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Bitcoin risks fourth straight monthly loss, a streak not seen since 2018

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Bitcoin is on course for a fourth consecutive monthly decline, a rare stretch not seen since 2018 to 2019, when the market recorded six straight red months. There is still one full trading week left in January, but bitcoin is slightly down on the month, hovering around $87,000.

The asset posted negative monthly closes in October, November, and December, marking a sharp correction from its October all time high. From peak to trough, bitcoin has declined roughly 36% over that period.

Notably, even the 2022 bear market, when bitcoin collapsed from $69,000 to $15,000 amid quantitative tightening and crypto specific industry failures, it did not produce more than three consecutive negative months. That historical comparison highlights how unusual the current streak would be if January also closes lower.

Short term optimism

Despite the weakness in spot prices, derivatives markets suggest some tentative optimism. According to Deribit data, options positioning points to modest upside interest into month end.

Bitcoin faces an options expiry on Jan. 30, with total open interest set to expire at roughly $8.5 billion on Deribit. The $100,000 call option holds the highest notional value, close to $900 million, indicating that a meaningful cohort of traders are positioned for a rebound at the six figure level. The max pain price for this expiry sits near $90,000. Max pain refers to the price level at which the largest number of options contracts expire worthless, which can create a gravitational pull toward that level as expiration approaches.

Ethereum ‘blob’ increase strains network, studies find – DL News

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  • Ethereum has struggled to process blob-heavy blocks in recent weeks.
  • If the issue worsens it could threaten the stability of the network, according to one report.
  • Researchers said they weren’t concerned, but cautioned against further blob increases for the time being.

Ethereum has struggled to process data-heavy blocks in recent weeks, an issue that suggests the network isn’t ready to take full advantage of its December upgrade.

That upgrade, codenamed Fusaka, substantially increased the amount of data that layer 2 blockchains can send to Ethereum.

But blocks containing more “blobs” — packets of data submitted by layer 2 blockchains such as Arbitrum and Base — are far likelier to be dropped by the network, according to research from MigaLabs, a research group that has collaborated with Lido DAO and the Cambridge Centre for Alternative Finance.

If it persists or worsens, the issue could threaten the stability of the network, the firm wrote in its report.

“My intention was not to be alarmist, but to raise a signal to the core developers and researchers that’s saying, ‘We need to take a look at this,’” Leonardo Bautista Gomez, founder of MigaLabs, told DL News.

“It’s important to not increase even more [blob] capacity until we fully understand what’s going on.”

Before Fusaka, layer 2 blockchains could only send Ethereum a maximum of nine blobs per block. After the upgrade, Ethereum’s blob capacity jumped eightfold. But increases would be enabled in a series of smaller upgrades.

“We could say here, in just a few minutes, dial this knob up 8x,” Alex Stokes, an executive at the Ethereum Foundation, said in a December livestream celebrating Fusaka’s deployment.

“Given this is a very new technique, and we’re not sure how the network will respond, this is not the wisest decision.”

The first mini-upgrade came less than a week after Fusaka, and increased maximum blob capacity to 15. Developers released a second upgrade on January 7 that increased max capacity to 21 blobs per block.

Curiously, the average blob count per block has decreased since Fusaka. The few blocks that do test the network’s limit, however, are more likely to cause the succeeding block to fail, MigaLabs found.

Research from PandaOps, a team within the Ethereum Foundation, came to a similar conclusion, but found that some of the issue could be attributed to “timing games” — a practice in which validators delay publishing their blocks in order to boost a revenue stream known as maximal extractable value, or MEV.

“I’m not worried about the network at the moment based on the analysis that I did,” Sam Calder-Mason, the engineer who conducted the analysis for PandaOps, told DL News.

“It was certainly worrying on first inspection though.”

There is a “rough consensus” among developers to push a minor update that would allow Ethereum to spread blob data more efficiently and quickly before increasing blob capacity, according to Calder-Mason.

“I’d personally push back on any further BPOs without it,” he said. “We will also need a more holistic round of analysis done before committing to a higher blob count.”

While Calder-Mason believes timing games might account for “~90% of what we’re seeing at high blob counts,” Gomez was more circumspect.

“We do see some correlation there between high blob count and timing games, but I still think that does not explain everything that I have observed,” the MigaLabs founder said.

Another possible explanation is, it’s simply difficult to propagate substantially more data across a distributed network.

“We are really trying to stress the capacity of the network as much as possible, within the limits that will still make the blockchain alive and efficient and working properly,” Gomez said.

“What we’re seeing now is that when we push the amount of data that we publish over the network a little bit too much, we are seeing some issues. We still don’t fully understand why exactly that happens.”

What has worked, he added, is Ethereum developers’ commitment to treading carefully when making changes to the network.

“If there is an issue, we most likely will be able to solve it,” he said. “We are following perfectly the process that we had in mind.”

Aleks Gilbert is DL News’ New York-based DeFi correspondent. Have a tip? You can reach him at aleks@dlnews.com.

Bitwise Partners With Morpho To Offer Institutional-Grade DeFi Yield Vaults

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Digital asset management firm Bitwise has teamed up with decentralized finance (DeFi) lending protocol Morpho to launch non-custodial on-chain vaults aimed at generating yield. 

The move was announced on X on Monday, with Bitwise noting that its first vault will target an annual percentage yield of 6% by investing in overcollateralized lending pools.

“Finance is moving onchain. Vaults are a key part of that, offering investors a transparent way to earn digital yield on their assets,” Bitwise said. 

Bitwise’s onchain vaults via Morpho

Bitwise will deploy multiple strategies across vaults on Morpho, with the firm’s “curation, strategy, and risk management” being led by Bitwise portfolio manager and head of multi-strategy solutions, Jonathan Man.

Source: Bitwise

Onchain vaults to double AUM in 2026: Bitwise

The move comes just a month after Bitwise forecasted that on-chain vaults, which it dubbed “ETFs 2.0,” would double in assets under management in 2026. 

In the report, Bitwise likened vaults to “onchain investment funds,” explaining that users can simply deposit assets into a vault, with a third party then managing the assets and utilizing them to generate yield across decentralized finance.

“We believe a wave of high-quality curators will enter the market in 2026, drawing billions of dollars of capital into the vaults they manage. The space will grow so fast it’ll catch the attention of major financial publications. One of them — Bloomberg, The Wall Street Journal, or the Financial Times — will label vaults ‘ETFs 2.0,’” Bitwise said. 

A key aspect of the onchain vaults is that users can deposit or withdraw their funds at any time, with the funds not locked like they are in certain staking protocols. On the curator side, they see returns via “management and/or performance fees. 

“Vaults share a similar goal to traditional funds — providing users with a simpler way to deploy capital more effectively and efficiently, but with automated and programmable code instead of intermediaries,” Morpho states on its website. 

Posting on X on the same day, the Morpho team said the development with Bitwise is “an important step for Morpho’s infrastructure positioning.”

“Excited to see the vault curation model continue to scale, with the largest financial institutions in the world leaning in,” Morpho co-founder and CEO Paul Frambot said on X.  

The Bitwise announcement wasn’t the only key development for Morpho this week, after it announced that its curated vaults from Sentora had been integrated with Kraken’s DeFi earn program. 

Morpho saw a strong end to 2025

Morpho is the seventh-largest DeFi platform in total value locked (TVL) with $6.7 billion, according to data from DeFiLlama.

Related: US crypto policy pause fuels fresh debate over DeFi and governance: Finance Redefined

Last year, the platform began 2025 with around $3.2 billion in TVL, rising to around $4 billion by the end of January on the back of a partnership with Coinbase to launch Bitcoin-backed loans. 

Morpho’s TVL then fell to around $2.5 billion by April amid an attempted exploit on the protocol that was halted before any funds were lost. 

From there, however, platform adoption exploded, surging to as high as $8.5 billion in November, following partnerships with Crypto.com and Société Générale’s digital-asset subsidiary SG-FORGE in September and October. 

While it has surged up the ranks over the past 12 months, it still has a long way to go before it can catch competing lending platform and industry leader Aave, which has a TVL of more than $34 billion. 

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