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Bitcoin Trader Records $13M in Unrealized Losses As BTC

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A Bitcoin (BTC) whale is now down about $13 million as BTC price has rebounded by around 40% from its February lows. However, the trader continues to stand by the short position.

Key takeaways:

  • A trader known as “pension-usdt.eth” is short 1,000 BTC worth roughly $81 million using 3x leverage.
  • The BTC short position will be fully liquidated at $100,810, while Kalshi bettors now assign a 50% probability of BTC reaching $100,000 in 2026.

Nearly $81 million risks liquidation if BTC hits $100,000

Known by the moniker ‘pension-usdt.eth,’ the trader is short 1,000 BTC, worth about $81.06 million, with 3x cross leverage, according to data gathered by HypurrScan.IO.

The position, with exposure of over $80.87 million, was opened when BTC was trading for $67,990. As of Tuesday, the cryptocurrency had risen to around $81,000–$82,000, leaving the short position down just shy of $13 million.

BTC and ETH short positions of pension-usdt.eth as of May 12. Source: HypurrScan.IO

The trader also holds a 20,000 Ether (ETH) short worth about $46.1 million, bringing total bearish exposure to more than $127 million.

Funding from both short BTC and ETH positions has added over $125,000, though that is dwarfed by the unrealized loss.

The drawdown is notable because pension-usdt.eth once had 20 straight wins and a win rate above 85%, said data resource Lookonchain in its April post.

Nonetheless, the trader confirmed that he is “still short,” and that “the trade makes sense.”

Source: X

The comments came as Bitcoin showed signs of upside exhaustion near a strong resistance confluence. This resistance level includes the 200-day simple moving average (200-day SMA, blue line) and the upper boundary of a rising wedge pattern, both around $82,430.

BTC/USD daily chart. Source: TradingView

A successful resolution of the wedge pattern will increase Bitcoin’s odds of dropping toward the measured target around $71,500. The trader’s unrealized loss on the 1,000 BTC short would shrink to roughly $3.5 million if that happens.

Analyst Crypto Kid further stressed that a rejection from the 200-day SMA has historically signaled prolonged bear markets.

“The last two times this retest occurred at the same point in Bitcoin’s four-year cycle, we dropped an average of 68%,” he said in a Monday post.

BTC/USD daily chart. Source: TradingView

A similar drawdown from current levels would send the BTC price under $30,000, turning pension-usdt.eth’s trade into a profit of roughly $38 million.

Analysts say Bitcoin’s structure no longer resembles prior bear markets

Some analysts argue that the current Bitcoin setup no longer resembles previous bear-market conditions.

Analyst CRG noted that during the 2022 bear cycle, Bitcoin did not post a single daily close above the Ichimoku cloud. This zone often serves as dynamic resistance in downtrends and support in uptrends.

BTC/USD daily chart. Source: TradingView/CRG

BTC’s eventual breakout above the cloud marked the start of a “new bull market.”

As of May, BTC was already trading comfortably above the daily cloud. For CRG, that weakens the bearish comparison with the last cycle.

BTC/USD daily chart. Source: TradingView/CRG

Pierre Rochard, CEO of The Bitcoin Bond Company, echoed a similar view, arguing that the current bear market has “materially decoupled from past cycles.”

Bitcoin drawdown from all-time highs to cycle lows. Source: Pierre Rochard

In a Tuesday post, Rochard said Bitcoin’s relative strength likely comes from a combination of steady ETF inflows and continued accumulation by Bitcoin treasury companies such as Strategy.

Related: Bitcoin price eyes $96K as institutions absorb 500% of daily BTC supply

On Kalshi, a prediction market platform, bettors now see 50% chance of Bitcoin hitting $100,000 in 2026.

Bitcoin price targets for 2026. Source: Kalshi

Pension-usdt.eth’s $81 million Bitcoin position will be liquidated entirely if the BTC price reaches $100,810.

Ethereum Foundation Launches Clear Signing Standard

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The initiative, anchored by ERC-7730 and a new attestation framework, aims to make human-readable transactions the default across wallets and protocols.

The Ethereum Foundation on Tuesday formally launched Clear Signing, an open standard intended to replace the unreadable hex strings that most wallet users still approve when signing on-chain transactions.

The initiative bundles three components: ERC-7730, a JSON descriptor format that lets contracts describe their functions in plain language; a neutral, mirrorable registry of those descriptors; and ERC-8176, an attestation framework that lets auditors cryptographically vouch for the accuracy of those descriptors. Open developer tooling rounds out the launch.

The Foundation said that blind signing, in which users approve raw hex data without being able to verify what they are authorizing, has fed “billions” in ecosystem losses.

How it Works

When a wallet supports ERC-7730, it reads a contract’s descriptor file alongside the raw calldata and reconstructs the transaction as something a person can actually read. A Uniswap V3 swap, for example, would render as “Send 1,000 USDC, receive minimum 0.42 WETH” rather than a function selector and a list of integers. Descriptors live in an open registry, but wallets independently decide which registry instances they trust, and any party can mirror or self-host.

ERC-8176 layers integrity attestations on top. After a descriptor is merged, auditors can publish signed attestations confirming its accuracy, letting wallets apply their own trust policies and weight descriptors that carry multiple independent reviews.

The Foundation is acting as a neutral steward. Contributors span hardware (Ledger, Trezor, ZKnox), software wallets (MetaMask, WalletConnect), security (Cyfrin), infrastructure (Fireblocks, Zama), and tooling (Sourcify, Argot). The work also ties into the Foundation’s Trillion Dollar Security initiative, a broader push to harden Ethereum infrastructure as on-chain institutional value climbs.

Ledger originated clear signing as an internal security project in 2021, formalized it as ERC-7730 in 2024, and earlier this year transferred governance to the Foundation to make the standard credibly neutral. The April 2026 release of ERC-7730 V2 expanded coverage to cross-chain use cases, software wallets, and confidential-token primitives.

Why it Matters

Blind signing has been a recurring root cause of high-profile crypto losses. February 2025’s $1.5B Bybit exploit and the roughly $235M WazirX breach both involved signers approving transactions whose true intent was not displayed, alongside a steady drip of wallet-drainer phishing attacks that hide malicious approvals behind opaque calldata.

Standardizing descriptors does not eliminate that risk on its own, since coverage depends on developers writing ERC-7730 files for their contracts and wallets choosing to honour them. But it lowers the bar dramatically: any wallet implementing the standard can render transactions for any protocol that has published a descriptor, without bespoke integrations.

This article was written with the assistance of AI workflows. All our stories are curated, edited and fact-checked by a human.

ETH Derivatives and Onchain Data Suggest the Path to $2,600 Remains Open

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Key takeaways:

  • ETH derivatives metrics show professional traders are holding steady and haven’t flipped bearish despite recent DeFi exploits.
  • Ethereum’s 53% Total Value Locked market share and institutional ETF demand continue to provide support near $2,200.

Ether price rally stalls, but ETH futures far from bearish

Ether (ETH) price failed to sustain bullish momentum after peaking near $2,380 on Sunday. Repeated failures to break the $2,400 mark over the past four weeks have gradually drained confidence, suggesting professional ETH traders might be jumping ship despite several derivatives and onchain metrics supporting further upside.

ETH perpetual futures annualized funding rate. Source: Laevitas

The ETH perpetual futures annualized funding rate stood at 5% on Tuesday, slightly below the neutral 6% to 12% range. While not particularly enthusiastic, the metric has distanced itself from the bear-controlled negative funding rates seen last week.

ETH options put-to-call ratio at Deribit, USD. Source: Laevitas

ETH options put (sell) volumes have stayed lower than equivalent call (buy) options at Deribit since May 4. Demand for neutral-to-bearish strategies has been declining for three weeks, so ETH whales and market makers aren’t flipping bearish just yet.

Still, the lack of bullishness in ETH futures could be explained by external factors like high oil prices and inflation fears. The US Consumer Price Index jumped to 3.8% in April, the highest in over three years, due to rising energy costs.

The Bureau of Labor Statistics report also contained bad news for workers, as real average hourly wages dropped 0.5% from the prior month.

DeFi hacks and Ethereum Foundation sales weigh on investor sentiment

Besides worsening macroeconomic conditions, the Ethereum ecosystem has faced internal struggles, including several hacks of decentralized finance (DeFi) protocols. The Kelp DAO rsETH bridge was exploited via LayerZero message spoofing, draining over $290 million from multiple lenders using fake collateral, including market leader Aave.

More recently, the Ekubo protocol lost $1.4 million through EVM v2 swap vulnerabilities, while TrustedVolumes saw a $6.7 million loss due to a protocol logic flaw. These incidents stem from protocol-specific bugs and access control errors rather than flaws in Ethereum itself, EVM security, or layer-2 bridge designs.

Recent ETH sales by the Ethereum Foundation and the subsequent unstaking of $50 million have created discomfort among investors. Sentiment took another hit after an Ethereum ICO participant moved 10,000 ETH to a new wallet. Regardless of the reasoning behind these moves, fear and uncertainty remain elevated as ETH trades 54% below its all-time high.

Related: North Korea ‘industrialized’ crypto theft, laundered billions–CertiK

Blockchain Total Value Locked market share. Source: DefiLlama

Ether’s strength lies in Ethereum’s 53% Total Value Locked (TVL) market share and its lead in decentralized application (DApp) activity when including its layer-2 ecosystem. No competitor matches its institutional appeal, which is clear from the $11.6 billion in Ethereum spot exchange-traded fund (ETF) assets under management.

Ultimately, the lack of bullish leverage demand in ETH futures should not be seen as fading interest from pro traders, so the path toward $2,600 and higher remains open.

AFC Urges Regulatory Clarity and Tailored Oversight in OCC Stablecoin Rulemaking

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The American Fintech Council (AFC), an industry association representing responsible financial technology companies and innovative banks, has formally submitted a comment letter to the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC).

The letter directly responds to the OCC’s Notice of Proposed Rulemaking to implement the Guiding and Establishing National Innovation for U.S. Stablecoins Act, widely known as the GENIUS Act. In its submission, the AFC strongly advocates for a foundational federal framework that bolsters the integrity of the U.S. financial system while preserving the necessary capacity for market participation and technological innovation.

Tailoring rules to issuer risk profiles
Phil Goldfeder, chief executive officer of the American Fintech Council

A central theme of the AFC’s letter is the necessity of calibrating regulatory expectations to match the size, complexity, and specific risk profile of the issuing entity. The council emphasized that the resulting regulatory framework must remain distinctly risk-based. By avoiding duplicative regulatory requirements, the OCC can prevent policies that might inadvertently inhibit market entry and stifle competition among digital asset innovators.

Phil Goldfeder, chief executive officer of the American Fintech Council, highlighted the historic nature of the legislation and the critical importance of its proper implementation. Goldfeder stated that the GENIUS Act represents a major milestone in operationalizing a framework for payment stablecoins, which will ultimately enhance payment efficiency and reinforce the global competitiveness of U.S. financial infrastructure. He expressed appreciation for the OCC’s thoughtful engagement in establishing a durable regulatory regime, reiterating that the rules must be carefully tailored to the unique operational profiles of individual stablecoin issuers.

Reserves, redemption, and federal clarity

To build a durable and trusted digital asset market, the AFC expressed strong support for a strict reserve and redemption framework grounded entirely in high-quality, highly liquid assets. The association stressed that these underlying assets must be capable of being converted to cash on a timely basis to ensure that redemptions can be consistently fulfilled at par on demand. Furthermore, the council advocated for a clear, unambiguous delineation between federal and state regulatory authorities to reduce market fragmentation and provide necessary operational certainty for all participants.

Ian P. Moloney, chief policy officer at the AFC, noted that a durable regulatory framework for payment stablecoins must be grounded in a clear understanding of the underlying risks associated with issuance, redemption, and operational infrastructure. Moloney explained that the AFC’s recommendations support a highly practical approach aligned with existing supervisory regimes, allowing regulators to focus on safety, soundness, and consumer protection outcomes while continuing to accommodate rapidly evolving technologies.

Addressing operational logistics, the letter highlighted specific recommendations regarding custody requirements, concentration risk, and reporting obligations. Notably, the AFC suggested that the OCC should permit subsidiaries of insured depository institutions to maintain their stablecoin reserve assets directly within Federal Reserve master accounts or designated subaccounts. According to the council, this structural allowance would significantly promote consistency and safety across the ecosystem while heavily reducing the operational burdens placed on compliant issuers.

What’s Really At Stake In The Market Structure Debate: The BRCA

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If you’ve been following the headlines lately, you could easily be forgiven for thinking that the fight over stablecoin yields is the only sticking point holding the United States back from the crypto industry’s long awaited comprehensive market structure legislation. But sadly, you’d be wrong.

For months now, the headlines have fixated on a genuine but ultimately tractable disagreement: whether crypto platforms should be allowed to share yield from their Treasury bill reserves with stablecoin holders, or whether that practice should be restricted to protect traditional banks from competition for consumer deposits. It’s a real fight. The American Bankers Association has mobilized their entire lobbying arsenal against it. Coinbase has made it a red line. Senate negotiators have spent months trying to thread the needle. And they’ll probably figure it out eventually.

But while bank lobbyists and the media obsess over who exactly will get the privilege of pocketing stablecoin interest, Congress is getting dangerously close to gutting the single provision that will determine whether market structure actually delivers on its promise — or ends up crippling the very industry it claims to support. That provision – Section 604 of the current Senate draft – has to do with developer protections and whether those who write non-custodial software can be held liable by the USG as bona-fide money transmitters. Whether this section survives the Senate negotiation process intact will determine the fate of the entire bill.

This provision isn’t a technical footnote. It’s not some abstract philosophical debate. It is the load-bearing wall that supports the entire policy objective of this bill. And right now, it’s cracking.

The BRCA Is the Whole Ballgame

The Blockchain Regulatory Certainty Act, or BRCA, is a narrowly tailored provision with bipartisan origins. Introduced by Senators Cynthia Lummis (R-Wyoming) and Ron Wyden (D-Oregon), it does one essential thing: it clarifies that software developers and infrastructure providers who do not custody or control user funds are not money transmitters under federal law. That’s it. It doesn’t weaken anti-money laundering statutes. It doesn’t shield bad actors. It simply draws a line that should have been obvious from the start — that writing code is not the same as transmitting money.

Without the BRCA, developers of non-custodial software — the people who build the wallets, the protocols, and the decentralized applications that millions of Americans already use — face potential criminal liability under Section 1960 of the federal criminal code. Not civil penalties. Not regulatory fines. Criminal prosecution for the mere act of publishing software. 

This is not a hypothetical. We’ve already seen what “regulation by prosecution” looks like. In 2025, the developers behind Tornado Cash and Samourai Wallet were criminally prosecuted — not for personally laundering money, not for actively conspiring with criminals, but for simply writing and publishing code that other people used in ways the government didn’t like. Keonne Rodriguez and William Lonergan Hill are now locked up serving federal sentences following their respective convictions in what often looked like a show trial. Roman Storm is being re-prosecuted and faces over a century in prison. And all this despite standing DOJ guidance to the contrary, a Treasury department which acknowledges the valid need for privacy/mixers, and an administration that claims to be “the most crypto-friendly” in history. No matter what shade of lipstick you want to put on it, the message from federal prosecutors is unmistakable: if you build non-custodial software in the United States, you do so at your own peril.

If the Senate CLARITY Act passes without robust BRCA protections, that message becomes the law of the land. And the rational response from every developer, every startup, and every venture-backed crypto firm in America will be the same: leave.

This is not an exaggeration. It is an economic certainty. No founder with competent legal counsel will accept a regulatory framework where writing open-source code can land you in a federal penitentiary based on which way the wind is blowing in Washington D.C. Instead they will incorporate in Singapore, in Switzerland, in the UAE — in any jurisdiction that doesn’t treat software engineers like unlicensed money transmitters. A CLARITY Act without strong BRCA developer protections, won’t just fail to bring clarity. It will accelerate the very capital flight that Congress claims to be trying to prevent.

Congress Could Kill the Agentic Economy in Its Crib

The developer exodus would be catastrophic enough on its own. But the timing here couldn’t be worse because Congress could very well end up strangling a nascent technological revolution that has the potential to generate material GDP growth for decades to come: the agentic economy.

Autonomous AI agents — software systems that can negotiate, transact, and execute tasks on behalf of users without the need for human intervention — are emerging as the next great computing paradigm. NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang projected a $1 trillion agentic AI opportunity at GTC 2026. OpenAI is building models purpose-designed for multi-agent architectures. Institutional capital is flooding in. And the infrastructure these agents need to operate at scale — micropayments, 24/7 settlement, programmable wallets, cryptographic verification — is all built using blockchains.

This is not a crypto-native fever dream. It is the consensus view of the world’s largest technology companies and investors. AI agents need permissionless, always-on financial rails. Traditional payment systems, with their batch settlements, minimum transaction fees, and business-hour limitations, cannot support an economy where machines transact with machines thousands of times per second. Blockchains can. And the developers building that nascent infrastructure are the same developers the CLARITY Act threatens to criminalize and drive offshore.

We’ve been here before. In the late 1990s, Congress faced a similar inflection point with the early internet. Lawmakers could have imposed heavy-handed regulations on the nascent web — requiring licenses for website operators, imposing liability on platform developers for user-generated content, taxing digital transactions before the market had a chance to mature. They chose restraint. That decision — deliberate, bipartisan, and far-sighted — enabled the creation of the most extraordinary engine of economic value in modern history. Google, Amazon, Apple, Meta, Microsoft, NVIDIA, Tesla — trillions of dollars in publicly traded equity, millions of American jobs, and an entire generation of global technological leadership — all trace their origins to a Congress that understood that overzealous regulation kills innovation.

The agentic economy is the internet boom of the 2020s. The question is whether this Congress will show the same wisdom — or whether it will over-legislate a transformative technology in its infancy, ceding what should be a new generation of American economic dominance to competing jurisdictions that won’t make the same mistake.

An Affront to the Toolmaker Principle

Even if we set aside the economic catastrophe sure to follow in the wake of any official criminalization of crypto/AI software development, the government’s current approach to developer liability – which would become permanently anchored by a CLARITY Act without strong BRCA protections – represents something more fundamental: a violation of the basic principles of American law.

We do not prosecute automobile executives as accessories to bank robberies because the getaway driver used a Ford. We do not charge Google engineers with conspiracy because criminals coordinated an attack over Gmail. We do not indict Microsoft engineers for money laundering because a cartel tracked its finances using Excel. In every other domain of American commerce, we recognize a foundational legal principle: the maker of a tool is not liable for its misuse.

Crypto developers are the only class of toolmakers in the American economy being singled out for this retributive treatment. And the tool they are building — non-custodial, open-source software that empowers individuals to transact without intermediaries — is arguably more aligned with American values of individual liberty, financial privacy, and free enterprise than any technology since the printing press.

This is not a partisan observation. The BRCA was co-introduced by a Republican and a Democrat. It passed in the House of Representatives with a 70% margin. The principle it embodies — that publishing code is not a crime — should be as uncontroversial as the principle that publishing a newspaper is not a crime. Yet here we are, watching a Congress that promised to make America the crypto capital of the world negotiate away the one provision that would actually make that possible.

What Congress Needs to Hear

Making America the crypto capital of the world was a central promise of the current administration and the congressional majority that rode into office alongside it. Voters heard that promise. The industry heard it. The world heard it. The CLARITY Act, without bulletproof developer protections, would fall catastrophically short of delivering on that promise.

The fight over stablecoin yields will get resolved. Nobody wants to see the digital yuan win because bank lobbyists needed the gravy train to keep running through Wall Street. The regulatory competition between the SEC and the CFTC will get resolved. A new Howey framework will be developed. These are all important details, but ultimately they are just that – implementation details. The existential question — the one that determines whether there will even be an American crypto industry left to regulate by 2030 — is whether Congress will protect the developers who build this technology from criminal prosecution for the act of writing code.

The BRCA must be included in any market structure bill. It must be included with teeth. And it must not be diluted, carved out, or traded away in backroom negotiations over provisions that, however important, are not the difference between an industry that thrives in America and one that packs its bags for Hong Kong or Singapore.

Congress has a very narrow window of opportunity left. The midterm elections in November look poised to be a political earthquake. The legislative timer in Washington D.C. is rapidly running out of sand. A generational opportunity for the United States to assert its continued leadership in the new multi-polar world order is disappearing. The time to get this right is now — not because the crypto lobby is demanding it, but because the principles of American innovation, equal treatment under the law, and our continued economic and technological leadership of the world demand it.

The question is not whether the United States will have a market structure bill. The question is whether that bill will be worth the paper it’s printed on.

This is a guest post by Kyle Olney. Opinions expressed are entirely their own and do not necessarily reflect those of BTC Inc or Bitcoin Magazine.

Can Bitcoin Bulls Shake Off a New US CPI Inflation Spike?

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Bitcoin (BTC) saw classic volatility ahead of Tuesday’s Wall Street open as a key US inflation gauge hit its highest levels in three years.

Key points:

  • US CPI inflation reaches its highest year-on-year levels since 2023.
  • Energy prices fuel the rise, with the US-Iran war continuing to make its presence felt.
  • Bitcoin traders retain support levels while a 200-day trend line comes in as resistance.

Bitcoin price on edge as CPI beats multiyear records

Data from TradingView showed BTC price action circling $81,000 as risk assets saw fresh headwinds.

BTC/USD one-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

These came in the form of the April US Consumer Price Index (CPI), which at 3.8% year-on-year put inflation at its highest since 2023.

“The index for energy rose 3.8 percent in April, accounting for over forty percent of the monthly all items increase,” an official news release from the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) noted.

The 12-month increase in energy was almost 18%, continuing to show the impact of the US-Iran war and oil-supply squeeze on prices.

“Conversely, the indexes for new vehicles, communication, and medical care were among the major indexes that decreased in April,” the release added.

US CPI 12-month % change. Source: BLS

Reacting, trading resource The Kobeissi Letter observed that the odds of the Federal Reserve pivoting to interest-rate hikes were “surging.”

“We are now experiencing post-pandemic inflation levels amid surging oil prices,” it wrote in a post on X.

Fed target rate probabilities (screenshot). Source: CME Group

The latest data from CME Group’s FedWatch Tool showed expectations anchored around current rates staying in place throughout 2026 and next year.

Crypto and risk assets tend to see downside pressure when rate hikes return, thanks to the implied lower liquidity entering the market.

Questions over Bitcoin’s “momentum” at the 200-day trend line

Bitcoin traders, meanwhile, reiterated lines in the sand that bulls should protect in the short term.

Related: BTC price target becomes $85K next: Five things to know in Bitcoin this week

“The 21-MA is a crucial level to look at,” crypto trader and analyst Michaël van de Poppe told X followers on the day, referring to the 21-day simple moving average (SMA) at $78,800. 

“The $76K area is a crucial support zone that I fancy not to be breached, if that happens, we’ll be going substantially lower.”

BTC/USDT one-day chart. Source: Michaël van de Poppe/X

Trading resource Material Indicators flagged problematic resistance in the form of the 200-day SMA near $82,600.

“Bulls appear to be attempting to establish an R/S Flip at $80.7k to build foundational support for another run at breaking the 200-Day SMA,” it summarized

“Do bulls have the momentum to succeed?”

BTC/USD one-day chart. Source: Material Indicators/X

Bitcoin Clings To $80K As Altcoins Drag Market Lower

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Solana, Cardano and Hyperliquid led the day’s losses as risk appetite cooled across digital assets.

Bitcoin slipped toward the $80,000 level on Tuesday as broader crypto markets retreated alongside Wall Street, with the total digital asset capitalization falling 1.6% to roughly $2.76 trillion over the past 24 hours.

The leading cryptocurrency was changing hands at $80,262 at press time, down 1.7% on the day and 1.3% lower on the week, according to CoinGecko. Ether fared worse, sliding 2.8% to $2,265 and extending its weekly decline to 4.7%.

ETH Chart

Altcoins Lead Losses

Most of the Top 20 tokens traded in the red. Solana dropped 3.7% to $94, although it remains 10% higher over the past week. Cardano slid 4.2%, while Hyperliquid’s HYPE token shed 3.5% to $40.32 and is down 8.5% on the week.

XRP fell 3.5% to $1.43, BNB lost 1.1% to $653, and Dogecoin gave up 2.4%.

Hot CPI Rattles Risk Assets

US consumer prices rose 0.6% in April and 3.8% from a year earlier, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, marking the highest annual headline reading since May 2023 and coming in a touch above the 3.7% Dow Jones estimate. Core CPI, which strips out food and energy, climbed 0.4% on the month and 2.8% annually, also topping forecasts.

Energy prices jumped 3.8% in April, accounting for more than 40% of the headline gain, with the gasoline index up 28.4% over the past 12 months amid the closure of the Strait of Hormuz. Shelter costs reaccelerated 0.6%, while real average hourly wages slipped into negative territory year-on-year for the first time since April 2023.

Traders responded by trimming rate-cut bets further. CME Group’s FedWatch tool now shows a roughly 30% probability of a Fed rate hike by December, while a June hold is fully priced in.

Equity markets sold off in tandem. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite was down about 1.5% in afternoon trading, the S&P 500 shed 0.6%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average traded close to flat, with both the Nasdaq and S&P 500 retreating from Monday’s record closing highs. WTI crude pushed back above $100 a barrel after President Donald Trump rejected Tehran’s latest peace offer and described the ceasefire as on “massive life support.”

ETF Flows

US-listed spot Bitcoin ETFs broke a two-day losing streak on Monday, attracting $27.29 million in net inflows after registering $145.65 million and $277.50 million of redemptions on Friday and Thursday, respectively, according to SoSoValue. The 11 products now hold roughly $109.08 billion in net assets, equivalent to about 6.78% of Bitcoin’s market value.

Spot Ether ETFs moved in the opposite direction, recording $16.89 million in net outflows. The nine US-listed products manage $13.85 billion in total assets and have drawn $12.07 billion in cumulative inflows since their July 2024 launch.

Nscale Gets $790M in Financing for Norway AI Buildout

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The London-based vendor has secured another multi-million-dollar financing round for the ongoing development of its AI data center in Narvik, Norway.

The financing was committed by Dutch bank ABN Amro, Norwegian bank DNB, Norwegian credit agency Eksfin, and Nordic financial services groups Nordea and SEB.

Nscale also said it has an agreement in place to provide another $790 million in accordion financing for a further 115-megawatt expansion at the center, on top of the 230 megawatts originally planned.

This would essentially mean further financing without the need to renegotiate terms, subject to the lenders’ agreement.

The Narvik project, situated in the north of Norway within the Arctic Circle, is the country’s largest AI infrastructure investment and was originally earmarked for OpenAI’s Stargate initiative.

But instead, in April, the U.K. vendor forged an expanded deal with Microsoft for an additional 30,000 Nvidia Rubin GPUs at the site. This complemented an existing arrangement, from 2025, for the tech giant to use 52,000 Nvidia GB300 GPUs at the plant.

Related:Startup That Aims to Widen Access to Compute Draws $1.3B

Even in an AI infrastructure landscape where company valuations have soared to dazzling levels, Nscale’s rise to prominence has been remarkable.

The GPU-as-a-service vendor was only incorporated in the U.K. in 2024, having been spun out of an Australian bitcoin mining firm, but in March this year completed a Series C funding round of $2 billion at a valuation of $14.6 billion.

 Alongside Narvik, Nscale is developing data centers at a number of sites worldwide, including Texas, Essex, the U.K., Portugal and Iceland.

Will It Trigger a Price Rally?

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XRP (XRP) price is down 3.2% in the past 24 hours and 6% below its recent high of $1.50 to trade at $1.42 on Tuesday. Despite this pullback, analysts say XRP is still positioned for further gains backed by several market and technical factors.

Key takeaways:

  • Spot XRP ETFs logged $25.8 million in inflows on Monday, driving cumulative net inflows to a record $1.35 billion.
  • Analysts say XRP price shows potential for a sustained rally, with charts targeting as high as $10. 

XRP ETF demand makes a comeback

Institutional demand for XRP investment products has been strengthening, according to data from CoinShares.

XRP exchange-traded products (ETPs) posted inflows totaling $40 million during the week ending May 8. These investment products have now recorded $191 million in net inflows so far in 2026, bringing the total assets under management (AUM) to $2.5 billion.

Related: XRP price copies 2025 chart fractal that last time sparked 66% gains

CoinShares head of research James Butterfill said this was a “notable acceleration” in inflows supported by developments around the US CLARITY Act, referring to a final compromise proposal regarding stablecoin yields released on May 1.

Crypto funds net flows data. Source: CoinShares

Meanwhile, flows into spot XRP exchange-traded funds (ETFs) continue, with over $25 million on Monday, marking five consecutive days of net inflows, and the largest since Jan. 5.

Spot XRP ETF flows data. Source: SoSoValue

This streak has pushed the AUM to 1.18 billion and cumulative net inflows to an all-time high of $1.35 billion.

Cumulative net inflows into spot XRP ETFs. Source: bluroo.ai 

This indicates an increased institutional appetite for XRP products, which could positively impact the price.

“XRP ETFs just recorded their biggest daily inflow” in over four months, crypto analyst Xaif Crypto said in a Tuesday post on X, adding:

“Institutional money is accelerating into XRP at a pace the market is still underestimating.”

Fellow analyst CW8900 said XRP’s 90-day spot taker cumulative volume delta (CVD) has flipped green, suggesting that “upward pressure in the spot market is increasing.”

XRP spot taker CVD. Source: CryptoQuant. Source: X/CW8900

As Cointelegraph reported, XRP social media sentiment recently increased to two-year highs, improving XRP’s chances of a sustained price recovery.

Traders say XRP is “preparing for another rally”

Data from TradingView shows XRP/USD is up 5% so far in May, with its futures open interest (OI) rising 23% over the same period, per data from CoinGlass.

“The upward momentum of $XRP is growing,” CW8900 said in response XRP’s growing OI, adding:

“It is preparing for another rally.”

In a Tuesday post on X, analyst Bird said “XRP will rally next” after the price broke above a multi-month support line on the daily chart. 

XRP/USD daily chart. Source: X/Bird

Analyst ChartNerd argues that XRP’s bounce off a multi-month ascending support line sets “the stage for a breakout” toward $1.80, reinforced by a golden cross on the weekly MACD.

CryptoPatel sets a more ambitious target, saying that the XRP/USD pair could repeat the Q4 2024 rally on “the road to $10” after breaking out of the $1-$1.30 accumulation range. 

BTC/USD two-week chart. Source: Crypto Patel

As Cointelegraph reported, multiple technical indicators suggested that an XRP price breakout may be underway, pointing to a possible rally to as high as $12.

BoE’s Bailey sees a Potential ‘Wrestle’ With US Over Stablecoins

Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey said international regulators will have to “wrestle” with the US over global rules for stablecoins, which are largely denominated in and backed by US dollars.

“If ​we want stablecoins to be part of the architecture of payments globally […] they’re ‌only ⁠going to work if we have international standards,” Bailey said at a conference on Friday, according to Reuters. 

“Frankly, that, I think, is going to be a coming wrestle with the [US] administration,” he added.

US President Donald Trump has the goal of attracting the crypto industry to the US and has promoted the use of stablecoins through the GENIUS Act, which gave a regulatory framework to stablecoin issuers.

Other regulators are looking into greater oversight and control of stablecoins compared to the US, seeing them as a lighter-regulated alternative to the banking system that could impose systemic risks.

The stablecoin market is currently valued at more than $317 billion, according to CoinGecko, with the largest stablecoins by market capitalization dominated by tokens pegged to the US dollar, most of which use US Treasury bills and US dollars as backing assets.

Bailey, who chairs the Financial Stability Board, an international body that aims to coordinate regulation, said he sees stablecoins as a potential threat to financial stability.

Andrew Bailey at a press conference in February after a meeting of the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee on interest rates. Source: YouTube

Bailey added that he was concerned some stablecoins could not be readily converted to cash without the use of a crypto exchange, which could limit their convertibility in changing market conditions.

He said if stablecoins are widely used for cross-border payments, then the US dollar tokens that are hard to convert could flow to other countries, like the UK, which is planning to have strong laws around converting stablecoins.

“We know ​what would happen if there was a run on a stablecoin; they’d all turn ​up here,” Bailey said.

Related: US Senator questions Mark Zuckerberg on Meta’s stablecoin plans

US banking groups have raised similar concerns about stablecoins with Congress and have pushed for a Senate crypto market structure bill to include a ban on third-party platforms, such as crypto exchanges, offering yield payments on stablecoins.

Crypto and banking groups failed to come to an agreement on the ban after months of negotiations, and the latest version of the bill, released earlier this month, prohibits stablecoin rewards on idle balances while allowing crypto platforms to “offer other forms of customer rewards.”

The Senate Banking Committee, which indefinitely postponed a vote on advancing the bill in January, has scheduled a markup of the bill on Thursday.

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