Tag: odds

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Regulation

CLARITY Act Odds Sink Amid Democratic Opposition to GOP Deal

Odds of the CLARITY Act becoming law this year on Polymarket fell sharply again on Monday after spiking the day before, as key Senate...
Ethereum

Bitcoin back above $81,000 as hike odds fade, Zcash leads with 15% jump

Every major token gained on Friday as traders cut bets on a September Federal Reserve rate increase to a coin flip, though most of...
Ethereum

Bitcoin back above $77,500, XRP leads majors as Fed hike odds near 66%

Every major token is green over 24 hours, though only zcash and hyperliquid are holding gains on the week.
DeFi

BTC wilts as Clarity Act odds tumble. U.S. deploys B1 bomber against Iran

Bond markets are already reacting. The U.S. two-year Treasury yield jumped to 4.31%, its highest level since February 2025, while the benchmark 10-year yield...
Markets

Clarity odds jump to 43% on Polymarket after unverified reports Trump agreed to ethics deal

Polymarket traders sharply raised the odds of the Clarity Act becoming law this year after reports that President Trump reportedly agreed to the ethics...
DeFi

Polymarket traders cut Clarity Act passage odds to record low as Senate delay drags on

The lack of an ethics provision remains one of the biggest sticking points. Sen. Ruben Gallego (D-Ariz.), one of two Democrats who voted to...
Regulation

Galaxy Digital Cuts 2026 CLARITY Act Odds to 50%

Galaxy Digital has cut its odds of the CLARITY Act becoming law in 2026 to 50%, warning that the US Senate is running out...
Markets

Galaxy Research Cuts CLARITY Act Passage Odds To 50-50 As Senate Clock Runs Out

Galaxy Digital’s research arm has cut its estimate of the CLARITY Act becoming law in 2026 to 50-50, down from 60% just...
Regulation

Galaxy Digital Drops Odds of CLARITY Act Passing to 60%

Crypto firm Galaxy Digital has lowered the odds of the Senate passing its crypto market structure bill before the end of the year, noting...
DeFi

Crypto ticks up as US-Iran peace deal odds climb

Crypto prices were slightly higher on Monday amid rising odds in prediction markets for a near-term U.S.-Iran peace deal, as Iranian negotiators arrived in...
Regulation

New Federal Reserve Chair Sworn In, but Rate Cut Odds Remain at 0

Kevin Warsh was sworn in on Friday as the chairman of the United States Federal Reserve, but investors and traders still forecast no interest...
Regulation

Odds against Interest Rate Cuts High as New US Fed Chair to be Sworn in

Kevin Warsh is set to be sworn in as the next chair of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors on Friday amid speculation...
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