscovites.
  • Victims include award-winning actor Pavel Derevyanko.
  • Fraudster has paid much of the money back, court hears.

A businessman who devised crypto schemes to defraud several wealthy Muscovites — including Pavel Derevyanko, one of Russia’s best-loved actors — will spend the next six years in prison.

Moscow’s Presnensky District Court found the man, Grigory Muluzyan, guilty of fraud “on an especially large scale,” the city’s prosecution service reported.

“Victims handed over their money to Muluzyan in cash during personal meetings at his office in Moscow,” prosecutors told the court. “He tricked them into believing they could increase their income by investing in cryptocurrency.”

The sentence highlights the growing threat of crypto-related crime. As the popularity of crypto continues to rise rapidly in Russia, fraudsters are taking advantage of the hype around Bitcoin and other tokens by devising increasingly sophisticated schemes.

‘Guaranteed rewards’

Derevyanko is the star of scores of hit Russian films and drama series. In 2020, he won a Golden Eagle Award for his role in the series “House Arrest.” The Golden Eagles are Russia’s equivalent of the US Academy Awards.

The court heard that Muluzyan ran a range of crypto fraud schemes from December 2021 to January 2023.

He told five high-net worth clients, including Derevyanko, that he was “a crypto investment expert,” prosecutors said.

Muluzyan promised all his clients high returns on their stakes and guaranteed monthly earnings.

The court heard he provided them with false information about his business operations, and said he had access to “unique tools” that helped him ensure all his crypto investments were profitable.

Derevyanko handed the fraudster a total of $3 million after selling his property holdings, Russian media outlet RBC reported.

The other victims were identified as the professional middleweight boxer Alexey Semykin, a leading movie director, and a married couple.

Muluzyan initially paid his victims what he said were “interest payments,” but these quickly dried up, the court heard.

Crime crackdown

Police initially estimated the damages incurred at $4.6 million when they launched a criminal case against Muluzyan in 2023.

By the time of his arrest in 2024, prosecutors explained, he had begun repaying his victims and “partially admitted his guilt.”

However, $1.4 million worth of the embezzled funds remained unaccounted for, the court heard.

Prosecutors have vowed to clamp down on crypto-related crime, with a court in Omsk jailing three people for robbing a Russian citizen of their cash and crypto at knifepoint earlier this month.

Politicians have also warned that some scammers are posing as fundraisers for Russians who want to give humanitarian aid to people in Iran.

Scammers have asked for Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP donations to buy food, blankets, and portable gas heaters.

However, they are actually pocketing the coins they receive, All-Russia People’s Front officials said this month.

Tim Alper is a News Correspondent at DL News. Got a tip? Email him at tdalper@dlnews.com.

Crypto Hack Losses Driven by a Handful of Major Exploits: Immunefi

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Crypto Hack Losses Driven by a Handful of Major Exploits: Immunefi

A new security report from Immunefi finds that crypto hacks continue at a steady pace while losses are becoming more concentrated in a small number of massive exploits.

Analyzing 425 publicly known incidents between 2021 and 2025, the report estimates that the average hack now results in about $25 million in stolen funds. In 2024 and 2025 alone, 191 hacks led to $4.67 billion in losses, with just five incidents accounting for 62% of the total.

Despite representing fewer incidents, centralized exchange breaches drove the majority of losses. Twenty exchange hacks accounted for roughly $2.55 billion, or about 55% of the total, reflecting how large pools of user funds are concentrated behind fewer points of failure.

Token markets also appear to be reacting more harshly to breaches. Across 82 hacked tokens tracked in the study, prices fell a median 61% within six months, with 83.9% remaining below their hack-day price over that period.

“The market has become less forgiving because expectations have changed,” Immunefi CEO Mitchell Amador told Cointelegraph, adding that breaches are now seen as signals of deeper issues in engineering, governance and operational resilience.

Amador said the long-term impact of exploits often extends well beyond the initial loss:

The stolen funds are only the first layer of damage. What follows is often more destructive: sustained token price suppression, reduced treasury capacity, leadership disruption, lost development time, and erosion of user trust.

The report also highlighted how interconnected DeFi systems can amplify the fallout from a single incident, with failures cascading across lending, collateral and liquidity networks.

One example involved the collapse of Elixir’s deUSD stablecoin in November 2025. Elixir had parked roughly 65% of deUSD’s collateral with Stream Finance, which disclosed a $93 million loss from an external fund manager. As Stream’s stablecoin xUSD fell 77%, deUSD’s backing deteriorated, redemptions halted and panic selling hit Curve pools, ultimately pushing deUSD down more than 97%.

Source: Immunefi report

Related: South Korea sells $21.5M in recovered Bitcoin after custody breach

Recent exploits highlight ongoing security risks in crypto

While crypto-related hack losses fell to $26.5 million in February, the lowest monthly total in nearly a year, according to PeckShield, several security incidents have already surfaced in March.

Researchers at Google reported a new exploit kit targeting Apple iPhone users that is designed to steal cryptocurrency wallet seed phrases. The toolkit, known as Coruna, contains multiple exploit chains capable of targeting devices running various versions of Apple’s iOS and has been linked to phishing websites posing as crypto platforms.