Home Blog Page 140

Binance Sees $1.23B Outflows as ETH Withdrawals Surge

0

Binance, the world’s largest crypto exchange by trading volume, recorded a sharp surge in weekly outflows as Ethereum withdrawal activity climbed to a multi-year high.

According to DefiLlama data viewed by Cointelegraph on Sunday, Binance saw $1.23 billion in net outflows during the week beginning June 29, a 207% increase from roughly $400 million the week prior, while monthly net outflows totaled about $3.2 billion.

Separately, CryptoQuant community analyst Darkfost reported Friday that Binance’s Ethereum withdrawal transactions hit their highest level in more than three years, with over 166,000 withdrawal transactions in a single day.

While some of the movement may reflect accumulation behavior, Darkfost pointed to regulatory uncertainty stemming from the European Union’s Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation (MiCA) and short-term market positioning as possible drivers.

ETH outflows vs price rebound

Binance’s ETH withdrawals marked the sharpest increase in withdrawal transactions recorded on Binance since March 2023, coinciding with Ether posting a modest rebound of around 10% over two days, according to CryptoQuant data.

“This surge in withdrawals could reflect genuine demand building around the $1,500 level, with investors choosing to take exposure and pull their funds off the exchange, a pattern that typically points toward longer-term accumulation rather than short-term trading,” Darkfost said.

Source: CryptoQuant

Ether prices showed a broader recovery over the past week. According to Coingecko data, ETH rose about 12.5% over the past seven days, trading at $1,766 at the time of publication.

Related: Bitcoin profit and loss ratio falls to 43-month low

Bitcoin, the largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, also edged up 4.3% over the same period, trading at $62,925 at the time of publication.

Outflows dominate CEXs while inflows remain fragmented

Apart from Binance, several other centralized exchanges (CEXs) also recorded outflows over the past week.

Bitfinex saw $407.5 million in outflows, followed by Gate at $214.3 million. OKX recorded $87.1 million in outflows, while Bybit posted $78.4 million, according to DefiLlama data.

Top five exchanges sorted by weekly net flows. Source: DefiLlama

On the inflow side, Crypto.com and HashKey Exchange led gains over the past week, recording around $63 million and $53.3 million in net inflows, respectively.

Smaller inflows were also seen across KuCoin at $22.1 million, Gemini at $17.4 million, and Bitvavo at $15.8 million over the same period.

Magazine: Bitcoin copying 2022 ‘almost perfectly,’ Ether to $4K in 2026: Market Moves

Kalshi, state cases from the past week

0

In the Nevada Supreme Court, Kalshi lost an effort a few days ago to halt a requirement that it block its customers in the state from much of the platform’s trading activity. The denial signed by three state justices on Wednesday said they were “not persuaded” by the business’ emergency motion, and Kalshi may also face legal trouble for failing to geofence its business by a court-imposed deadline.

In Ohio, Kalshi sued the gaming regulator on Monday — following earlier, parallel court arguments from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission — seeking to halt Ohio’s penalty against the company on accusations it’s run an unlicensed sports-betting operation.

The next day, a local court in Michigan granted that state’s gaming regulators a temporary, two-week restraining order against Kalshi to stop it from offering, advertising or facilitating sports betting there.

“Kalshi is targeting Michigan’s most vulnerable residents with sports betting dressed up as investing — and without intervention, the harm will keep getting worse,” said Michigan Gaming Control Board Executive Director Henry Williams in a Tuesday statement.

On the positive side for prediction platforms: The CFTC and its pro-innovation chairman, Mike Selig, are aggressively trying to make the case that Kalshi and the others belong under the sole jurisdiction of the agency as the U.S. derivatives regulator, arguing in its own lawsuits against several states that the contracts sold in the prediction markets are effectively the same as those an agricultural business might buy to hedge against future crop prices changes.

Americans traded $571 million on Polymarket politic bets despite U.S. ban

0

As such, Allium can tie only about 6% of Polymarket’s political-market wallets to a country – so the firm says the figures should be read as directional rather than exact.

Polymarket did not immediately respond to request for comments ahead of U.S. market hours.

Meanwhile, a further interesting bit is what Americans bet on. Geopolitics made up 46% of U.S. notional against 36% for the platform as a whole, while elections drew 16% from U.S. wallets against 32% platform-wide, meaning the American crowd trades foreign wars at nearly three times the rate it trades the elections everyone else favors.

Of U.S. cohort’s twelve biggest markets, five were bets on the Iran war. Its single largest, at $20.8 million, was a novelty market on whether Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy would wear a suit.

Those are largely the markets regulated U.S. venues do not carry. Kalshi and Polymarket’s compliant U.S. arm stick mostly to economic data, rate decisions and elections, so the demand flows to the offshore version that lists regime change and ceasefires.

(Shaurya Malwa/CoinDesk)

The pattern regulators might fear is the one the data does not show.

On markets that have resolved, U.S. wallets backed the winner 81.9% of the time against 80.3% for everyone else, effectively no edge, and returns if held were nearly identical.

South Africa’s Tax Authority Proposes Crypto Tax Guidance

South Africa’s tax authority has proposed new guidance that clarifies how crypto assets are taxed under existing income and capital gains tax frameworks.

The South African Revenue Service (SARS) on Wednesday published draft guidelines on crypto asset taxation, applying South Africa’s existing tax framework, primarily the Income Tax Act, 1962, alongside capital gains tax rules.

The draft provides that most crypto activities, including trading, swapping and spending, are generally treated as disposals that may trigger tax events. It still emphasizes that the rules depend heavily on each taxpayer’s specific circumstances.

If adopted, the proposed guidelines are set to impact millions of local users, as SARS reported in 2024 that at least 5.8 million residents held crypto assets.

Crypto treated as an asset, not currency

The guidance document reiterated that crypto assets are not legal tender or foreign currency, but rather intangible assets for tax purposes.

“The preferred interpretation of the legal nature of crypto assets is that, although highly versatile and capable of negotiability, they are not ‘currency’ and, consequently not ‘foreign currency’,” the agency said.

Source: SARS

Taxpayer’s intention as a key element

The guidelines place significant emphasis on a taxpayer’s intention when determining how crypto is taxed.

According to SARS, whether a person is classified as a trader or a long-term investor depends on their behavior, transaction frequency and the purpose for holding the asset.

An excerpt on how taxpayer intention is assessed, according to the proposed guidelines. Source: SARS

“It is important to consider the taxpayer’s intention at the time of acquisition, at the time of selling the asset, and whilst holding the asset, as a taxpayer’s intention regarding an asset may change over time,” the authority said. SARS added that this requires a broad assessment of all relevant facts and circumstances.

Related: Crypto lobby urges Congress to pass staking and mining tax bill as is

The guidelines also say crypto assets may fall under South Africa’s donations tax, as the assets are treated as “property” under tax law, with tax rates ranging from 20% to 25%, depending on the value of the donation.

Public input open until August 31

The draft guidance is not final law and is open for public comment until August 31. SARS said it is intended to attempt to provide interpretive clarity rather than introduce new legal obligations.

South Africa has emerged as one of Africa’s largest crypto markets. According to Chainalysis’ October 2024 report, the country received about $26 billion in crypto value during the one-year period covered by the study.

Chainalysis also found that institutional and professional-sized transactions were the largest contributors to total value received, particularly from late 2023 through the first quarter of 2024, highlighting a shift toward larger and more structured market activity.

Magazine: AI is banking the unbanked in Africa… faster than crypto

How big banks plan to capture a quadrillion-dollar market

0

“If we don’t have a euro on the blockchain, the banks will use the dollar because it’s there, it’s available and it has a lot of liquidity,” Sell told CoinDesk. Rather than each bank issuing its own euro stablecoin, Qivalis is encouraging them to work together in a single shared network.

Sell said Qivalis is not trying to compete directly with USDC. Its goal is to give European banks, businesses and payment firms a regulated euro alternative as tokenized finance expands. That would allow institutions to settle in euros rather than converting assets into dollars and back again.

As more banks join, the consortium also benefits from the same network effects driving USDC’s adoption. “The more banks we have in the consortium, the better. Our network has stronger network effects,” Sell said.

Investing in infrastructure

Agant’s MacKenzie said he sees the same trend emerging in the U.K.

Banks are no longer focused only on digital assets, he said. Instead, they are investing in the infrastructure needed to connect stablecoins with traditional finance for payments, treasury operations and settlement. Businesses generally prefer settling obligations in their own currencies, he said, rather than converting into U.S. dollars first.

That may be the impetus for introducing non-dollar stablecoins, such as Societe Generale’s EUR CoinVertible (EURCV), Credit Agricole’s EURXT and Qivalis’ impending offering. But existing is insufficient. It’s how the bank deploys the stablecoin to its customers that will determine its success.

Barstool’s Portnoy plans to hold bitcoin down to $0 after timing it wrong every time

0

Barstool Sports founder Dave Portnoy said this week that he will hold his bitcoin all the way down to zero if necessary, while admitting his struggle with timing the market.

“I’m holding. I’ll hold this thing down to zero,” Portnoy told FOX Business’ Stuart Varney on Varney & Co. “I know if I sell it, it’s going to go nuclear again. I’d rather go down with the ship this time.”

Portnoy said he snapped up bitcoin at $100,000 and is now sitting on millions of losses. BTC peaked above $126,000 in October last year, and has since halved to $63,000, CoinDesk data show.

“Yeah, I got regrets. I bought the thing at $100,000. There’s nothing I’ve been wrong about more than Bitcoin. Every time I sell it, it goes nuclear. Every time I buy it, it tanks,” Portnoy noted. His exact BTC holdings are not publicly known.

Vitalik Buterin Unveils New ‘Lean Ethereum” Strawmap

0

Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin has named quantum resistance, scalability and privacy as three of Ethereum’s top priorities under a new “Lean Ethereum” strawmap, which lays out the network’s technical direction for the remainder of the decade. 

In a post to X on Saturday, Buterin said the collection of upgrades will roll out over the next three to four years, touching nearly every layer of Ethereum in a transformation he compared in scale to the September 2022 Merge, which shifted the network away from energy-intensive mining. 

“Quantum safety has shifted up a LOT in priority,” he said, adding that finalizing a quantum-safe solution for blobs has “become urgent.” Enhancing privacy is another priority, Buterin said, stating that it has become a “first class goal.”

The “Lean Ethereum” strawmap timeline from 2026 through to 2029. Source: Strawmap.org

The change in roadmap comes amid a series of changes at the Ethereum Foundation, which laid off roughly 20% of its staff last month in a bid to become leaner and reduce its budget by 40%.

The leaner structure comes on top of several executive departures in recent months, including Hsiao-Wei Wang and Tomasz Stańczak, while protocol contributors Tim Beiko and Barnabé Monnot also left in May.

Buterin is also pushing for the development of a new virtual machine like leanISA or RISC-V to support programmable privacy and better scalability.

Questions remain over Buterin’s timeline

Dankrad Feist, a researcher behind the payments-focused layer-1 Tempo blockchain, praised the new plan but argued the 3-4 year timeline is too slow, stating that AI could help developers ship the upgrades within a year. 

Related: Ethereum Foundation leadership exodus continues with director’s departure 

Crypto analyst Ignas Fiodorovas was also in favor of the plan but cast doubt on the Ethereum Foundation’s ability to deliver the upgrades within the stated timeline, citing the organization’s history of missing deadlines. 

Fiodorovas said the only key feature missing from the roadmap was improved tokenomics for Ether (ETH), which has continued to slide in price amid a broader market downturn. 

Magazine: Bitcoin decouples from tech stocks, Ether eyes ‘selling wave’: Market Moves

Cointelegraph is committed to independent, transparent journalism. This news article is produced in accordance with Cointelegraph’s Editorial Policy and aims to provide accurate and timely information. Readers are encouraged to verify information independently.

ESMA Warns Prediction Market Event Contracts May Fall Under EU Binary Options Ban

0

The European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA), the EU’s securities regulator, said in a statement that many prediction market event contracts may already fall within the bloc’s existing ban on marketing binary options to retail investors. The regulator reminded firms they must assess whether…

The European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA), the EU’s securities regulator, said in a statement that many prediction market event contracts may already fall within the bloc’s existing ban on marketing binary options to retail investors. The regulator reminded firms they must assess whether newly offered products fall under national product intervention measures already in force.

ESMA said the statement responds to the growing popularity of prediction markets and rising retail participation globally. It defines event contracts as products with a binary outcome, a fixed payout or nothing, depending on a yes-or-no answer about a future event, and noted they may also qualify as bets under national gambling law.

Derivatives, Not Just Bets

Where an event contract qualifies as a financial instrument, ESMA said it classifies as a derivative and, because of its binary payout, falls within the scope of national binary options measures that bar marketing, distribution or sale to retail clients.

Authorization Required Even for Professionals

ESMA added that distributing such contracts in the EU requires authorization as an investment firm under MiFID II, even when offered only to non-retail clients. The regulator did not name specific platforms, but the statement lands as crypto-native prediction markets such as Polymarket have expanded trading volumes tied to political, sports and economic outcomes.

The warning follows a wave of US regulatory attention on the sector; the CFTC said in February that prediction markets should fall under federal oversight and later opened a broader review of the category. ESMA’s statement marks the first direct EU-level guidance tying event contracts to the bloc’s 2018 binary options prohibition, raising the compliance bar for any platform seeking retail or professional distribution in the region.

ESMA gave no timeline for enforcement action and did not indicate whether specific national regulators have opened investigations into individual platforms.

A plan to freeze the creator’s Bitcoin sparks fierce debate over crypto rules

0

He authored Bitcoin Improvement Proposal 361 (BIP-361), which outlines a phased migration to quantum-resistant cryptography.

“The goal is to create incentives and deadlines so users, exchanges, custodians, wallets and institutions actually migrate in a timely fashion,” saidLopp, who in April said it would be better to freeze Satoshi’s hoard and millions of other dormant bitcoins than to let hackers steal them.

Matt Hougan, chief investment officer at Bitwise, rejected both letting the coins be stolen and freezing them outright.

Instead, he pointed to a proposal by Castle Island Ventures partner Nic Carter that would place Satoshi’s bitcoin into a legal trust until ownership could be proven through historical electronic records.

Avoiding philosophical challenges

“I actually like Nic Carter’s proposal,” Hougan said via email. “It avoids the philosophical challenges of both CZ’s suggestion and the ‘let whatever happens’ perspective.”

Hougan said the market already treats Satoshi’s holdings as effectively unavailable, meaning almost any change would create more risk than opportunity.

“I don’t think there is any way that developments around Satoshi’s coins are positive for the ecosystem,” he said. “The market already accounts for them as frozen forever.”

For now, the debate remains largely theoretical. Researchers are still working on practical post-quantum cryptography for Bitcoin, and no consensus has been reached on how the network should respond if its encryption does become vulnerable.

How white hat hackers with a $3,000 server found a flaw that could’ve put $70 billion in crypto at risk

0

Meanwhile, Grego AI, which independently verified Hexens’ proof-of-concept, calculated that approximately $250 million in Aptos-native TVL was directly at risk based on the near-90% success rate, separate from broader cross-chain exposure.

The $70 billion risk

The vulnerability, discovered by Vahe Karapetyan, CTO and co-founder of Hexens, could, if left unchecked, have exposed a far larger systemic risk surface across bridges, stablecoins, DeFi protocols and centralized exchanges, costing billions and creating a crisis far beyond Aptos itself.

And all it would’ve taken was a few thousand dollars’ worth of servers.

The total cost to spin up the infrastructure needed to run this experiment was approximately $3,000 for a server that simulated an environment designed to approximate Aptos mainnet conditions. Although if a malicious attacker were to actually go through the exploit, it would have required considerably less, without requiring validator access, insider knowledge or privileged protocol permissions.

The team ran the exploit path roughly 20 times in a simulated environment and succeeded 17 or 18 times. The two or three failed attempts didn’t stop the network, meaning the attacker could have simply had another window to try again.

The simulation was built to closely approximate real network conditions, using a cluster of more than 30 validator nodes, a mainnet-shaped stake distribution, organic transaction traffic and heavy execution contention. The Hexens team also tested what they call “non-armed calibration techniques”: dry runs that measured mempool and block-construction conditions before committing to an armed attempt. The firm said those steps materially reduced the uncertainty introduced by the exploit’s probabilistic elements, making the attack path more reliable in practice.