New capital entered crypto in 2025, but it largely stayed locked in major assets like bitcoin and ether. A Wintermute report shows how ETFs, options markets, and shifting retail behavior reshaped market structure. Crypto Liquidity Rose in 2025 but Stayed Concentrated in Major Assets Crypto markets attracted fresh liquidity in 2025, but that capital did […]
What It Means for DeFi
What are decentralized stablecoins?
A decentralized stablecoin aims to maintain a stable value while being issued and managed onchain, without relying on a single company to mint or redeem dollars.
Stablecoins are already central to decentralized finance (DeFi). Because fiat money is not native to blockchains, stablecoins perform the day-to-day role of moving value between protocols and acting as collateral.
Regulators have made a similar point. Stablecoins are considered essential to DeFi’s operations, serving as instruments for transfers, deposits and collateral.
That dependence is why Vitalik Buterin’s latest warning is of particular interest. In a January 11, 2026, post, he argued that crypto still needs better decentralized stablecoins, highlighting three unresolved issues: the need for a benchmark beyond the USD price, oracles that cannot be captured by deep pockets and staking yields that compete with stablecoin designs.
Did you know? As of early 2026, stablecoin supply sits around the $300-billion range, depending on the tracker and the day, and most of that liquidity remains centralized.
Buterin’s thesis
In his Jan. 11, 2026, post on X, Vitalik Buterin argued that DeFi still lacks stable money that is meaningfully independent of single issuers and single reference points.
He pointed to three unresolved design constraints, which the following sections will examine.
Constraint #1: Stop treating “$1” as the only definition of stability
Buterin’s first point concerns the benchmark itself. In his Jan. 11, 2026, post, he argued that tracking the US dollar is acceptable in the short term, but that a serious resilience goal should include independence from a single price reference over a multi-decade horizon.
That is a critique of how DeFi works today. Even the best-known decentralized designs typically aim for a USD soft peg. Dai’s (DAI) target price, for example, is explicitly set to 1 USD in Maker’s own documentation.
What replaces the dollar is not settled, and Buterin did not present a finished blueprint. However, he floated the idea of using broader price indexes or purchasing-power measures rather than a pure USD peg.
Conceptually, that could resemble Consumer Price Index (CPI)-style basket thinking, where the cost of a representative set of everyday goods and services changes over time, or composite currency baskets such as the International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) Special Drawing Rights, which derive value from a weighted mix of major fiat currencies. Implementing anything like this onchain immediately raises measurement and governance questions, which is exactly where the oracle problem appears next.
Did you know? A CPI basket measures inflation by tracking the prices of a fixed set of everyday goods and services, while the IMF’s Special Drawing Rights is a synthetic reserve asset based on a basket of major currencies, designed to reduce dependence on any single national currency.
Constraint #2: Oracles that can’t be captured
Buterin’s second constraint suggests that if a stablecoin depends on external data, the system is only as strong as its oracle design. He argues that the goal should be a decentralized oracle that is not easily capturable by a large pool of capital.
In other words, the cost of distorting inputs such as prices, indexes and collateral valuations should not be low enough for a well-capitalized attacker to profit by pushing the system into bad mints, bad liquidations or insolvency.
This is a well-known DeFi risk class. When stablecoins are widely used as collateral and settlement assets, a failure can spill across protocols through liquidations and forced selling.
MakerDAO’s oracle documentation illustrates the complexity involved even in mature systems. It relies on a median of whitelisted data feeds and governance-controlled permissioning, with parameters such as minimum quorum requirements for updates.
Ultimately, decentralization in stablecoins often hinges on oracle governance, ongoing maintenance and clearly defined failure-handling mechanisms.
Did you know? A minimum quorum is the minimum number of participants or data sources that must be present or agree before a decision or update is considered valid. It is used in governance and oracle systems to prevent changes from being made by too few actors or based on unreliable data.
Constraint #3: Staking yield competes with stable collateral
Buterin’s third point is that Ethereum’s staking yield is an underappreciated source of tension for decentralized stablecoins.
He frames staking returns as competition that can distort stablecoin design. If Ether (ETH) staking becomes the baseline, stablecoin systems either have to offer comparable returns, often through incentives that may not survive stress, or accept that demand can migrate elsewhere when yields appear structurally more attractive.
He then outlines several possible directions as thought experiments rather than a single prescription. These include compressing staking yield to roughly 0.2%, described as a hobbyist level; creating a new staking category with yields closer to regular staking but without typical slashing risk; or designing mechanisms that explicitly reconcile slashable staking with collateral use.
Overall, stablecoin resilience needs to be tested against changing incentives and sudden market declines.
What this means for protocol design
For readers assessing decentralized stablecoin designs, or a DeFi protocol that depends on one, the questions below map directly to the failure modes Buterin appears to be highlighting.
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What is it stable to, exactly? A strict $1 peg is simple, but it also imports USD reference risk over long horizons. If the project claims an alternative benchmark, such as a basket, index or purchasing power, a key consideration is who defines the benchmark and how it is updated.
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Run dynamics: What happens during a fast sell-off? Does the design rely on continuous confidence, or is there a clear, mechanistic path to restore backing without reflexive death spirals? This has been observed as a recurring class of failure in decentralized stablecoins under stress.
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Oracle integrity: What data must be trusted, and what is the explicit policy if feeds fail, disagree or are manipulated? Oracle manipulation has triggered liquidations and protocol losses in the past, and Bank for International Settlements research frames oracles as a core DeFi risk surface.
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Collateral and liquidation realism: Is there credible onchain liquidity for liquidations during periods of volatility, or does the model assume normal market conditions?
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Incentives versus resilience: If stability depends on yields or subsidies, what happens when competing base yields, such as staking, rise or when incentives end?
Wrapping up DeFi’s stable money engineering problem
Buterin’s core message is a reminder that decentralized stability has three unresolved dependencies: what stability is measured against, how the data enforcing it is sourced and secured, and how incentives behave as yields and market regimes shift.
You can build useful markets on USD-pegged tokens, but reliance on a single unit of account and shared oracle infrastructure concentrates risk. Under stress, oracle manipulation can trigger or propagate shocks across protocols.
As a result, the near-term trajectory is likely to involve incremental hardening. That means clearer benchmarks, explicit oracle failure modes and designs that prioritize survivability over steady-state incentives.
Bitcoin Nears $100,000 as Tariff Limbo and Fed-Trump Clash Ignite ‘Perfect Storm’
Bitcoin surged past $97,000 on Jan. 14, driven by the U.S. Supreme Court’s deferment of a crucial tariff ruling, record ETF inflows, and mounting macroeconomic friction. Bitcoin Nears $100,000 as Supreme Court Tariff Delay Ignites Rally Bitcoin surged past $97,000 on Jan. 14, catalyzed by a volatile mix of judicial delays and record-breaking institutional investment. […]
Bitcoin Hits 2026 High At $97K: What’s Next?
Bitcoin’s (BTC) start-of-year recovery continued into the second week of January as the cryptocurrency made fresh 2026 highs above $96,000. The rally confirmed a new higher high structure, and traders are hopeful that a rally above $100,000 is the next target.
Key takeaways:
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Bitcoin secured a daily close above $95,000, confirming a higher high and weakening near-term resistance.
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Binance net taker volume briefly exceeded $500 million, coinciding with rising open interest and the lowest hourly funding rate since October 2025.
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With limited resistance above $95,000, a technical rally to $103,500 is possible.
Key Bitcoin metrics indicate a rally is here to stay
Onchain data shows Bitcoin’s rally gaining strength. The Coinbase Premium Index has gradually reset after sustained selling between Jan. 6 and Jan. 11. While the index remains net-negative, the pace of selling pressure has clearly slowed, suggesting reduced panic from US-based investors.

Additionally, the seven-day average Bitcoin inflow to Coinbase Advanced is running at roughly 2.5 times its baseline. Similar inflow spikes in the past have preceded price appreciation, tied to spot accumulation, OTC settlement, or ETF positioning rather than outright selling.
At the same time, stablecoin inflows remain muted. This points to a waiting phase from investors, and in past cycles, stablecoin liquidity has frequently lagged BTC inflows, but it can turn into a conditional bullish signal if follow-through demand emerges.

Derivatives data reinforces this view. Crypto analyst Amr Taha noted a sharp expansion in Binance net taker volume, with a single hourly candle exceeding $500 million in aggressive market buying.
Combined with rising open interest, this behavior has historically aligned with trend continuation rather than reversals. Similar conditions earlier this month preceded a rapid move toward $96,000.
Bitcoin’s hourly funding rate also hit its lowest level since October 17, 2025, reflecting crowded short exposure and cautious use of leverage. As funding normalized, the price rallied sharply, suggesting shorts were forced to unwind into strength.

Related: Spot flows drive Bitcoin surge as analysts tip $100K run next
Key price levels to watch for BTC
In the short-term, traders will continue to watch $100,000. However, from a technical standpoint, the next major supply zone sits higher between $103,300 and $107,500. Between $95,000 and $103,300, overhead resistance is notably thin, allowing room for price expansion if the momentum persists.

The broader market liquidity remains light across both spot and futures markets, leaving BTC vulnerable to sharp swings. The recent rally above $95,300 liquidated $270 millions in short positions, shifting the next meaningful liquidity cluster to the long side.
From a structural perspective, the $92,500 to $90,000 region also stands out on the lower end. A daily order block formed there following the rally, marking a potential zone where Bitcoin could establish its next higher low. Holding that area would strengthen the case for a sustained push above $100,000 before month-end.
Related: Bitcoin cools near $96.5K as markets shrug off US tariff uncertainty
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision. While we strive to provide accurate and timely information, Cointelegraph does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any information in this article. This article may contain forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties. Cointelegraph will not be liable for any loss or damage arising from your reliance on this information.
Bitnomial launches first-ever Aptos futures in the US
Key Takeaways
- Bitnomial launches the first US-regulated Aptos futures.
- The launch expands Bitnomial’s range of digital asset derivatives in the US.
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Bitnomial has launched the first-ever US-regulated Aptos (APT) futures on its exchange, offering institutional and retail traders a compliant venue for APT price discovery and risk management.
The futures contracts have monthly expirations and settle in USD or APT, depending on the position direction. Traders can post crypto or USD as margin through Bitnomial Clearinghouse. Contracts are available through the exchange’s Futures Commission Merchants clearing members.
“These are the first US APT futures, and a regulated futures market is a prerequisite for spot crypto ETF approval under the SEC’s generic listing standards,” said Michael Dunn, President of Bitnomial Exchange. “Institutions can now gain APT exposure through the same infrastructure they use for Bitcoin and Ether derivatives, with portfolio margining across positions.”
Aptos is a layer 1 blockchain using the Move programming language and a parallel execution engine for sub-second finality.
Solomon Tesfaye, Chief Business Officer at Aptos Labs, a core developer of the Aptos network, stated that US-regulated derivatives infrastructures are crucial for institutional adoption of blockchain technology.
“Bitnomial’s CFTC-regulated exchange and clearinghouse provide the institutional framework that sophisticated market participants need to gain exposure to Aptos while meeting their compliance and risk management requirements,” Tesfaye said.
APT futures are currently live for institutional clients, with retail access coming soon via Bitnomial’s Botanical platform, and plans are underway to launch perpetual futures and options in the future.
Dash Jumps Nearly 50% Following Alchemy Pay Integration
The ‘dino’ token surged from about $55 to $86 amid the ongoing privacy coin rally.
Dash (DASH) rallied nearly 50% on Wednesday, Jan. 14, after the team behind the payments-focused cryptocurrency announced a new distribution partnership.
Data from CoinGecko showed DASH up roughly 48% over the past 24 hours, climbing from about $55 to $86. Volume also jumped, with 24-hour trading volume reaching around $1.3 billion, pushing Dash’s market cap back above $1 billion.
The rally comes as traders have shown renewed interest in privacy-linked tokens, especially when new integrations make them easier to access. DASH is considered a privacy coin because it offers optional privacy features through its PrivateSend service.
Experts say the move stood out because Dash is often seen as a “dino” token – an older cryptocurrency from earlier market cycles that has been quieter in recent years.
The rally followed a Jan. 13 announcement from Alchemy Pay, a fiat-to-crypto payment gateway, which added support for DASH through its fiat on-ramp. The integration allows users to buy DASH using local fiat payment methods across 173 countries.
Crypto exchange ChangeHero pointed to additional factors behind the move, including short liquidations. ChangeHero said more than $4.9 million in DASH short positions were liquidated over 24 hours as the token pushed through key resistance levels. According to the latest Coinglass data, that figure has jumped to over $7.7 million.
Dash, which launched in 2014, markets itself as “digital cash.” The project says it pioneered early crypto features such as DAO governance and masternodes, and launched Dash Evolution in 2024, a decentralized data network designed to improve the usability of Web3 applications.
It also adds to an already-strong week for privacy-related tokens, which have been among the top gainers, despite Dubai banning privacy tokens. “While typically bearish news, the market seems to be reacting to the ‘resilience’ of the token,” ChangeHero commented.
Monero (XMR) is up about 12% over 24 hours and 69% on the week, while Zcash (ZEC) rose more than 8% on the day. ZEC was also the top-performing cryptocurrency of 2025, gaining more than 800%.
Senate banking chairman Scott: Trump-tied ethics clash doesn't belong in his crypto bill
Senator Tim Scott, chairman of the Senate Banking Committee, told CoinDesk that he hopes to advance the crypto market structure bill, but some issues are unresolved.
How Neglectful People Processes Could Create the Next Financial Crisis
Joining the FinextraTV studio for Predict 2026, Nadia Edwards-Dashti, Co-Founder and Chief Customer Officer, Harrington Star and Samantha Emery, Financial Services Executive and NED discussed the slowing down of diversity and inclusion efforts and of how, without thoughtful people processes, the industry could be heading towards another financial crisis. Emery redefines what it means to label a conversation as ‘political’ and emphasises that it is about fairness and diversity of thought, more than any so-called ‘culture war’. Edwards-Dashti equally draws reference to the last time the industry made waves with it’s DEI metrics: during the last talent shortage. Both reiterate seeing the issue holistically as an effort that is both not optional, and fundamental to long-term growth.
Ether’s Price-Fundamentals Gap May Signal a 2026 Opportunity
Etherealize CEO Vivek Raman argues that ETH’s lagging price masks strengthening fundamentals that could reshape how the token is valued in 2026.
Ether’s price performance left many investors frustrated last cycle. While other assets captured attention with faster rallies, ETH has struggled to keep pace, raising questions about whether Ether is losing relevance or simply being misunderstood.
In a recent interview with Cointelegraph, Vivek Raman, CEO of Etherealize, offered a very different perspective. Rather than focusing on short-term price action, Raman pointed to a growing gap between market sentiment and Ether’s (ETH) underlying fundamentals, which he says may define the opportunity in 2026.
Raman highlighted Ethereum’s continued dominance in areas that matter most to institutions. Today, the Ethereum network and its layer-2 chains host the majority of stablecoin activity, within a market that exceeds $300 billion globally. Ethereum is also the leading network for tokenized real-world assets, with data showing it accounts for more than 90% of all tokenized assets onchain.
The interview also examined how traditional finance is shifting from experimentation to real-world deployment. Major institutions such as JPMorgan Chase and Fidelity have launched tokenized investment products using Ethereum infrastructure, a move that would have seemed unlikely just a few years ago. Raman argues that this shift has only recently become possible due to greater regulatory clarity, particularly in the United States.
Rather than offering a simple price forecast, Raman laid out a forward-looking framework linking the growth of stablecoins, tokenization and Ethereum’s role as neutral financial infrastructure. While still early, he says these structural trends could eventually prompt the market to reassess how ETH is valued.
The conversation challenges viewers to look beyond near-term price volatility and consider whether Ethereum’s recent underperformance may be obscuring a much larger long-term opportunity.
To hear Raman’s outlook for 2026, watch the complete interview on the Cointelegraph YouTube channel.
Related: Efforts to bulletproof Ethereum are paying off in user metrics
This interview has been edited and condensed for clarity.
