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Why Coinbase sees the Clarity Act fuelling its EU crypto growth and reshaping regulation

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  • The Clarity Act will help fuel Coinbase’s EU crypto growth.
  • The landmark legislation will give confidence to the exchange’s institutional customers.
  • It could also help shape reform of the EU’s own crypto regulation.

The US Clarity Act is shaping up to be the most important piece of crypto legislation to date.

But the landmark crypto market structure bill will also have a significant impact across the pond in Europe, according to Côme Prost-Boucle, Coinbase’s expansion manager for the European Economic Area.

That’s because whether the bill passes, and what provisions it contains, will impact investor confidence and fuel efforts to reshape parts of the EU’s own crypto regulations.

“Everyone is looking at the Clarity Act and the Genius Act in the US,” Prost-Boucle told DL News in an interview at EthCC is Cannes. “This is what’s driving most of the market.”

Like in the US, banks and money managers across Europe are piling into crypto following the lead of industry titans like BlackRock and Fidelity. But they need a regulated, safe and clear environment to do so, Prost-Boucle said.

The EU’s Markets in Crypto-Assets regulation, or MiCA, has already gone a long way to provide that.

The Clarity Act, which will define crypto rules in the US for the first time, also impacts European investors, Prost-Boucle said, because it will help set the tone for crypto regulation globally.

Aligning regulation 

How institutions are feeling about crypto is key to Coinbase’s EU growth. In recent years, the exchange’s customer base has shifted.

“The market has been historically driven by retail clients, and now we’re seeing more and more institutions getting into the space,” Prost-Boucle said.

One big ask from Coinbase’s institutional clients — both in the EU and the US — is the ability for stablecoin issuers to provide yield on digital dollars.

Proponents want to offer yield to attract customers, which makes holding stablecoins far more attractive than plain cash or bank deposits.

Coinbase has actively lobbied for a stablecoin yield provision in the Clarity Act since the start of the year, at one point pulling its support after wording in the bill excluded it.

Yet the EU’s MiCA regulations, which Coinbase already works under, do not let stablecoin issuers distribute yield.

Prost-Boucle said it’s beneficial for Coinbase if regulations in the EU and the US were aligned. So, does that mean Coinbase could lobby to change provisions in the EU’s MiCA regulation to let stablecoin issuers provide yield?

Lobby is a big word, Prost-Boucle said.

For starters, the provision would have to make it into the final draft of the Clarity Act, something that’s still far from certain.

“I think that’s correct to assume that by trying to preserve yield in the US this could potentially affect MiCA,” Prost-Boucle said, adding that Coinbase has already engaged in major discussions on MiCA reform with market authorities across the EU.

“If the US is pushing for something, we’re also trying to push for the same thing for MiCA so that we have globally connected regulation,” he said.

Tim Craig is DL News’ Edinburgh-based DeFi Correspondent. Reach out with tips at tim@dlnews.com.

BTC’s next bull run to be driven by banking and digital credit, says Strategy’s Michael Saylor

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Michael Saylor, executive chairman of Strategy (MSTR), believes bitcoin likely bottomed in early February at $60,000.

Speaking at a recent Mizuho event, Saylor reiterated his long-held view that bottoms aren’t necessarily about valuations but are driven by seller exhaustion, analysts Dan Dolev and Alexander Jenkins wrote.

Trend reversals, he added, are driven more by capital structure and liquidity than by investor sentiment.

Saylor now sees limited selling pressure amid growing demand from ETF inflows, which are absorbing daily supply, and companies shifting treasury assets into bitcoin.

Bitcoin and Strategy’s next drivers

As for the catalyst for the next bull market, Saylor believes it will be the formation of banking credit and digital credit on top of bitcoin. This will have bitcoin supporting more lending and credit activity beyond simple buy-and-hold demand.

Digital credit already exists, said Saylor, in the form of Strategy’s STRC preferred stock, whose beefy 11.5% yield remains well below the company’s expectation of BTC’s long-term appreciation. Strategy is “stretching” bitcoin “from a nonyielding asset into a capital markets engine,” he said.

On the recently hotly-debated topic of quantum computing, Saylor said the risks are overblown. The threat, he argued, is theoretical, likely decades away, and even then solvable.

Mizuho retained its outperform rating on Stategy and $320 price target, suggesting about 150% upside from the current $127.

Bitcoin’s Rally To $72K Highlights Improving Market Structure

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Key points:

  • Bitcoin is showing signs of bottoming out, but some analysts believe a final shakeout below $60,000 is still possible over the next few months.

  • Several major altcoins are showing early signs of buying, but the bulls have a lot of work to do before a trend change is signalled.

Bitcoin (BTC) rose above the $72,000 level on Tuesday following the announcement of a ceasefire agreement between the US and Iran. Although the bulls could not achieve a close above $72,000, a positive sign is that the buyers have not ceded much ground to the bears. That suggests the bulls are holding on to their positions as they anticipate the recovery to continue.

Several analysts believe that BTC is showing signs of bottoming out. Crypto trader Quantum Ascend said in a post on X that BTC’s stochastic relative strength index (RSI) indicator is at the “exact same point on the daily as it was in 2022” before the price sprinted higher.

Crypto market data daily view. Source: TradingView

A slightly different view was put forth by Alphractal founder and CEO Joao Wedson, who said in a post on X that the bear trend may be ending but BTC may witness “a sharp move like a –$15K shakeout” over the next six months.

Could BTC and select major altcoins extend their relief rally? Let’s analyze the charts of the top 10 cryptocurrencies to find out.

Bitcoin price prediction

BTC cleared the moving averages and the $72,000 resistance on Tuesday, indicating solid buying by the bulls.

BTC/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Sellers are expected to defend the $72,000 to $76,000 zone with all their might, as a close above it will complete a bullish ascending triangle pattern. If that happens, the BTC/USDT pair may skyrocket to $84,000. 

The first sign of weakness will be a close below the moving averages, suggesting that the bears remain sellers on rallies. A close below the support line will invalidate the positive setup, increasing the risk of a fall to the crucial $62,500 to $60,000 support zone.

Ether price prediction

Ether (ETH) turned up from the 50-day simple moving average ($2,059) on Tuesday and surged above the $2,200 resistance.

ETH/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

The 20-day exponential moving average ($2,110) has started to turn up, and the RSI is in the positive territory, indicating that the path of least resistance is to the upside. There is resistance at the $2,400 level, but if the bulls overcome it, the up move may extend to $2,800.

Time is running out for the bears. They will have to swiftly yank the ETH price below the moving averages to signal a comeback. The ETH/USDT pair may fall to $1,918 and potentially to the $1,750 support.

XRP price prediction

XRP’s (XRP) bounce off the $1.27 level reached the moving averages, which is a crucial resistance to watch out for.

XRP/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

If buyers thrust the XRP/USDT pair above the moving average, it clears the path for a rally to the breakdown level of $1.61 and then to the downtrend line of the descending channel pattern. Sellers will attempt to halt the up move at the downtrend line, as a close above it points to a potential trend change.

On the downside, a close below the $1.27 level signals that the bears remain in control. That increases the risk of a drop to the $1.11 level and eventually to the support line of the descending channel pattern near $1.

BNB price prediction

BNB (BNB) has been consolidating between $570 and $687 for several days, indicating buying near the support and selling close to the resistance.

BNB/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

The flattish moving averages and the RSI near the midpoint suggest that the range-bound action may continue for a few more days. If bulls pierce the moving averages, the BNB/USDT pair may reach the $687 level, where the bears are expected to step in.

The next trending move is expected to begin on a close above the $687 resistance or below the $570 support. If the $687 level is taken out, the pair may soar to $730 and later to $790. On the other hand, a close below $570 may sink the pair to $500.

Solana price prediction

Solana (SOL) is attempting to rise above the moving averages, but the bears have held their ground.

SOL/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

The flattish moving averages and the RSI just below the midpoint do not give a clear advantage either to the bulls or the bears. If the SOL price rises above the moving averages, the next stop may be the $98 level. Buyers will have to secure a close above the $98 resistance to gain the upper hand.

On the downside, a break and close below the $76 support tilts the advantage in favor of the bears. That increases the risk of a drop to $67 and subsequently to $50.

Dogecoin price prediction

Dogecoin (DOGE) rose above the moving averages on Tuesday, but the recovery is facing resistance at the downtrend line.

DOGE/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Sellers will attempt to strengthen their position by pulling the DOGE price below the $0.09 level. If they manage to do that, the DOGE/USDT pair will complete a descending triangle pattern. The pattern target of this bearish setup is $0.06.

On the contrary, a close above the downtrend line invalidates the negative setup. That suggests the bears have given up, opening the gates for a rally to $0.11 and then to the $0.12 level.

Hyperliquid price prediction

Hyperliquid (HYPE) closed above the 20-day EMA ($37.28) on Tuesday, signaling that the correction may be over.

HYPE/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

The bulls will attempt to push the HYPE price to the $41.59 to $43.76 zone, where the sellers are expected to mount a solid defense. If buyers clear the overhead barrier, the HYPE/USDT pair may rally to $50.

This positive view will be negated in the near term if the price turns down and breaks below the 50-day SMA ($34.80). Such a move indicates that higher levels continue to attract sellers. The pair may then tumble to the $29.42 level.

Related: Oil falls, Bitcoin jumps to $72K, but is this BTC price breakout for real?

Cardano price prediction

Buyers pushed Cardano (ADA) to the 50-day SMA ($0.26) on Tuesday, indicating that the bulls are attempting a comeback.

ADA/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

If buyers pierce the 50-day SMA, the ADA/USDT pair may reach the downtrend line of the descending channel pattern. Sellers are expected to fiercely defend the downtrend line as a close above it signals a potential trend change.

Sellers are likely to have other plans. They will attempt to aggressively defend the downtrend line and pull the ADA price below the moving averages. If they do that, the pair may extend its stay inside the channel for a few more days.

Bitcoin Cash price prediction

Buyers are attempting to sustain Bitcoin Cash (BCH) above the breakdown level of $443 but are expected to face significant resistance from the bears.

BCH/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

If the BCH price turns down from the moving averages and breaks below the $420 level, it signals the resumption of the downward move. That may sink the BCH/USDT pair to the $375 level.

The first sign of strength will be a close above the moving averages. That suggests the market has rejected the break below the $443 level. The pair may then rally to the $520 to $540 zone.

Chainlink price prediction

Chainlink (LINK) closed above the moving averages on Tuesday, opening the doors for a rally to the resistance of the $8 to $10 range.

LINK/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Sellers are expected to defend the $10 level, keeping the LINK price inside the range for some more time.

Buyers will have to propel and maintain the price above the $10 resistance to gain the upper hand. That may drive the LINK/USDT pair to $10.94 and thereafter to the $11.61 level. On the downside, a break and close below the $8 level signals an advantage to bears. The pair risks falling to $7.15 and then to the pattern target of $6.