Home Blog Page 1099

Australia Puts Crypto Oversight Gaps on 2026 Risk List

0

In brief

  • Australia is progressing digital-asset licensing laws that would require crypto custody and trading platforms to hold an Australian Financial Services Licence.
  • ASIC said some firms deliberately remain outside existing rules, heightening regulatory uncertainty and complicating enforcement.
  • Industry experts said clearer licensing boundaries and expanded regulatory sandboxes could support innovation while improving consumer protections.

Australia’s primary corporate and financial services regulator has listed regulatory gaps around crypto firms as a key risk for this year.

In its Key Issues Outlook released Monday, the Australian Securities and Investments Commission said fast-growing crypto, payments, and AI players operating at the edge of regulation are exposing consumers to unlicensed advice and misleading conduct.

ASIC Chair Joe Longo said the agency is tracking “major shifts across Australia’s financial system as pressures on consumers, markets and businesses intensify,” while global regulatory settings diverge, “creating growing fragmentation that makes compliance more complex and increases the risk of uneven consumer protections.”

The warning comes as Australia works to address regulatory gaps through comprehensive licensing legislation proposed by the government in November.

The Corporations Amendment (Digital Assets Framework) Bill 2025, which the government says could unlock $24 billion in annual productivity gains, is intended to establish the country’s first regulatory framework for businesses holding digital assets on behalf of customers, requiring platforms to obtain an Australian Financial Services Licence.

ASIC noted that while some businesses legitimately operate outside current regulations, “some entities will actively seek to remain outside regulation, contributing to perceived regulatory uncertainty,” making clarity on licensing requirements and perimeter oversight critical priorities for 2026.

Clarity still elusive

“The most effective thing the Australian government can do right now is clearly define the regulatory perimeter by passing long-overdue licensing legislation, Darcy Allen, Associate Professor at RMIT University and Director at the Digital Economy Council of Australia, told Decrypt.

“At the same time, Australia needs to think seriously about how it encourages experimental innovation,” Allen noted.

“Licensing rules have come a long way over recent years, and I believe will continue evolving rapidly based on ongoing consultations and oversight/learnings from existing implementations,” James Volpe, founding director of Melbourne-based Web3 education firm uCubed, told Decrypt.

“I believe we’re on the right track and that the frameworks are becoming clearer,” Volpe said, warning that gaps in awareness and understanding persist across the industry.

“These are not basic technologies, and it will take time and focus on education to ensure consumers are safe in this new landscape,” he added.

Meanwhile, Allen noted that the independent review of ASIC’s Enhanced Regulatory Sandbox is an opportunity to move toward a more open “safe-harbour model,” where innovators are “presumed free to experiment unless regulators intervene.”

ASIC’s Enhanced Regulatory Sandbox is a testing environment that allows eligible businesses to test certain financial services and products for up to 24 months without holding an Australian Financial Services Licence, subject to specific conditions and consumer protections.

“2026 will be a decisive year for Australia’s technology policy,” he said, as major reforms on digital platform competition and AI regulation move forward, adding that “how regulators treat technology companies will shape Australia’s growth trajectory for decades.”

Daily Debrief Newsletter

Start every day with the top news stories right now, plus original features, a podcast, videos and more.

Major League Soccer Partners With Polymarket in Multi‑year Fan Engagement Deal

0

Major League Soccer and Soccer United Marketing announce a multi‑year partnership with Polymarket to integrate prediction markets into fan experiences. Soccer United Marketing (SUM), the commercial arm of Major League Soccer (MLS), announces a multi‑year agreement naming Polymarket the official and exclusive prediction market partner of MLS, the MLS All‑Star Game, MLS Cup presented by […]

‘Most Reliable’ Bitcoin Price Signal Hints at a 2026 Bull Run

0

Bitcoin (BTC) traders highlighted multiple signals, predicting a “massive” price upswing. Still, onchain data shows that BTC price recovery could be delayed as market participants take a more defensive stance.

Key takeaways:

  • Bitcoin surged 600% in 2021 after a similar key bullish cross was confirmed. 

  • Onchain data points to persistent sell-side pressure, suggesting that a BTC price recovery might take time.

BTC bullish cross hints at a bull run ahead

Analyst Coinvo Trading spotted the appearance of a bullish cross involving the Stochastic RSI of the United States 10-Year Treasury Yield (US10Y) and China 10-Year Government Bond Yield (CN10Y) against Bitcoin’s weekly chart.

Related: Bitcoin investor sentiment cools amid US shutdown fears, Fed policy jitters

This is “Bitcoin’s most accurate bull run signal” and has only occurred four other times in the past, leading to massive price rallies, Coinvo Trading said in a recent post on X.

The last time Stoch RSI of the US10Y and CN10Y crossed was in October 2020, signalling the start of a 600% BTC rally to its 2021 all-time highs of $69,000.

BTC/USD weekly chart. Source: Coinvo Trading

Fellow analyst Matthew Hyland also foresees a possible BTC price breakout, based on the performance of the US dollar strength index (DXY).

He anticipates the BTC/USD pair to rally once the DXY edges below 96, as seen in 2017 and 2022.

Source: Matthew Hyland 

Meanwhile, gold hit a record high above $5,000, while Bitcoin remains rangebound as the divergence between the two assets widened.

Analysts at Swan said investors should not be worried about this divergence, however, as gold usually moves first while Bitcoin moves sideways for months before “violently” breaking out.

Source: X/Swan

Bitcoin market remains “fragile”

Bitcoin’s ability to stage a sustained recovery above key levels could be limited due to the absence of buyers.

Bitcoin’s spot cumulative volume delta (CVD) metric, an indicator that measures the net difference between buying and selling trade volumes, has flipped sharply negative, confirming a clear shift toward sell-side dominance.

This metric saw a steep drop to -$194.2 million last week from $54.2 million the week prior, suggesting “trader behavior has turned meaningfully risk-off, and reflects fading confidence in near-term upside price continuation,” Glassnode said in its latest Weekly Market Impulse report.

Bitcoin: Spot CVD. Source: Glassnode

Meanwhile, spot Bitcoin ETF weekly net flows flipped from a $1.6 billion inflow to a $1.7 billion outflow, suggesting “cooling institutional demand and increasing near-term downside pressure,” the onchain data provider said, adding:

“Overall, market conditions have shifted more defensive, while persistent sell-side pressure and rising hedging demand suggest the market remains fragile.”

As Cointelegraph reported, Bitcoin could be in for another prolonged period of consolidation, citing stiff overhead resistance, selling pressure from spot BTC ETFs and growing macroeconomic uncertainty.