XRP 200EMA Sweep To Trigger Rally? Analyst Shows Path To $8.5

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Despite XRP’s continued decline and its struggle to regain the $2 level, one analyst believes the asset is approaching a decisive technical zone that could determine the next rally. A chart breakdown from crypto analyst Egrag Crypto shows that if XRP reclaims key levels above the 200-week EMA, it could strengthen momentum and open the path toward $8.5.

XRP 200 EMA And $1.55 Become Immediate Battleground

The projected rally is based on XRP’s interaction with the 200-week EMA, a widely monitored indicator used to assess long-term market momentum. In his accompanying chart, XRP is attempting to move above this moving average while simultaneously approaching a horizontal resistance area around $1.55.

According to him, this zone represents the first meaningful test for bullish strength. A confirmed weekly close above both the 200 EMA and the $1.55 level would indicate that buyers are beginning to regain short-term control of the market. Such a move would signal increasing momentum on the upside and suggest that the recent downward pressure may be weakening.

XRP 200EMA
Source: X

Despite this potential shift, the broader technical structure remains intact. The analyst notes that XRP is still trading within a descending channel that has governed its recent price action. As long as the asset remains inside this formation, the larger trend continues to reflect a corrective phase rather than a confirmed breakout.

Because of this, reaching $1.55 signals early strength, but it does not invalidate the broader bearish structure. A sustained trend reversal would only be confirmed after a break above the channel’s upper boundary.

Break Above $2.20 Could Trigger A Rally Toward $8.5

Beyond the initial resistance test, the analyst identifies a higher confirmation level that could trigger a more aggressive bullish phase. The chart points to a weekly close above roughly $2.20 as the next structural milestone for XRP.

A move above this level would place the price beyond key resistance within the descending channel and potentially signal the beginning of a broader expansion phase. In the chart’s projection, such a breakout aligns with higher Fibonacci extension levels, with the longer-term trajectory extending toward the $8.5 region.

However, the chart also outlines a downside scenario if the $1.55 resistance fails to hold. A rejection at that level could trigger a sweep of lower liquidity areas, with the analyst pointing to $1.26 as the first potential downside target.

If weakness persists, the projection shows a deeper move toward the $0.95 to $0.85 region. This area appears on the chart as a broader support zone where price could stabilize before attempting to stage a rally.

For now, XRP’s direction hinges on its interaction with the 200 EMA and the $1.55 resistance level, which the analyst identifies as the key trigger determining whether the market builds short-term strength for a rally or continues its corrective structure.

XRP price chart from Tradingview.com
Price struggles with bears | Source: XRPUSDT on Tradingview.com

Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com

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