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Kentucky Senate Urged to Strip Hardware Wallet Provision From Crypto Bill

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In brief

  • The Bitcoin Policy Institute urged the Kentucky Senate to remove Section 33 of HB 380, calling it “technologically impossible” for non-custodial wallets.
  • The provision was buried as a floor amendment in a kiosk regulation bill that passed the House 85-0 and could clear the Senate within days.
  • An expert told Decrypt that hardware wallet providers would likely exit the Kentucky market entirely rather than redesign products in ways that undermine self-custody.

A last-minute amendment requiring hardware wallet providers to help reset user credentials, tucked into Kentucky’s sweeping crypto ATM bill, is facing mounting backlash, with experts saying it is a fundamental misunderstanding of how crypto infrastructure works.

Section 33 of House Bill 380, added as a last-minute floor amendment during House debate, would require hardware wallet providers to furnish customers with a mechanism to reset “any password, pin, seed phrase, or other similar information” needed to access a wallet. 

“BPI is sending a letter to the Kentucky Senate informing them of the harmfulness of this language,” the group wrote on X.

Hardware wallets are physical devices that store crypto private keys offline and ensure only the user, not even the manufacturer, can access or recover them.

“This is likely far more indicative of a misunderstanding than a deliberate attempt at control,” Joe Ciccolo, Founder and President of BitAML, told Decrypt. 

“Policymakers often struggle with the concept of self-custody,” Ciccolo said, noting that “there is no central authority capable of resetting access credentials,” unlike traditional systems where recovery is standard.

BPI described the mandate as “technologically impossible for non-custodial wallets,” noting that requiring a backdoor undermines Bitcoin‘s fundamental security model and pushes users toward centralized custodians that are more vulnerable to hacks and failures.

“Kentucky is suddenly about to ban self-custody. Tell your friends,” Conner Brown, Managing Director at BPI, wrote on X.

“Requiring hardware wallet providers to recover or reset credentials would effectively force them to redesign their products in a way that undermines self-custody—or exit the market altogether,” Ciccolo said. 

“Most non-custodial wallet providers would likely choose not to operate in Kentucky rather than compromise their core security model,” he added, warning of “reduced consumer choice” and “diminished privacy protections.”

“The very consumers the bill aims to protect would lose access to one of the safest ways to store digital assets,” he said.

On safer paths forward, Ciccolo noted “social recovery mechanisms or multi-signature setups” can reduce risk “without introducing centralized control,” adding that “the best protection is ensuring users understand both the benefits and responsibilities of self-custody.” 

He also backed BPI’s move, saying “education is critical,” and that when proposals stem from a “knowledge gap,” direct engagement with policymakers is “the most effective path forward,” noting it “directly impacts consumers who value financial autonomy and security.”

HB 380 was introduced in the House on January 14, reported favorably out of the Banking and Insurance Committee on March 4, and passed the full chamber 85-0 on March 13. 

The underlying bill regulates virtual currency kiosk operators, establishes licensing requirements, and sets transaction limits, disclosures, and refund rules, provisions that carry broad political support and are expected to move the bill quickly through the upper chamber.

The bill arrived in the Senate on Monday and was referred to the Committee on Committees. 

Kentucky’s move follows a broader crackdown on crypto kiosks, with Connecticut halting Bitcoin Depot for compliance failures and Minnesota considering a ban on crypto ATMs.

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SymphonyAI AI Platforms Deployed for Compliance Environment at Munich Re

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As regulatory expectations grow more complex and financial crime risks continue to evolve, SymphonyAI, a global leader in Vertical AI platforms, offers a centralized, enterprise-grade technology foundation designed to operate at global scale while meeting local regulatory requirements.

SymphonyAI supports Munich Re, one of the leading reinsurers, and subsidiaries through its financial crime platform, which combines domain-specific expertise with artificial intelligence to help financial institutions detect, investigate, and manage financial crime risk with greater precision and efficiency.

“Integrated, production-scale financial crime platforms that can evolve with the risk landscape,” said John Edison, President of Financial Services, SymphonyAI. “Our work together with Munich Re reflects a shared focus on flexibility, performance, and long-term modernization, driven by AI-powered capabilities that are purpose-built for complex global environments.”

Unlike traditional, rules-heavy compliance systems built for periodic updates and manual intervention, SymphonyAI’s financial crime solutions are designed to operate as continuous, always-on intelligence systems. They combine AI-driven detection with explainability and governance to translate regulatory change and emerging risk into real-time decisions across compliance operations.

Prediction Markets Bet Bitcoin Will Drop Below $55K in 2026

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Bitcoin (BTC) may go as low as $55,000 in 2026 as the market lacks bullish catalysts amid macroeconomic uncertainties. 

Key takeaways:

  • BTC price has a 65%-71% chance of dropping below $55,000 before Dec. 31, according to prediction markets.

  • Bettors don’t expect Strategy to sell its BTC holdings in 2026. 

  • Whale selling and negative ETF flows add to Bitcoin’s sell-side pressure. 

Prediction markets see BTC bear market continuing

The majority of traders on Polymarket and Kalshi expect Bitcoin to resume its downtrend throughout 2026, with targets as low as $40,000. 

Related: Bitcoin tests old 2021 top as gold falls to six-week lows under $4.7K

As of Thursday, Polymarket bettors are pricing in about 71% odds of BTC dropping below $55,000 before Dec. 31, a 13% increase from the previous day.

Traders set 59% odds of BTC crossing below the $50,000 psychological level and a 46% chance that it goes as low as $45,000 before the end of the year.

Bitcoin prices target odds before Dec. 31. Source: Polymarket

The lower price target forecasts for BTC mimic those elsewhere. On fellow prediction site Kalshi, traders set 71% odds of Bitcoin dropping below $60,000, with a 65% chance that it drops below $55,000. The lowest price target on Kalshi is $40,000, with a 31% possibility that BTC drops to this level before Dec. 31.

How low will Bitcoin go in 2026? Source: Kalshi

Bitcoin’s low for 2026 sits at $59,940, reached on Feb. 6, and the last time the BTC/USD pair traded below $55,000 was in February 2024.

As Cointelegraph reported, some analysts believe that the long-term BTC price downtrend is still in play, warning that the rebound to $76,000 was a bull trap. 

Will Strategy sell Bitcoin in 2026?

Bitcoin’s recent drop to $69,000 saw it slide below Strategy’s average BTC cost price, which is $75,696 at the time of writing.

But despite the expected drawdown in price, Polymarket odds for Strategy selling Bitcoin in 2026 remain below 15%, while expectations for routine buys remain elevated.

Odds that Strategy sells Bitcoin in 2026. Source: Polymarket.

Polymarket traders still see routine Strategy purchases throughout the year as a high-probability event, with a 96% chance of it holding over 800,000 BTC by Dec. 31. 

Last week, Strategy expanded its Bitcoin treasury to 761,000 BTC after buying 22,337 coins for roughly $1.6 billion.

Bitcoin ETF flows tread water

Meanwhile, the US spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) returned to net negative flows on Wednesday.

These were driven mostly by outflows from the Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund (FBTC), data from investment firm Farside shows.

Bitcoin spot ETF flows (screenshot). Source: Farside

As Cointelegraph reported, the largest ETF offering from asset manager BlackRock saw $34 million in outflows as investor sentiment returned to “extreme fear.”