On-chain researcher Andrey Sergeenkov found that only 2% of the 2.5 million wallets analyzed have ever made over $1,000.
84.1% of all Polymarket traders are in the red, according to new research published today, April 6, by independent on-chain analyst Andrey Sergeenkov.
The report looked at 2.5 million wallet addresses, analyzing data from on-chain transactions on Polygon, via Dune Analytics. Sergeenkov found that over the past year, only 2% of traders have ever made more than $1,000 in their entire history on the platform, and just 0.033%— or 840 addresses — have earned $100,000 trading on Polymarket.
Sergeenkov also took on the claim that traders can earn a living on Polymarket, analyzing the odds of consistently earning $5,000 per month — just below the average monthly salary in the U.S. — and found that those odds are less than 1% in any single month.
Sustaining profits is even rarer. “Most traders show up, trade for a short period, and leave,” the report summarizes. The odds of earning $5,000 a month drop with each consecutive month, the research found. Among the 6,600 traders who earned an average profit above $5,000 per month, just 2.6% stayed active for more than a year.
A separate study from December 2025 analyzing 124 million trades on Polymarket found that 70% were unprofitable.
The findings land as Polymarket continues its mainstream commercial momentum, earlier this month becoming MLB’s exclusive prediction market partner, as The Defiant reported.
Polymarket is currently the largest on-chain prediction market platform, and the second-largest more broadly, with $9.8 billion in notional trading volume over the past 30 days, following Kalshi with $12.5 billion, per Token Terminal.
Meanwhile, a new referral program as of this month is set to drive another wave of retail signups via influencers — a dynamic Sergeenkov warns could deepen the loss problem without better user education.
Prediction market volumes grew 130x from 2024 through 2025, and the sector has received increasing regulatory attention, especially in the United States. In recent months, the Trump administration’s CFTC has taken a clear stance in favor of federal oversight of prediction market platforms via the agency, recently launching a sweeping review of the sector.
Adding another layer to Polymarket’s ambitions, the platform has also just today unveiled Polymarket USD, a new proprietary stablecoin set to replace bridged USDC.e as the platform’s collateral token, as part of what the platform is calling a significant infrastructure upgrade.
As The Defiant has reported, Polymarket’s crowd-sourced odds are increasingly cited as among the most accurate forecasting tools available, a reputation that sits uneasily alongside these numbers for individual traders.
This article was written with the assistance of AI workflows. All our stories are curated, edited and fact-checked by a human.
Bitcoin rose above the $70,000 level on Monday, but analysts remain skeptical, expecting a drop below the $60,000 support.
Several major altcoins have bounced off their supports, indicating demand at lower levels.
Buyers pushed Bitcoin (BTC) above the $70,000 level, but failed to sustain the breakout. That suggests the bears have not given up and are trying to retain control. Select analysts believe that BTC is likely to dip below its $60,000 low before bottoming out.
Another negative view came from Glassnode, which said in its recent report that its Long-Term Holder Realized Loss metric, which tracks losses locked in by investors who held coins for more than six months before selling, suggests the selling pressure may not have exhausted. The 30-day simple moving average of the indicator at $200 million per day needs to drop to levels below $25 million for the base formation to begin.
Crypto market data daily view. Source: TradingView
Among all the bearishness, there is a silver lining for the bulls. According to crypto sentiment platform Santiment, social media platforms recorded five bearish BTC comments for every four BTC bullish comments, the most since Feb. 28.
That is a good sign as markets typically move in the opposite direction of the crowd’s expectation, suggesting “things can turn positive sooner rather than later,” Santiment added.
Could buyers extend the recovery in BTC and the major altcoins? Let’s analyze the charts.
S&P 500 Index price prediction
The S&P 500 Index (SPX) has pulled back to the 20-day exponential moving average (6,601), indicating solid buying at lower levels.
Sellers will attempt to halt the recovery at the 20-day EMA, but if the bulls prevail, the index may rise to the 50-day simple moving average (6,777). Sellers are expected to pose a strong challenge at the 50-day SMA.
On the downside, the bears will have to yank the price below the 6,316 level to signal the resumption of the corrective phase. The next support to watch out for on the downside is the 6,147 level.
US Dollar Index price prediction
The US Dollar Index (DXY) is stuck between the 20-day EMA ($99.59) and the 100.54 overhead resistance.
Sellers are attempting to pull the price below the 20-day EMA. If they can pull it off, the index may decline to the 50-day SMA (98.44). That suggests the index may trade inside the large range between 95.55 and 100.54 for a while longer.
Buyers will have to maintain the price above the 20-day EMA to retain control. If they do that, the possibility of a break above the 100.54 level increases. The index may then start a new up move to the 102 level and subsequently to the 103.54 level.
Bitcoin price prediction
BTC closed above the moving averages on Sunday, indicating that the bulls are attempting a comeback.
The flattish moving averages and the relative strength index (RSI) near the midpoint do not give a clear advantage either to the bulls or the bears. If the price sustains above the moving averages, the bulls will attempt to drive the BTC/USDT pair above the $72,000 resistance. If they succeed, the BTC price may reach the $74,508 to $76,000 resistance zone.
Sellers are likely to have other plans. They will strive to pull the pair below the support line, invalidating the bullish setup. That opens the doors for a decline to the $62,500 to $60,000 support zone.
Ether price prediction
Ether (ETH) closed above the moving averages on Sunday, clearing the path for a rally to the $2,200 resistance.
Sellers will attempt to halt the recovery at the $2,200 level, but if the buyers pierce the resistance, the ETH/USDT pair may march to the $2,400 resistance. The bulls will have to propel the ETH price above the $2,400 level to start a sustained recovery to $2,800 and then to $3,050.
Alternatively, if the ETH price turns down sharply from the $2,200 level and breaks below the moving averages, it suggests that the pair may consolidate for some time. The support of the range is at the $1,916 level.
BNB price prediction
BNB’s (BNB) bounce off the $570 level has reached the moving averages, where the bears are expected to step in.
If the price turns down sharply from the moving averages, the BNB/USDT pair risks breaking below the $570 level. If that happens, the BNB price may resume the downtrend and plummet to the $500 level.
Instead, if buyers drive the price above the moving averages, it suggests that the pair may extend its stay inside the $570 to $687 range for a few more days. Buyers will be back in the driver’s seat on a close above the $687 level.
XRP price prediction
XRP (XRP) turned up from the crucial $1.27 support on Sunday, indicating that the bulls are aggressively defending the level.
The bulls will have to secure a close above the 50-day SMA ($1.39) to improve the prospects of a rally to the $1.61 level and later to the downtrend line of the descending channel pattern.
On the contrary, if the XRP price turns down sharply from the moving averages and breaks below $1.27, it suggests that the bears remain in control. The XRP/USDT pair may plunge to the $1.11 level and eventually to the support line near the $1 level.
Solana price prediction
Solana (SOL) has been oscillating inside the $76 to $98 range for several days, indicating a tough battle between the bulls and the bears.
If buyers push the price above the moving averages, the SOL/USDT pair may ascend to the $98 resistance. Sellers are expected to fiercely defend the $98 level in an attempt to keep the SOL price inside the range.
The next trending move is expected to begin on a close above $98 or below $76. If buyers thrust the price above the $98 resistance, the pair may surge to the $117 level. Conversely, a close below the $76 support might sink the pair to the $67 level.
Related: First real bull signal since 2025? Five things to know in Bitcoin this week
Dogecoin price prediction
Dogecoin (DOGE) remains stuck inside a tight range between the 50-day SMA ($0.09) and the $0.09 level, signaling a balance between supply and demand.
Buyers will gain the upper hand on a close above the moving averages. The DOGE/USDT pair may rally to the $0.11 level and subsequently to the $0.12 resistance. If the price turns down from the overhead resistance, the pair may swing between $0.12 and $0.09 for a while.
If the DOGE price turns down from the moving averages and breaks below the $0.09 level, it signals that the bears have seized control. The pair may slump to the $0.08 level and thereafter to the $0.06 level.
Hyperliquid price prediction
Buyers are attempting to maintain the Hyperliquid (HYPE) price above the 20-day EMA ($37.03) but are facing strong resistance from the bears.
If the HYPE price closes above the 20-day EMA, it suggests that the lower levels continue to attract buyers. The HYPE/USDT pair may then rally to $41.59 and, after that, to the $44 level.
This positive view will be negated in the near term if the price turns down and breaks below the 50-day SMA ($34.48). The pair may then witness a deeper correction to the $30 level.
Cardano price prediction
Cardano (ADA) closed above the $0.25 level on Sunday, signaling that the bears are losing their grip.
There is resistance at the 50-day SMA ($0.26), but if the bulls overcome it, the ADA/USDT pair may reach the downtrend line of the descending channel pattern. Sellers are expected to defend the downtrend line, as a close above it signals a potential short-term trend change.
The $0.22 level is the crucial level to watch out for on the downside. If the support breaks down, the ADA price may start the next leg of the downtrend to the support line near the $0.16 level.
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision. While we strive to provide accurate and timely information, Cointelegraph does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any information in this article. This article may contain forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties. Cointelegraph will not be liable for any loss or damage arising from your reliance on this information.
Polymarket is upgrading its order book and smart contracts as part of its “biggest change to date.”
The platform is also unveiling its own stablecoin—Polymarket USD—to replace its existing, bridged collateral token.
Polymarket also plans to launch its own native token, POLY, though no ETA has been announced.
Prominent on-chain prediction market platform Polymarket is deploying a major upgrade to its technical foundations, including implementing a new order book and its own stablecoin for use as collateral on the platform.
The firm is calling the upgrade its “biggest change to date.”
“We’ve heard your feedback, and we’re excited to announce Polymarket is getting a full exchange upgrade,” theprediction market posted on X. “Over the next few weeks, we’re rolling out a rebuilt trading engine, upgraded smart contracts, and a new collateral token, Polymarket USD.”
We’ve heard your feedback, and we’re excited to announce Polymarket is getting a full exchange upgrade.
Over the next few weeks, we’re rolling out a rebuilt trading engine, upgraded smart contracts, and a new collateral token (Polymarket USD) to move off USDC.e. 🧵
The changes are expected to be implemented over the coming weeks, with a brief period requiring the cancellation of all open orders on the platform. However, the firm says it will give traders at least “a few days” of advanced notice prior to cancelling unfilled orders.
“Our biggest infrastructure change since launch… faster execution, lower gas, and a cleaner foundation going forward,” it said.
While the firm doesn’t expect a difficult transition for most prediction market users, builders, API-only traders, and power users may be more affected by the changes. For example, users running bots to trade on the markets will need to update their software development kits to enable trading with the new order book structure.
Additionally, more advanced users may need to use a smart contract wrap function to move their USDC or USDC.e into the firm’s new stablecoin and collateral token—Polymarket USD.
The firm has historically utilized USDC.e on Ethereumscaling network, Polygon, which represents a bridged version of Circle’s dollar-backed stablecoin USDC. But the move to its own token, which will be backed 1:1 with Circle’s USDC, created speculation among users about improved yields for those holding funds on the platform and the potential for a sizable revenue bump for the firm.
Meanwhile, other users speculated that the launch of its own stablecoin could also spur the rollout of the platform’s planned native token, POLY. Yet, while the token was confirmed to be in the works, predictors on Myriad—a prediction market from Decrypt‘s parent company, Dastan—do not believe it will launch by May, putting odds of the token launch before that time just 11%.
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BlockDAG opened priority trading on April 8 with the token near $0.03 while the aftersale still offers entry at $0.0005, creating a 60x gap that puts massive selling pressure on every climb attempt.
That blockdag price prediction depends on whether new demand can absorb early holders looking to exit, and data shows supply winning. Wallets that calculated the risk are choosing Pepeto after it collected more than $8 million from a presale led by the builder of the original Pepe coin, with a confirmed Binance listing approaching and SolidProof verified contracts behind every dollar.
BlockDAG Price Prediction April 2026: Priority Trading Launches Into Supply Headwinds
Supply Pressure, Listing Paths, and the Presale That Already Proved Conviction
Pepeto: $8 Million Flowing In While BlockDAG Faces Selling Pressure
While the blockdag price prediction wrestles with 60x supply overhang from aftersale holders, Pepeto is drawing capital with clear conviction at more than $8 million collected and the token held at $0.000000186. The person who built the original Pepe coin leads this project with a Binance contributor on the team, and SolidProof has gone through every contract.
The foundation of Pepeto is a verified trading center that keeps capital protected while delivering real tools. The risk scorer reviews every contract before a purchase completes so money never enters a project that drains wallets, and the cross chain bridge moves tokens between networks at zero cost so value stays whole during every transfer.
Unlike BDAG at $0.03 with 60x supply pressure from aftersale sellers waiting to exit, Pepeto faces no such overhang because the presale structure feeds directly into a confirmed Binance listing that creates demand on day one. Analysts project 100x once listing activates, and the pace of capital flowing in during extreme fear at an index of 13 is the clearest confirmation anyone needs. Holders collect 187% APY staking while the listing approaches.
The original Pepe coin reached billions with zero products, and Pepeto carries a verified trading center Pepe never had, making the floor logically higher for wallets entering at presale level. The presale filling faster each stage proves conviction is real, and the blockdag price prediction shows what happens when that conviction is missing as early holders rush to sell into a thin market.
BlockDAG Price Prediction for April 2026
BDAG trades near $0.03 after launching at $0.05 on March 5 and sliding 40% in its first month according to CoinGabbar. The aftersale at $0.0005 with over 101 million coins available creates constant selling pressure according to Cryptonews. Conservative blockdag price prediction models see BDAG at $0.001 by year end if selling persists, while optimistic targets of $0.07 to $0.18 require the Super App launch to drive adoption.
The $452 million raised over two years means concentrated supply seeking exit, the opposite of what holders need for price growth. A 2x to $0.06 is the ceiling most models project, revealing why capital chasing multiples chose the entry where a confirmed Binance listing creates demand instead of hoping thin order books absorb selling.
Conclusion
The blockdag price prediction struggling under 60x supply pressure is the backdrop that makes the presale filling with $8 million look even more significant. Large caps target 2x over months while the presale targets 100x from one listing event, and the pace of capital flowing into Pepeto during fear is the clearest confirmation that conviction is real and already locked in.
Every stage fills faster than the one before it, and entering now means joining what the capital already confirmed instead of hoping supply pressure on another project resolves in time. More than $8 million on the Pepeto official website is the proof that calculated wallets made their decision, and the presale price that exists today vanishes permanently when listing opens.
Click To Visit Pepeto official Website To Enter The Presale
FAQ
What does the blockdag price prediction say for April 2026?
BDAG trades near $0.03 with 60x supply pressure from aftersale holders, and realistic models target $0.06 while conservative forecasts see $0.001 if selling persists.
How much could Pepeto grow after listing?
Analysts project 100x from the presale price once the confirmed Binance listing goes live, with the Pepe originator and SolidProof verified contracts behind it.
Why choose Pepeto over BlockDAG?
The blockdag price prediction faces supply overhang from a $452 million presale. The Pepeto official website shows $8 million entering a presale with a confirmed listing creating demand on day one.
Strive has expanded its Bitcoin treasury with a new acquisition of 113 BTC, reinforcing a steady accumulation strategy among publicly traded firms increasingly treating Bitcoin as a core balance-sheet asset.
According to a recent filing, the company purchased the Bitcoin for approximately $7.75 million, implying an average price near $68,584 per BTC. The latest addition brings Strive’s total holdings to 13,741 BTC.
The move comes during a period of elevated volatility across digital asset markets, with Bitcoin trading around the $70,000 level. Despite price fluctuations, corporate demand continues to provide a structural bid, particularly from firms pursuing long-term treasury diversification strategies.
Strive’s accumulation pattern reflects a disciplined, incremental approach rather than large one-off purchases.
Bitcoin as a strategic reserve asset for Strive
Corporate Bitcoin adoption, once a niche strategy, has expanded significantly since 2020. Early adopters framed Bitcoin as a hedge against currency debasement and a non-sovereign store of value. That narrative has since evolved into a broader institutional thesis, positioning Bitcoin as a “digital reserve asset” alongside cash and fixed-income instruments.
Firms such as Strategy pioneered the model of converting significant portions of corporate treasuries into Bitcoin, setting a precedent that has influenced a growing number of public companies. Strive’s latest purchase reflects continued adherence to that framework, albeit at a smaller scale.
The company’s total holdings of 13,741 BTC now place it among a cohort of corporate treasuries that collectively control a meaningful share of Bitcoin’s circulating supply.
While still far below industry leaders, the accumulation trend underscores a broader shift in corporate finance, where digital assets are increasingly integrated into capital allocation strategies.
Earlier today, Strategy said they acquired 4,871 BTC for about $329.9 million between April 1–5, bringing its total holdings to roughly 766,970 BTC valued at around $58 billion. The purchases were funded through at-the-market equity programs, including preferred stock (STRC) and common share sales, as the company continues using capital markets to expand its Bitcoin treasury strategy despite ongoing unrealized losses of about $14.46 billion in Q1.
Despite reporting a significant paper loss on its Bitcoin holdings, both Strive and Strategy remains committed to its aggressive accumulation approach, with management reaffirming Bitcoin as its primary treasury reserve asset and investors continuing to treat the company as a leveraged proxy for Bitcoin exposure.
Editorial Disclaimer: We leverage AI as part of our editorial workflow, including to support research, image generation, and quality assurance processes. All content is directed, reviewed, and approved by our editorial team, who are accountable for accuracy and integrity. AI-generated images use only tools trained on properly license material. In Bitcoin, as in media: Don’t trust. Verify.
Institutional interest in crypto remains strong despite market downturns.
Regulatory negotiations over yield language are critical for the future of crypto regulation.
Token projects may have a four-year window to decentralize to avoid being classified as securities.
New regulations will require uniform disclosure forms for token projects and exchanges.
The SEC’s disclosure requirements may hinder investor access to crucial information.
The separation of token entities and foundations complicates business operations.
Regulatory constraints increase operational friction in crypto startups.
Token projects should focus on value accrual to the token itself rather than shareholder value.
Legislative clarity can enable value capture at the token level without triggering securities law issues.
Uncertainty around token issuance and governance affects investor confidence and valuations.
The historical correlation between market performance and conference attendance is shifting.
The regulatory landscape is evolving, impacting how token projects are classified and managed.
Understanding the complexities of regulatory negotiations is crucial for crypto projects.
Disclosure requirements are expected to be structured and enforced uniformly in the crypto market.
The current regulatory environment presents unique challenges for crypto businesses.
Guest intro
Tushar Jain is Co-founder and Managing Partner at Multicoin Capital, a thesis-driven investment firm focused on tokens, crypto, and blockchain companies. Prior to Multicoin, he founded ePatientFinder, a healthcare IT company where he served as COO, raised over $10M in venture capital, and grew it to serve over 2 million patients. He co-authored Proof of Physical Work and publishes annual Crypto Theses reports analyzing token models and market trends.
Institutional interest in crypto during downturns
The current institutional interest in the crypto market is significant, even amidst a downturn.
— Tushar Jain
Institutional engagement with crypto shows resilience despite market downturns.
This is the first time that’s ever we bucked that trend in seven years.
— Tushar Jain
Historical correlation between market performance and conference attendance is changing.
Largest ask we ever had when Bitcoin’s down 50% off the highs.
— Tushar Jain
Institutional bull market presence is perceived as very real.
Institutional bull market thing is definitely very real.
— Tushar Jain
Understanding the historical trends helps in assessing current market dynamics.
Regulatory negotiations and yield language
The ongoing negotiations over yield language are crucial for determining how crypto projects will be regulated.
— Tushar Jain
The banking lobby and crypto interests are negotiating over yield language.
What’s been holding it up is this negotiation over yield language.
— Tushar Jain
These negotiations impact the regulatory framework for digital assets.
Understanding regulatory discussions is key to navigating the crypto landscape.
Yield language discussions are pivotal for future crypto project regulations.
The outcome of these negotiations will shape the digital asset ecosystem.
Regulatory clarity is essential for the growth and sustainability of crypto projects.
Token projects and securities classification
Token projects will have a four-year period to decentralize to avoid being classified as securities.
— Tushar Jain
An exemption is expected for token projects selling under $75,000,000 worth of tokens.
They’ll have four years to decentralize to a point where they’re not gonna be treated as a security.
— Tushar Jain
These regulatory changes will significantly impact token project strategies.
Understanding the regulatory landscape is crucial for token projects.
The four-year decentralization period provides a strategic window for projects.
Classification as securities has major implications for token projects.
Regulatory changes aim to provide clarity and structure for token projects.
Uniform disclosure requirements for token projects
There will be a uniform form of disclosure required for token projects and exchanges under the new regulations.
— Tushar Jain
The SEC will work out the uniform disclosure form in rulemaking.
Both issuers of tokens or originators of tokens will have some responsibility to do so for a set period of time.
— Tushar Jain
These disclosures are crucial for investor transparency and trust.
Regulatory framework for disclosures impacts token projects and investors.
Uniform disclosure requirements aim to standardize information across the market.
Understanding disclosure requirements is key for compliance and transparency.
The new regulations will shape how token projects and exchanges operate.
Impact of SEC disclosure requirements
The SEC’s disclosure requirements are hindering investor access to crucial information.
— Tushar Jain
Excessive disclosure can lead to securities classification issues.
If we give too much disclosure, the SEC is gonna claim that people are investing because of what I said.
— Tushar Jain
Regulatory requirements create barriers for investor decision-making.
Understanding the regulatory environment is crucial for crypto businesses.
Disclosure requirements can complicate value accrual discussions.
Balancing disclosure with regulatory compliance is a significant challenge.
The impact of disclosure requirements on investor access is a key concern.
The complexity of token entities and foundations
The separation of token entities and foundations is unnecessary and complicates business operations.
— Tushar Jain
Merging token entities could provide market certainty and simplify operations.
What if we just merge it all together and not waste our time and energy on a bunch of this theater.
— Tushar Jain
Understanding token structures is crucial for navigating the crypto ecosystem.
Simplifying operations could enhance clarity and efficiency in the market.
The current separation creates unnecessary complexity and operational friction.
Strategic shifts in token structures could benefit the overall market.
The complexity of token entities impacts business operations and market perception.
Operational friction in crypto startups
The operational friction in crypto startups is exacerbated by regulatory constraints and organizational silos.
— Tushar Jain
Regulatory and structural issues create unique challenges for startups.
Increasing the operational friction of building and scaling a business by a thousand fold.
— Tushar Jain
Understanding traditional vs. crypto business operations is essential.
Organizational silos hinder communication and efficiency in startups.
Regulatory constraints significantly impact startup growth and scalability.
Overcoming operational friction is crucial for startup success in the crypto space.
The impact of operational friction on business development is a key concern.
Value accrual in token projects
Token projects should prioritize value accrual to the token itself rather than maximizing shareholder value.
— Tushar Jain
A properly constructed foundation can guide projects for network benefit.
The value should accrue to the token itself.
— Tushar Jain
Understanding governance models in crypto projects is crucial.
Shifting focus from shareholder to token value is a fundamental change.
Value accrual strategies impact the future of crypto governance.
The distinction between traditional and crypto governance is significant.
Prioritizing token value can enhance project sustainability and growth.
Legislative clarity and value capture
Legislative clarity can enable value capture at the token level without triggering securities law issues.
— Tushar Jain
Clarity in regulations facilitates innovation and value creation.
Clarity does create an avenue for value capture to exist at the token level.
— Tushar Jain
Understanding securities laws is crucial for token projects.
Regulatory clarity is essential for sustainable growth in the crypto space.
Value capture strategies must align with regulatory frameworks.
Legislative clarity impacts how token projects are structured and managed.
The role of regulatory clarity in enabling innovation is significant.
Uncertainty in token issuance and governance
The uncertainty around token issuance and governance affects investor confidence and valuations.
— Tushar Jain
Token foundations holding large portions of tokens create market uncertainty.
There was always uncertainty of like are these tokens gonna hit the market.
— Tushar Jain
Understanding token foundations’ roles is crucial for market perceptions.
Management of token supply influences market valuations and behavior.
Investor confidence is impacted by governance and issuance uncertainties.
Addressing uncertainty is key to maintaining investor trust and market stability.
The impact of governance on market perceptions is a critical consideration.
Disclosure: This article was edited by Editorial Team. For more information on how we create and review content, see our Editorial Policy.
The perpetuals exchange will use World Liberty Financial’s stablecoin as the sole settlement asset for its commodity markets, starting with gold, silver, and crude oil.
Every perpetual contract tracking real-world assets (RWA) on Aster will settle exclusively in USD1, World Liberty Financial’s dollar-pegged stablecoin, according to posts from both projects on X.
The first markets rolling out include gold, silver, crude oil, and Brent crude, with additional markets to follow, Aster said. The fee structure for USD1 commodity pairs is set at 1 basis point for takers and a negative 0.5 basis points for makers — meaning the exchange will pay a rebate to liquidity providers.
The two sides also said they are “exploring integration across their respective tokens,” though neither project elaborated.
The arrangement positions USD1 as the base asset for Aster’s RWA vertical, giving WLFI’s stablecoin exclusive infrastructure-level access to a fast-growing segment of on-chain trading.
The announcement extends a partnership that has escalated quickly. USD1, which launched in April 2025, is now the sixth-largest stablecoin with approximately $4.4 billion in circulation, according to Coingecko.
WLFI has been pushing distribution aggressively — most recently through a toolkit that lets AI agents transact autonomously using USD1, alongside a Binance campaign offering a 135 million WLFI reward pool to USD1 holders and listings on Coinbase and MEXC.
For Aster, the commodity expansion tracks with its own transformation from a crypto-only perp DEX into a multi-asset trading platform. The exchange already offers perpetuals on U.S. equities alongside its core crypto derivatives and recently launched the genesis phase of Aster Chain, a privacy-focused Layer 1 using zero-knowledge proofs.
Both projects’ native tokens are relatively muted today, with ASTER flat while WLFI is up 2%.
This article was written with the assistance of AI workflows. All our stories are curated, edited and fact-checked by a human.
North Korean hackers drained $285 million from Drift Protocol after six months of infiltration, and the cryptocurrency news cycle delivered both the biggest DeFi theft of 2026 and a ceasefire rally that sent Bitcoin above $69,000 in the same week. SOL dropped 38% this year and BNB holds $605, but both need the macro to shift before delivering meaningful returns.
Pepeto has raised above $8 million as the same cofounder who built Pepe to $11 billion with zero products and 420 trillion supply watches the identical math form again, and matching that previous peak from presale cost is 150x with a working exchange this time.
Cryptocurrency News Leads With $285 Million Drift Hack and Ceasefire Recovery
SOL Rebuilds, BNB Holds, and the Pattern That Already Proved 150x Works
Pepeto
While the cryptocurrency news reports hacks and rallies, Pepeto is the platform where SolidProof tested every contract before the first wallet committed capital. PepetoSwap charges nothing on any transaction so positions stay whole, and the chain bridge lets holdings travel between networks without losing value to gas. The Pepe token creator runs the project with a Binance platform builder who designed the order flow, and above $8 million committed during 47 days of extreme fear backs the conviction.
The station where tokens get reviewed, positions get opened, and funds get transferred operates from one place while the cryptocurrency news warns about protocols that lost everything. Pepeto sits at $0.000000186 with the Binance listing drawing near, and 187% APY staking increases holdings while the 420 trillion token count Pepe carried to $11 billion now has working trading tools.
The cryptocurrency news keeps debating which token recovers first, but Pepeto offers the cofounder who already proved the math works: same supply, same energy, and reaching the same peak is 150x with more behind it this time.
The cofounder already proved the math works once with zero products, and doing it again with a working exchange is a pattern repeating, not a prediction.
Solana
SOL trades at $82 per CoinDesk, down 38% in 2026 after the Drift hack shook DeFi confidence. SOL needs $185 to recover half its losses. The cryptocurrency news on Solana centers on hack recovery, and the token needs a $60 billion market cap to reclaim $160, returns that presale entries deliver from one event.
BNB
BNB holds $605 per CoinGecko, ranked fourth after overtaking XRP. April targets $671, an 11% best case. The cryptocurrency news on BNB is steady, but $605 entries need trillions for multiples, and presale math offers what BNB at this price cannot.
Conclusion
The cryptocurrency news this week exposed a $285 million hack and delivered a ceasefire rally, and through both Pepeto kept filling with capital from wallets that saw the cofounder who built Pepe to $11 billion with zero products doing it again with 420 trillion supply and a working exchange. Matching that previous peak from the current presale cost is 150x, and the wallets that see the pattern are entering now through the Pepeto official website is betting on a pattern that already worked rather than hoping SOL recovers from a hack or BNB grinds toward 11% over the quarter.
Click To Visit Pepeto Website To Enter The Presale
FAQs
What is the biggest cryptocurrency news in April 2026?
The $285 million Drift hack, Iran ceasefire talks, and Schwab spot crypto launch dominate, creating both caution and optimism across the market.
How does Pepeto compare to SOL and BNB for this cycle?
SOL needs hack recovery and BNB targets 11%, while Pepeto offers 150x math from the same cofounder who proved it with Pepe, backed by SolidProof and above $8 million raised.
Is the cryptocurrency news pointing to Pepeto as the best presale?
The presale closes at listing, and the Pepeto official website is where wallets lock in the cost the cofounder’s track record projects could deliver 150x.
Market nerves over the US-Iran war resulted in uncertain trading, with US stocks treading water at the open.
Speaking to the media at a military event, US President Donald Trump reiterated earlier comments that Iran would “have no bridges” and “no power plants” unless a deal was reached.
“I won’t go further because there are other things that are worse than those two,” he told reporters.
Trump previously stated that the deadline for a deal was 8pm Eastern time on Tuesday.
With price pinned below the $70,000 mark, onchain analytics platform Glassnode pointed to internal market forces as the reason for the lack of continuation higher.
“As price probed the $70K region, Realized Profit/hour spiked above $20M, signalling a local exhaustion,” it noted in a post on X.
“A pattern consistent since February 2026: Every approach to the $70k–$80K band meets thin liquidity and profit-taking pressure, capping the bounce.”
Pseudonymous trader LP added that Mondays and Thursdays had seen the upper and lower end of the week’s trading range throughout 2026.
“Price pushed higher into Monday, increasing the probability of this pivot forming a weekly high. If the correlation continues to play out, this would suggest Thursday forms the low of the week,” they told X followers.
“Watch price action closely today and tomorrow, it will confirm whether this intra-week pivot resolved as a high or a low.”
BTC price chart. Source: LP/X
Bitcoin trader eyes $71,000 springboard
Continuing, crypto trader Michaël Van de Poppe said the line in sand for bears lay slightly higher than Monday’s current peak.
Related: First real bull signal since 2025? Five things to know in Bitcoin this week
“Pretty strong momentum on the markets of Bitcoin,” he wrote on X about the initial move to $70,000.
“Volatility picking up, and I think it’s fireworks during this week as we might be getting to the end stage of the entire situation in the Strait of Hormuz. If Bitcoin breaks $71K, then markets are in for a test at $80K.”
BTC/USDT one-day chart. Source: Michaël Van de Poppe
Van de Poppe further cautioned on following blanket market consensus over new lows coming next.
“Given that all the markets are so oversold at this point, all on-chain indicators are looking overextended and are at similar levels to the bottom areas in 2018, 2020 and 2022, I wouldn’t be surprised that we’re getting a relief run that’s going to turn the sentiment quickly,” he concluded.
This article is produced in accordance with Cointelegraph’s Editorial Policy and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice or recommendations. All investments and trades carry risk; readers are encouraged to conduct independent research before making any decisions. Cointelegraph makes no guarantees regarding the accuracy or completeness of the information presented, including forward-looking statements, and will not be liable for any loss or damage arising from reliance on this content.
BCA Research puts U.S. recession odds at 40%, warning that sustained 10% oil supply cuts could push crude to $200.
Oil held above $100 a barrel signals commodity traders see deeper risk than equity investors currently pricing in.
Berezin favors Anthropic among 2026 IPO candidates but says a wave of listings often marks a sector peak.
Economist Warns Oil Could Hit $200 If Iran Conflict Disrupts 10% of Global Supply
Berezin spoke with David Lin on The David Lin Report, as equity markets posted a brief gain on reports of possible Iran ceasefire talks. He was skeptical the rally would hold.
“I kind of see the path of the stock market being like that,” Berezin said, comparing equities to a bouncing ball descending a staircase. “It’ll bounce up for a while, but ultimately it’ll end up lower than where it started.”
The Nasdaq had already pulled back roughly 7.5% year to date at the time of the interview, with a trough decline of about 12% making it the worst start to a year since 2022. Berezin explained that stocks remain expensive, trading around 20 times forward earnings on peak profit margins. He called cash his preferred asset class for now.
On oil, Berezin pointed to the Strait of Hormuz, through which roughly 20% of global oil supply passes, and noted that approximately 10% of world supply is currently being disrupted. Demand for oil is highly inelastic, he explained to Lin, meaning prices would likely need to double or triple to reduce consumption by 10%.
“If we have a sustained decrease in global oil production of around 10%, then it’s very easy to see oil prices going to $200,” he said. Berezin added:
“I mean think about the pandemic period during the worst point of the pandemic. Remember all those sort of empty streets? Global oil consumption was down about 20%. If you look in the Straight of Hormuz, that’s how much global oil supply goes through the Straight every day.”
He noted that commodity traders have not followed equity investors into the recent rally, with oil prices remaining elevated above $100 a barrel. Berezin said that gap is a warning sign, given that commodity markets tend to be better informed about where energy prices are heading.
Recession probability for Europe and Japan sits closer to 50%, Berezin said, partly because higher oil prices hurt their terms of trade more than the United States. The dollar benefits in the short term from elevated crude, he added, but faces structural headwinds: a still-expensive valuation by purchasing power parity, decades of current account deficits, and central banks diversifying away from dollar reserves. He argued that gold stands to benefit from that diversification trend over the coming months and years, after a correction driven partly by retail profit-taking.
On the Iran conflict itself, Berezin said a negotiated resolution remains the base case but warned that a power vacuum following the killing of key Iranian leadership makes near-term compromise harder. He insisted that tougher political figures tend to rise in such environments, which works against a quick off-ramp.
The conversation shifted to artificial intelligence (AI) and its impact on the broader tech sector. Berezin detailed that the disruption has moved well past software and now threatens social media companies. He argued that AI agents may increasingly deliver content directly to users, reducing the value of platforms like Instagram and Youtube from destinations to mere content repositories.
On AI hardware, Berezin pointed to a Wall Street Journal report on Caltech research showing sharply lower computational costs for large language models (LLMs). He drew a parallel to internet infrastructure: data transmission has grown at a cumulative pace of roughly 500,000% over 25 years, yet spending on that infrastructure has fallen as a share of GDP. He said AI could follow a similar path, rendering the projected trillions in data center spending unnecessary.
“The irony could be that we end up with an AI-empowered world, but we don’t need like trillions of dollars in data centers to get there,” he said.
That scenario, Berezin remarked, would be bearish for copper and base metals in the short term but potentially bullish over the long term, since genuine AI-driven productivity gains would eventually create demand for physical resources that remain finite.
Asked about anticipated 2026 IPOs including SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic, Berezin said Anthropic was his pick if pressed, citing its positioning in business AI services and the advantage it would gain from lower compute costs. He also cautioned that a heavy IPO wave often signals a sector top.
He pushed back firmly on warnings from Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei that AI could eliminate half of all entry-level white-collar jobs and push unemployment to 10% to 20% within five years. Berezin stressed that economists know that productivity gains translate into income gains in equilibrium, and that any resulting inequality would likely trigger a fiscal and monetary policy response that prevents unemployment from rising sharply.
