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Moomoo adds Kalshi prediction markets, giving users access to event contracts

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Digital trading platform Moomoo said Thursday it had partnered with prediction market operator Kalshi to bring CFTC-regulated event contracts to eligible users, allowing them to trade on the outcomes of major economic, political and cultural events directly through the brokerage’s platform.

The offering gives users access to contracts linked to events such as Federal Reserve interest-rate decisions, inflation data releases, elections and the 2026 FIFA World Cup, the New York-based company said in a press release.

Event contracts are exchange-listed derivatives that allow traders to take positions on whether a specific outcome will occur. Prices range from $0.01 to $1 and represent the market’s implied probability of an event happening. The contracts are fully collateralized and integrated alongside Moomoo’s existing equities, options and exchange-traded fund (ETF) offerings.

Prediction markets have exploded in popularity since the 2024 U.S. election, evolving from a niche forecasting tool into a fast-growing corner of the retail trading market.

Platforms such as Kalshi and Polymarket have expanded beyond politics into sports, macroeconomic data and cultural events, attracting billions of dollars in trading volume. Combined monthly volume on the two largest platforms climbed from under $5 billion in September 2025 to about $24 billion by April 2026, underscoring growing investor appetite for event-driven markets.

“Our focus is on providing investors with both access and understanding,” Nate Palmer, president of Moomoo U.S., said in emailed comments. “Through event contracts and supporting educational resources, we’re giving users additional tools to analyze and engage with significant real-world events.

Kalshi, which has emerged as the dominant U.S. prediction market platform, said the partnership will broaden access to event-based trading.

The launch comes as interest in prediction markets continues to grow. By integrating Kalshi’s contracts, Moomoo joins a growing list of brokerages offering retail investors exposure to event-driven markets.

The partnership also expands Moomoo’s product ecosystem. The company recently introduced direct crypto deposits and withdrawals and launched moomoo API Skills, a feature designed to support AI-powered investing tools.

Read more: Gemini taps SpaceXAI to build a personalized prediction markets feed

Bitcoin Price Plunges Below ‘Fire Sale’ Territory As Fear Index Reads 12 — Echoing The FTX Crash

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Bitcoin price dropped to levels on Thursday that placed it below the “Fire Sale!” band on the Bitcoin Rainbow Chart — a depth not reached since the catastrophic FTX exchange collapse in November 2022 — as the Fear and Greed Index registered a reading of 12 out of 100, deep in “Extreme Fear” territory.

Bitcoin price opened today near $63,500 after sliding below $62,000 last night. That puts BTC below even the most discounted valuation band on the Bitcoin Rainbow Chart — a level the model historically flags as a rare and extreme buying signal.

The Bitcoin Rainbow Chart is somewhat of a logarithmic growth curve overlaid with color-coded sentiment bands. The deepest band — labeled “Basically a Fire Sale!” — represents the lowest tier of the model’s projected fair value range. When Bitcoin trades beneath it, the asset sits outside the historical channel that has contained BTC’s long-term price behavior.

The last confirmed breach of the “Fire Sale!” floor occurred during the FTX exchange collapse in November 2022, when Sam Bankman-Fried’s crypto empire imploded and BTC cratered under forced selling pressure across the market. That event remains one of the most severe liquidity crises in crypto history.

Per Bitcoin Magazine Pro data from March 2026, Bitcoin price had already begun testing below the “Fire Sale!” zone — described at the time as “its first drop into this area since the FTX-induced crash”. 

The renewed descent on June 4 deepens that breach, with the coin shedding ground for the second consecutive week.

Bitcoin price and market in ‘Extreme Fear’

The Fear and Greed Index, which runs on a scale of 0 to 100, registered 12 on Thursday — placing the market squarely in “Extreme Fear”. The index aggregates volatility, market momentum, social sentiment, and derivatives data into a single score. 

A reading below 25 signals extreme fear, a condition that, by the index’s own framework, has historically preceded price recovery periods.

February 2026 saw the index touch an all-time low of 5, driven by a 52% drawdown from Bitcoin price’s peak of $126,000. Thursday’s reading of 12 sits just above that nadir, as Bitcoin price continues its slide from cycle highs.

On X today, Strategy’s Michael Saylor argued the sell-off reflects institutional capital rotating into AI infrastructure rather than a deterioration in Bitcoin’s fundamentals. The decline may have been compounded by concerns over Strategy selling 32 BTC to fund preferred-share dividends — its first bitcoin sale since 2022 — despite the company recently reducing debt by repurchasing $1.5 billion of convertible notes at a discount.

Arthur Hayes Exits Entire HYPE and NEAR Positions, Cites Iran War and AI IPO Pipeline

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BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes sold his full Hyperliquid and NEAR Protocol holdings on June 4, citing rising energy prices, a pipeline of AI IPOs, and a predicted Trump pivot against AI. A fuller rationale arrives in his “Reality Test” essay on June 9.

Arthur Hayes, co-founder of BitMEX and one of Hyperliquid’s most vocal public supporters, has sold his entire positions in HYPE and NEAR Protocol.

Hayes announced the exit on X on June 4, citing three macro headwinds he said altered his near-term risk calculus.

“I just dumped my entire $HYPE and $NEAR position, I will explain why in my essay ‘Reality Test’ dropping next Tuesday,” Hayes wrote on X.

His stated reasons: higher energy prices driven by the Iran war and inventory restocking, a pipeline of three mega AI IPOs he expects between now and early Q3, and a prediction that President Trump will pivot to an anti-AI political stance ahead of the midterms.

Position Size and Timing

On-chain data tracked by market observers put Hayes’s HYPE exit at roughly 247,334 tokens, worth approximately $18 million at the time of the sale. The NEAR position size was not publicly specified by Hayes.

The reversal came days after Hayes had publicly set a $150 price target for HYPE by August 2026 in a March blog-post tweet. In February, he had wagered $100,000 — payable to a charity of the winner’s choice — that HYPE would outperform any altcoin above $1 billion in market cap between Feb. 10 and July 31 against Multicoin Capital co-founder Kyle Samani.

HYPE traded at $65.2 on June 4, down 13% on the day, per CoinGecko. The token had set an all-time high of $75.48 on June 2 — two days before the sale. NEAR fell 22% on the day to $2.23, per CoinGecko.

The Hyperliquid Arc

Hayes’s exit is a reversal of a sustained public bullish stance. He had been one of Hyperliquid’s most visible institutional supporters since at least early 2026, calling out its revenue model and open-market posture. The ICE CEO’s remarks about Hyperliquid in May and $69 million in HYPE ETF inflows has framed the protocol as a growing TradFi target, a backdrop Hayes himself cited as bullish.

Hyperliquid (a Layer 1 blockchain running the dominant on-chain perpetuals exchange) held $5.87 billion in total value locked as of June 4, per DefiLlama. Hyperliquid Perps carried $10.14 billion in open interest, 57% of the total tracked across all decentralized derivatives venues, per DefiLlama derivatives data.

Macro Rationale

Hayes has not yet detailed his full thesis. His June 4 X post offered three TLDR bullets: energy inflation from the Iran conflict and inventory restocking, institutional capital absorption by three large AI IPOs he expects in the coming weeks, and a Trump political pivot away from AI ahead of the midterms.

He said the full reasoning will appear in the “Reality Test” essay on June 9. Hayes has framed the move as tactical — the post does not indicate a change in his long-term view on Hyperliquid’s protocol fundamentals.

Bitcoin bounces, HYPE falls, NEAR gets demolished as crypto deals with a wipe out

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Broadcom (AVGO) shares plunged about 15% in pre-market trading on Thursday, after its earnings and AI outlook failed to clear investors’ lofty expectations, sparking a broader selloff across semiconductor stocks.

Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) fell roughly 4%, Micron Technology (MU) dropped about 5%, while Nvidia (NVDA), Marvell Technology (MRVL) and Intel (INTC) also traded lower.

The weakness comes after semiconductor stocks have been on a strong run in recent weeks, fueled by optimism around AI infrastructure capex spending and robust earnings from several chipmakers.

Broadcom’s results show that investors are demanding not just strong growth, but consistently rising guidance.

The weakness is spilling over into former bitcoin miners that have moved into AI infrastructure, with Hut 8 (HUT), IREN (IREN) and Cipher Mining (CIFR) all down about 5% in premarket trading.

The Nasdaq was down around 1%, while the S&P 500 was little changed.

More to come on this, but bitcoin has interestingly turned higher as the AI trade stumbles, climbing back to $63,600, or nearly 4% above its overnight low.

OCC Head Says he only Feels ‘Political Pressure’ from Democrats over Crypto Trust Charter

Jonathan Gould, the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) nominated by Donald Trump, implied that the US president had not ordered him to approve or give special consideration to a national trust charter application tied to his family’s financial interests.

In a Thursday hearing of the House Financial Service Committee on “oversight of prudential regulators,” New York Representative Gregory Meeks questioned Gould on the Trump family crypto company World Liberty Financial’s connections to foreign governments and the Binance exchange. The company, whose co-founders include Trump and his sons, applied for an OCC charter in January, prompting backlash from many Democratic lawmakers alleging conflicts of interest.

Representative Gregory Meeks at a Thursday hearing.
Source: House Financial Services Committee

Meeks said that the company “actively lines the pockets of the president’s family,” pressing the comptroller to hold World Liberty to the same standards as other companies in consideration of its application for a national bank trust charter, “to prove if [he’s] still working on behalf of the American people, or [ceded his role] to serve as a fixer for the Trump family.”

Meeks and Gould talked over each other at the hearing, with the New York lawmaker accusing the OCC head of being “Trump’s fixer,” signaling his belief that World Liberty’s application would be approved.

“Your attempts to continue to pressure me are the only political pressure I’ve felt from anyone other than your Senate colleagues,” said Gould. “That is very unfortunate and unprecedented.”

Gould’s remarks came after the OCC had already approved or conditionally agreed to several national trust charter applications from crypto companies, including Coinbase, Ripple, BitGo, Circle, Fidelity Digital Assets and Paxos. The comptroller took office in July 2025 having been confirmed by the Republican majority Senate along party lines.

Related: US senator calls for anti-corruption provisions in crypto bills

The OCC head said in January in the days after World Liberty’s application was submitted that the agency would be “apolitical and nonpartisan” in its consideration. However, Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren, who also asked Gould to pause reviewing World Liberty’s application, said that the approvals were for “seemingly ineligible companies,” violating federal banking laws. 

Four of World Liberty’s co-founders, including two of Donald Trump’s sons. Source: World Liberty Financial

Approval for a national trust bank charter allows crypto companies to provide certain services without being subject to the same regulatory requirements as traditional banks. In addition to World Liberty, crypto exchange Kraken’s parent company, Payward, filed an application with the OCC in May.

CLARITY Act consolidation expected in Senate

A comprehensive digital asset market structure bill, called the CLARITY Act, is expected to head for a vote in the full Senate soon after advancement in two crucial committees this year. On Wednesday, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said that the Trump administration was aiming for passage sometime this summer, with some senators expecting a vote before August.

Magazine: Bitcoin miners are pivoting to AI, so why is the hashrate near ATHs?

Shielded Labs Proposes New Zcash Upgrade to Prove ZEC Supply After Orchard Bug

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The Zcash developer said researcher Taylor Hornby used Anthropic’s latest AI model to find a flaw that could have minted undetectable counterfeit ZEC inside the Orchard privacy pool. It wants a further network upgrade to prove the supply is sound, beyond the emergency fix activated June 3.

Shielded Labs proposed a new Zcash network upgrade that would let anyone verify the privacy coin’s supply has not been secretly inflated, after disclosing that a recently patched bug in the network’s main shielded pool could have allowed undetectable counterfeiting of ZEC.

Shielded Labs, a nonprofit that funds development of Zcash, the roughly 11th-largest cryptocurrency by market value, said in a blog post the vulnerability sat undiscovered in the Orchard pool from its May 2022 launch until engineers closed it this week.

ZEC reversed the week’s gains and is down 16% in the past seven days, and plunged 25% in the past 24 hours, as the bug came to light, according to CoinGecko data.

Orchard, Zcash’s newest and largest shielded pool, holds more than 4 million ZEC, the bulk of the roughly 30% of supply that sits in private pools, according to shielded-supply trackers.

The episode highlights a tradeoff at the heart of privacy coins. The same cryptography that hides balances also makes it impossible to prove from the chain alone whether a bug was abused. Shielded Labs said there is no way to cryptographically determine whether anyone exploited the flaw before the fix, though it judged prior exploitation unlikely.

How the bug was found

Independent security researcher Taylor Hornby found the flaw on May 29 during an audit Shielded Labs commissioned, and disclosed it that evening to engineers at the Zcash Open Development Lab, or ZODL, the group that maintains the protocol.

Shielded Labs said Hornby used Anthropic’s Opus 4.8 model, which it said was released May 28, alongside a custom AI tool, to write a working exploit that generated unlimited counterfeit ZEC in a local test environment. Run on mainnet, Shielded Labs said, the same tool would have produced unlimited, undetectable counterfeit ZEC.

The issue was a soundness bug, meaning the network could be made to accept a transaction it should have rejected. It stemmed from an under-constrained part of the Orchard circuit that let an attacker pass false inputs through an elliptic-curve check and still have the check pass, Shielded Labs said.

Shielded Labs described the impact as the ability to create unlimited, undetectable counterfeit ZEC within Orchard.

Total Supply Stays Intact

The Zcash Foundation, which builds the Zebra software used to run the network, described the risk in a post published Wednesday. It said exploitation could have allowed double-spending within Orchard but could not have inflated the total ZEC supply, which is capped by the network’s “turnstile” accounting. The turnstile limits how much value can leave each pool to the amount that entered it.

The Foundation said the turnstile confirmed the total supply stayed intact and that there was no evidence of unauthorized value creation. Both groups agree the bug was caught before any known exploitation and that user privacy was not affected.

How the fix rolled out

After private coordination with miners and exchanges that began May 31, engineers shipped an emergency soft fork that disabled Orchard transactions. It was activated on June 2 at block 3,363,426. A hard-fork upgrade called NU6.2 then re-enabled Orchard with a corrected circuit on June 3 at block 3,364,600, the Foundation said. It called the response the second security-driven upgrade in Zcash’s history since the network launched in 2016. The fix is tracked in a Zebra security advisory.

Orchard transfers were frozen during the window while transparent and Sapling transactions kept running. Some block explorers briefly showed no new blocks afterward, fueling confusion that the network had gone down.

The proposed upgrade

Shielded Labs said NU6.2 closes the bug but does not prove the Orchard supply was never tampered with. Its proposal would deploy a new shielded pool and route all coins leaving Orchard through turnstile accounting, letting anyone verify that no counterfeit ZEC exists.

Like any major upgrade, it would need community support and would have to pass Zcash’s governance process before activation. Shielded Labs said it plans to publish the details next week.

The coordinated response has drawn criticism. Some developers and commentators argued the confidential fix, which relied on a small group of engineers, miners and exchanges, showed how centralized the network’s emergency response can be, and questioned whether shielded pools can ever be fully audited.

Bitcoin (BTC) isn’t broken, says Strategy’s (MSTR) Saylor

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Bitcoin has tanked over 14% in one week and 22.7% in four weeks. Strategy Chairman Michael Saylor has a simple explanation for the decline: It’s capital rotation, not impairment.

In a post on X, Saylor pointed to the historic pace of AI infrastructure funding to the tune of approximately $400 billion deployed over the past six months while noting the $4 billion in outflows from the U.S.-listed spot ETFs since mid-May.

In essence, he argued that institutions are pulling money out of bitcoin and deploying into AI, leading to weakness in the top cryptocurrency. This matters because rotation implies temporary weakness, driven by capital chasing a hot theme before it eventually finds its way back.

“Volatility creates opportunity,” Saylor said, a characteristically bullish framing from the most prominent corporate bitcoin holder on the planet.

Saylor’s Strategy recently sold 32 BTC, a move, analysts say, added to the bearish sentiment in the market, deepening the price selloff. The publicly listed firm still holds 843,706 BTC.

While some analysts have flagged the AI boom as a headwind for bitcoin, most bears have drawn a darker conclusion from the recent selloff: that crypto is simply broken.

“Bitcoin just looks broken at this point Even Saylor is selling now,” pseudonymous trader QE Infinity said on X.

Their case probably rests on a confluence of concerning signals: Saylor’s surprise sale of 32 BTC, weeks of heavy ETF outflows, and the striking fact that almost every major asset class, from equities to commodities, is trading at or near record highs while bitcoin languishes.

Bitcoin’s Pullback Tests Institutional Adoption Narrative As Pompliano Stays Bullish

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Bitcoin’s recent price decline is testing one of the asset’s most prominent bullish narratives: that institutional adoption will stabilize volatility and support long-term growth.

Despite the downturn, ProCap Financial CEO Anthony Pompliano thinks that the broader trajectory remains intact, framing the current weakness as a natural phase in Bitcoin’s maturation into a mainstream financial asset.

Speaking on CNBC’s “Power Lunch,” Pompliano said Bitcoin’s integration into traditional finance is accelerating, pointing to growing interest from major institutions such as BlackRock CEO Larry Fink. 

According to Pompliano, this shift represents the realization of a long-anticipated transition from a niche, ideologically driven asset to a widely held portfolio allocation.

“Bitcoin is maturing into a traditional finance asset,” Pompliano said, adding that institutional demand signals “what mass adoption looks like.”

Bitcoin has come under pressure in recent weeks, with prices retreating amid broader risk-off sentiment and capital rotation into equities, particularly in high-growth sectors like artificial intelligence and newly listed public companies. 

The downturn has revived concerns that Bitcoin’s adoption cycle may be nearing saturation, limiting its ability to deliver the outsized returns seen in prior cycles.

Some argue that Bitcoin’s earlier growth was driven largely by rapid user adoption and speculative inflows — dynamics that may be harder to replicate now that the asset has reached a more mature phase. 

As the CNBC host noted, the “adoption story” may have already peaked.

At the same time, some market participants, including Strategy’s Michael Saylor, have suggested capital could be rotating out of crypto into other high-momentum opportunities, including upcoming IPOs and AI-linked investments.

Pompliano: Rotation from bitcoin is natural, not structural

Speaking with CNBC, Pompliano pushed back on the idea that capital outflows signal structural weakness. Instead, he characterized the movement as typical portfolio rebalancing behavior.

“Capital chases momentum and returns,” he said, noting that Bitcoin’s liquidity makes it a convenient source of funds when investors pursue new opportunities.

The current market environment highlights a tension in Bitcoin’s evolution. While institutional adoption has broadened its investor base, it has also tied Bitcoin more closely to macroeconomic trends and cross-asset flows.

As a result, Bitcoin increasingly behaves like a risk asset during periods of market stress, declining alongside equities rather than acting as an uncorrelated hedge. This dynamic has complicated the narrative of Bitcoin as “digital gold,” particularly in the short term.

Still, Pompliano maintains that Bitcoin’s core fundamentals remain unchanged. He pointed to the network’s continued operation, decentralization, and predictable issuance schedule as evidence that the asset’s long-term value proposition is intact.

“Show me what has changed,” he said. “The network continues to do everything it is designed to do.”

Bitcoin as a ‘Savings Technology’

Pompliano reiterated his long-held view of Bitcoin as a hedge against fiat currency debasement, arguing that persistent government spending and monetary expansion underpin its long-term case.

He described Bitcoin as a “savings technology,” highlighting its historical compound annual growth rates — approximately 60% over the past decade and over 30% in the last three years — as evidence of its ability to preserve and grow capital over time.

In his view, Bitcoin’s role is less about short-term speculation and more about long-term wealth protection, akin to gold or real estate for previous generations.

CoinDesk 20 performance update: Bitcoin Cash (BCH), up 1.5%, is only gainer

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NEAR Protocol (NEAR) declined 15.2% and Internet Computer (ICP) dropped 13.1%, leading the index lower.

What next for Ripple-linked token as it sinks to four-month lows

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XRP is attracting money, but not buyers. ETF products continue pulling in fresh inflows and exchange balances keep shrinking, yet price has fallen back to levels last seen in February. When a market stops responding to bullish developments, traders tend to focus less on the story and more on where the next support level sits.

News Background

• XRP marked its 14th anniversary this week, commemorating the 2012 genesis event that created the network’s 100 billion token supply.

• XRP investment products recorded $20.3 million in weekly inflows even as digital asset funds broadly suffered $1.5 billion in outflows.

• More than 25 million XRP left exchanges in recent days, extending a trend that typically signals longer-term accumulation rather than immediate selling pressure.

Price Action Summary

• XRP dropped from $1.2360 to $1.1497 during the 24-hour session, touching lows near $1.14 before recovering slightly.

• Volume surged to 248.2 million XRP during a support test, marking one of the largest trading bursts of the week.

• The selloff extended losses that began with the breakdown below $1.25, a level that had acted as support throughout much of the spring consolidation.

Technical Analysis

• XRP has now erased the entire $1.20-$1.60 trading range that defined the past four months, putting focus on support levels last tested during February’s selloff.

• The bigger issue is not the decline itself but the repeated failure of recovery attempts. Rallies in January stalled near $2.40, while a second rebound attempt in May failed around $1.54, reinforcing the broader downtrend.

• The monthly RSI has slipped below 43, a level reached only a handful of times in XRP’s history. Previous occurrences coincided with major market resets, though not necessarily immediate bottoms.

• A sharp bounce from the $1.14 area produced signs of short-term seller exhaustion, but volume outside the initial reversal remained largely routine, limiting confidence in the recovery.

What traders should watch

• $1.14-$1.15 is now the immediate support zone. A break lower shifts focus toward $1.11 and potentially the sub-$1.00 area highlighted by some bearish analysts.

• $1.28 has flipped from support into resistance and remains the first major level XRP would need to reclaim to stabilize sentiment.

• ETF inflows, exchange outflows and whale activity continue pointing toward accumulation underneath the surface. The problem for bulls is that price has yet to confirm any of it.

• XRP is approaching a genuine inflection point. Either buyers start defending the current range with conviction, or the market risks turning a four-month consolidation into a much larger breakdown.