Home Blog Page 1118

Crypto bear market is nearing end, with $60K as key bitcoin (BTC) floor, Compass Point analysts say

0

The crypto market may be closing in on the bottom of its current downturn, but analysts at Compass Point say it will take a broader risk-off event to push bitcoin significantly lower.

“While near-term risk remains skewed to the downside, we believe we’re approaching the final innings of the crypto bear market,” analysts Ed Engel and Michael Donovan wrote in a report Monday. “Further downside would likely require a U.S. equity bear market.”

Their base case calls for bitcoin to bottom between $60,000 and $68,000, a zone where long-term holders have shown buying conviction in past cycles. “We see very strong support within this range and our base case assumes BTC bottoms near ~$65k,” they wrote. “Of BTC owned by Long-term Holders (6+ months), 7% was acquired between $60-68k.”

Bitcoin recently broke below $81,000 to as low as $74,532 over the weekend, a level the analysts say reflects the average cost basis for both bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) investors and the broader market. “Bitcoin ETFs recorded $3bn net outflows since 1/15. With over 50% of ETF AUM now underwater, we see risk that outflows remain elevated while ~$81-83k becomes overhead resistance,” they wrote.

Read more: Bitcoin can still fall further. Historical data shows $60,000 will be the bottom

‘Air pocket’

The price range between $70,000 and $80,000 now presents an “air pocket,” with little structural support above $70,000, according to Engel and Donovan.

“Less than 1% of Long-term Holder supply was acquired within this range,” they said, pointing to the potential for further selling pressure.

If bitcoin falls through the $60,000–$68,000 support range, the next stop could be around $55,000 — but only under more extreme conditions. “Past bear markets have bottomed below the average cost basis for all historical buyers,” they said. That level currently sits around $55,000, but “during the 2022 bear market, it took the combination of an equity bear market and several high-profile crypto bankruptcies to breach BTC’s average cost basis.”

Read more: Circle’s biggest bear just threw in the towel, but warns the stock is still a crypto roller coaster

Crypto market near bottom, says Tom Lee as Bitmine’s Ethereum paper losses hit $6.6bn – DL News

0

  • Crypto’s decline could be coming to an end, says Tom Lee.
  • Bitmine is down $6.6 billion on its Ethereum investment.
  • Lee gave two reasons for the recent crypto market weakness.

After a week of double-digit losses for Bitcoin and Ethereum, the crypto market sell-off may be running out of steam.

That’s according to Tom Lee, chair of Ethereum treasury company Bitmine Immersion Technologies, who made that case in an interview on CNBC’s Squawk Box on Monday as the paper losses on his firm’s Ethereum stash grew to an eye-watering $6.6 billion.

“All the pieces are in place for crypto to be bottoming right now,” Lee said, adding that he believes the $3.6 trillion industry’s fundamentals are still strong, highlighting growing activity on the Ethereum network.

“If that’s the case, crypto prices should follow,” Lee said.

Bitmine, once a Bitcoin mining company, pivoted to buying Ethereum in June. Its stated goal is to acquire 5% of the entire supply of Ethereum tokens — some 6 million — and stake them to earn yield.

The firm has some big institutional investors, including Ark Invest CEO Cathie Wood, Peter Thiel’s Founders Fund, crypto exchange Kraken, and Galaxy Digital, among others.

Yet Bitmine is in a tough spot. Much of the 4.3 million Ethereum the firm owns was bought at an average price of $3,800 to $3,900 per token.

The second-largest crypto has dropped 53% from its $4,946 all-time high achieved in August.

The asset now trades at around $2,300, its lowest price since June.

Ethereum is down 53% from its all-time high.

The decline puts Bitmine’s Ethereum trade in the running for the five biggest financial losses ever — if the firm were to sell.

A lack of leverage

Digital asset treasury firms like Bitmine have soared in popularity over the past year.

Yet as crypto prices fall, many of these firms are facing large paper losses after buying Bitcoin, Ethereum, and other assets close to their all-time highs.

Crypto exchange Coinbase has previously warned that such firms — especially those that took on debt to buy crypto — could pose a systemic risk to the crypto industry.

In a February 2 investor update, Lee said Bitmine had acquired an additional 41,788 Ethereum tokens, and blamed weakness in the crypto market on a lack of leverage following the October 10 market crash and the Friday plunge in the precious metals market.

He reiterated that Bitmine views the pullback as an attractive buying opportunity given Ethereum’s strengthening fundamentals.

Those strengthening fundamentals are debated, however.

Crypto security experts previously told DL News that Ethereum’s increased network activity can mostly be attributed to a type of crypto scam that’s become cheaper to conduct since the network’s last upgrade in December.

Indestructible?

Bitmine isn’t the only crypto treasury firm feeling the pressure.

For the first time since 2023, Bitcoin’s price has fallen below the average buying price of Michael Saylor’s Strategy, the largest Bitcoin treasury company that pioneered the trend.

Unlike Bitmine, Strategy uses leverage to increase the amount of Bitcoin it can buy, which means the company could be forced to sell some of its Bitcoin if the price drops too low.

Saylor has previously addressed these concerns.

“The company’s engineered to take an 80 to 90% draw down and keep on ticking,” he said in an interview on Fox Business in November.

“I think we’re pretty indestructible.”

Tim Craig is DL News’ Edinburgh-based DeFi Correspondent. Reach out with tips at tim@dlnews.com.

Crypto Markets Edge Higher as Bitcoin, Ether Gain Despite Heavy Liquidations

0

Prices rose modestly after a stronger-than-expected U.S. manufacturing report.

Crypto markets traded higher on Monday evening after a stronger-than-expected U.S. manufacturing report helped lift broader risk sentiment.

Bitcoin (BTC) was trading around $78,338, up roughly 2.1% over the past 24 hours, while Ether (ETH) rose about 1.5% to $2,338, according to CoinGecko.

BTC Chart

Among other large-cap tokens, BNB gained about 2.3% to $772, while XRP climbed 1.8% to $1.62. Solana (SOL) rose roughly 3.5% to $104.73, recovering some of its recent losses.

The total cryptocurrency market capitalization stood at approximately $2.72 trillion, up about 2.3% on the day, while 24-hour trading volume totaled roughly $223.3 billion.

On the upside, MYX Finance (MYX) led the day’s gainers, rising about 13.3%. MemeCore (M) advanced roughly 11.1%, while Hyperliquid (HYPE) gained about 10.6%.

On the downside, Monero (XMR) fell around 6.7%, while pumpfun (PUMP) slipped about 5% and Rain (RAIN) dropped 4%.

Liquidations and ETF Flows

Around $729.3 million in leveraged crypto positions were liquidated over the past 24 hours, according to CoinGlass. Long liquidations accounted for about $453 million, while short liquidations totaled $276 million.

Ethereum recorded the largest share of liquidations at approximately $266.3 million, followed by Bitcoin at around $233 million. CoinGlass data also showed that about 176,301 traders were liquidated during this period.

ETF flows remained mixed as of Jan. 30, with Bitcoin spot ETFs recording $509.7 million in net outflows. Meanwhile, Ethereum spot ETFs saw about $252.9 million in outflows. Elsewhere, XRP spot ETFs posted $16.8 million in net inflows, while Solana spot ETFs recorded $11.2 million in daily outflows.

Meanwhile, CoinShares’ weekly fund flows report showed investor interest in digital assets continued to wane, with $1.7 billion in net outflows over the past week.

The selloff has flipped year-to-date (YTD) flows to a net outflow of about $1 billion and has pushed total assets under management (AUM) down by $73 billion from its October 2025 peak.

Promising Macro Data

The market rebound followed a stronger-than-expected ISM Manufacturing PMI report, which tracks how U.S. manufacturing is doing month to month.

Monday’s report showed that the Manufacturing PMI registered 52.6 percent in January, a 4.7-percentage point increase compared to the adjusted reading of 47.9 percent in December 2025.

“The overall economy continued in expansion for the 15th month,” the report reads. “The New Orders Index expanded for the first time since August, with a reading of 57.1 percent, up 9.7 percentage points over December’s seasonally adjusted figure of 47.4 percent and its highest since February 2022.”

How AI Is Transforming Hotel Search: From Price Sorting to Intent-Based Rankings

0

For years, hotel search has followed the same predictable formula: sort by price, stars, or distance. While functional, this approach ignores a critical factor—why a traveler is booking in the first place. A business traveler, a family on vacation, and a couple planning a romantic getaway may all see the same results, even though their needs are completely different.

Artificial intelligence is changing that paradigm. Modern AI-driven systems are moving beyond static filters and into intent-based hotel ranking, delivering search results that align with traveler purpose, context, and behavior. This shift is redefining how online travel agencies (OTAs), travel management companies (TMCs), and AI travel assistants design hotel discovery experiences.


The Limitations of Traditional Hotel Search

Conventional hotel ranking relies heavily on surface-level attributes such as nightly rate, star classification, and proximity to landmarks. While useful, these metrics don’t capture traveler intent.

For example:

  • A corporate traveler prioritizes walkability to offices, reliable Wi-Fi, and quiet surroundings.

  • A family values safety, nearby attractions, and larger room configurations.

  • A leisure or romantic traveler looks for ambiance, scenic areas, and dining experiences.

Treating all travelers the same often leads to lower engagement, higher bounce rates, and missed conversion opportunities. This is where AI introduces a smarter alternative.


What Is Intent-Based Hotel Ranking?

Intent-based hotel ranking uses artificial intelligence to understand context rather than just cost. Instead of asking, “Which hotel is cheapest?” the system asks, “Which hotel best fits this traveler’s purpose?”

AI models evaluate hundreds of variables—location intelligence, surrounding amenities, neighborhood characteristics, and historical traveler behavior—to dynamically rank hotels according to specific use cases such as business, family, or romance.

This approach delivers:

  • More relevant search results

  • Higher booking confidence

  • Better alignment between traveler expectations and actual experiences


The Role of Geospatial AI in Hotel Discovery

One of the most powerful drivers behind intent-based rankings is geospatial AI. Rather than focusing solely on a hotel’s address, geospatial intelligence analyzes the spatial relationships around it.

Advanced platforms now process hundreds of millions of spatial data points, examining factors such as:

  • Distance to offices, convention centers, schools, or attractions

  • Neighborhood noise levels and density

  • Accessibility to transport, dining, and entertainment

  • Walkability and safety indicators

By analyzing over 200 million spatial relationships, AI can accurately infer whether a hotel environment suits business travel, family stays, or leisure trips. This depth of understanding was simply not possible with traditional rule-based systems.


Speed Matters: Real-Time AI at Scale

Relevance alone isn’t enough—performance is critical. Modern travel platforms require results in real time, especially when serving AI travel agents and conversational booking interfaces.

Leading intent-based systems are now delivering sub-250ms response times, enabling:

  • Instant hotel re-ranking during live searches

  • Seamless integration with AI-powered chat interfaces

  • Scalable deployment across global inventories

This speed ensures that intelligence doesn’t come at the cost of user experience.


Why Intent-Based Rankings Matter for OTAs and TMCs

For OTAs and corporate travel platforms, intent-driven hotel search unlocks measurable business benefits:

  • Higher conversion rates through relevance

  • Reduced search fatigue and decision overload

  • Improved traveler satisfaction and loyalty

  • Smarter personalization without manual rule creation

Travel management companies can also better enforce policy compliance by surfacing hotels aligned with business intent while still offering quality options.


Powering the Future with Travel Tech APIs

Innovative platforms like Tripvento are at the forefront of this transformation. Built as a B2B travel-tech solution, Tripvento provides an intent based hotel ranking API designed specifically for OTAs, TMCs, and AI travel agents.

Instead of relying on static hotel attributes, the API uses geospatial AI to dynamically rank properties based on traveler intent—business, family, or romance—while maintaining ultra-fast response times. This allows travel platforms to embed intelligence directly into their search and recommendation layers without rebuilding their entire stack.


The Future of Hotel Search Is Intent-First

As AI continues to reshape digital travel, hotel discovery will become less about filters and more about understanding human purpose. Travelers no longer want to scroll endlessly—they want results that make sense for their trip.

Intent-based hotel ranking represents a fundamental shift in how travel platforms think about relevance, personalization, and value delivery. For companies building the next generation of booking experiences, embracing AI-driven, geospatially intelligent search isn’t just an upgrade—it’s a competitive necessity.







ISM Manufacturing PMI Rise is Bullish For Bitcoin

0

A metric tracking the health of the US economy has just posted its highest monthly score since August 2022, and crypto analysts say it could signal a turnaround for Bitcoin, which is trading at $78,000.

The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI), a measure of manufacturing activity in the US, recorded a score of 52.6 in January, beating the market consensus of about 48.5 and ending 26 consecutive months of economic contraction, ISM stated in a report on Monday.

The index score is a closely watched metric by investors and the Federal Reserve in assessing economic strength, inflation risks, and whether to tighten or ease monetary policy. 

A score above 50 indicates the economy is expanding, while a score below 50 indicates it is contracting. The last time the ISM reading was above 52.6 was in August 2022. 

ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index since Jan. 2016. Source: Trading Economics

Bitcoin analysts say the strong ISM reading could signal a turnaround for Bitcoin after it hit a 10-month low of $75,442 on Monday.

Data show that the rise and fall of the manufacturing index from mid-2020 to 2023 closely mirrored Bitcoin’s (BTC) price changes over the same period.

“Historically, these PMI reversals mark the shift to risk-on conditions,” Strive’s vice president of Bitcoin strategy, Joe Burnett, said, pointing out that Bitcoin has rallied after rises in the manufacturing output index score in 2013, 2016, and 2020.

Pseudonymous Bitcoin analyst, Plan C, added: “If you don’t upgrade your understanding of the Bitcoin cycle from the 4-year halving mirage mindset to a business cycle / macro mindset fast… You will miss the boat completely on the second massive leg of this Bitcoin bull market!”