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Japan moves to classify cryptocurrencies as financial product

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Japan’s cabinet has approved a draft amendment that would classify cryptocurrencies as financial products, marking a shift in how the country regulates the sector.

The proposal brings crypto assets under the Financial Instruments and Exchange Act, a framework used for stocks and other securities, Nikkei reported. If passed during the current parliament session, the law could take effect as early as fiscal 2027.

Until now, Japan has treated crypto mainly as a payment tool under the Payment Services Act. That approach focused on custody, anti-money laundering checks and exchange registration. The new rules would ban insider trading and require issuers to publish annual disclosures.

Penalties would also rise. Operating without registration could bring up to 10 years in prison, up from three, and fines could increase to 10 million yen ($62,800). The Securities and Exchange Surveillance Commission would gain broader authority to police the market.

In a press conference, Minister for Financial Services Satsuki Katayama said the move will “expand the supply of growth capital in response to changes in the financial and capital markets, ensuring market fairness, transparency, and the protection of investors.”

Nakamoto seeks reverse stock split as shares fall 99% from peak

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Bitcoin treasury firm Nakamoto (NAKA) is resorting to a familiar Wall Street playbook as it looks to lift its beating-down share price and stay on Nasdaq.

The company is seeking approval for a “reverse stock split” that would combine shares at a ratio to be set between 1-for-20 and 1-for-50, according to a preliminary proxy filing (Schedule 14A), as it has seen a collapse in its share price to around $0.22. Prices are down roughly 99% from its May 2025 peak.

A reverse stock split reduces the number of shares outstanding while increasing the share price proportionally, for example turning 20 shares at $0.20 into one share at $4. While it does not change the company’s underlying value, it is commonly used to regain compliance with Nasdaq’s $1 minimum bid requirement and avoid delisting. Nasdaq mandates listed companies to maintain a minimum bid price of $1 per share, and firms that fail to ensure that within a specific period risk being delisted.

Nakamoto recently sold about 5% of its bitcoin holdings, leaving it with 5,058 BTC, pointing to ongoing liquidity management.

Other bitcoin treasury firms have taken similar steps, including Strive Asset Management earlier this year. Most DAT shares have taken a beating in recent months, tracking the collapse in BTC’s spot price to roughly $70,000 from over $126,000 in October.

Alongside the reverse split, the company, in a Form S-3 filing, registered more than 400 million shares for potential resale by existing investors. This does not raise new capital, but creates a large overhang that could weigh on the stock.

The company also has a shelf registration allowing up to roughly $7 billion in future securities issuance. This is separate from an at the market (ATM) program of up to approximately $5 billion, which would allow it to sell newly issued shares directly into the market over time.

Ctrl Alt Secures FCA Authorisation to Expand UK Tokenisation Capabilities

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Ctrl Alt, a tokenisation infrastructure provider, has successfully secured direct authorisation from the UK Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) to provide regulated investment services.

The regulatory milestone places Ctrl Alt Ltd—a subsidiary of Alt Ltd—on the FCA’s official register under the UK framework for investment firms. Previously, the company operated as an Appointed Representative. Now, with its own direct FCA authorisation, Ctrl Alt can operate independently under its own regulatory permissions and oversight.

Expanding digital capital markets

Matt Ong, CEO and founder of Ctrl Alt

The newly acquired authorisation enables the firm to expand its digital capital markets services, specifically supporting the end-to-end lifecycle of tokenised assets. This allows Ctrl Alt to enhance its offerings and deliver innovative, compliant solutions for the alternative asset space.

Since its founding in 2022, the firm has already tokenised over $1.2billion in assets, spanning sectors such as real estate, private credit, funds, and commodities.

Matt Ong, CEO and founder of Ctrl Alt, emphasised the importance of the approval for both the company and the broader UK financial landscape.

“This authorization is an important step for Ctrl Alt and for financial innovation in the UK as a whole,” Ong stated. “It allows us to continue expanding our tokenization capabilities and support the development of more efficient and accessible financial markets.”

He added: “At a time when UK-based firms are relocating abroad, we are focused on strengthening London’s position as a global hub for digital capital markets and delivering the tokenization infrastructure that will drive the next generation of financial innovation.”

Collaborating with the Bank of England

The FCA approval arrives amidst Ctrl Alt’s ongoing participation in key strategic initiatives led by the Bank of England.

The firm is currently involved in the Digital Securities Sandbox, exploring the use of its tokenisation infrastructure for the issuance, trading, and settlement of securities. Additionally, Ctrl Alt is participating in the Bank of England’s Synchronisation Lab, where it is actively testing synchronisation capabilities alongside the Bank’s renewed real-time gross settlement service.

According to Ctrl Alt, this latest FCA milestone cements its position as a central participant in the UK’s evolving financial ecosystem, allowing for continued collaboration with governments, regulators, and financial institutions to advance the mainstream adoption of tokenised markets.

Bitcoin, Altcoin Traders Attempt To Restart Bull Market: Will They Win?

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Key points:

  • Buyers are attempting to push Bitcoin toward the $76,000 level but are facing significant selling from the bears.

  • Several major altcoins are likely to pick up momentum if they break above their overhead resistance levels.

Buyers are attempting to sustain Bitcoin (BTC) above the $72,500 level but are expected to face significant resistance from the bears. US spot BTC exchange-traded funds have witnessed a mixed week, with two days of inflows and two days of outflows, according to Farside Investors data. However, a positive sign is that the inflows have been larger than the outflows, resulting in weekly net inflows of $576.5 million.

Although there are signs of recovery, Glassnode said in its latest Week Onchain newsletter that BTC will have to cross the True Market Mean at $78,000 and the Short-Term Holder Cost Basis at $81,600 to transition into a sustainable recovery regime. Until then, the “mid to long-term bias remains tilted to the downside” as any rally into the zone is expected to encounter selling pressure from recent buyers who may want to exit their positions at or near breakeven.

Crypto market data daily view. Source: TradingView

Along with BTC, Ether (ETH) may also be bottoming out. The Capriole Macro Index Oscillator recorded a reading of -2.42, signaling undervaluation. In 2022, ETH had bottomed out in the $1,000 to $1,200 range when the indicator fell to -2.2. That suggests limited downside risk and greater upside potential.

Could BTC and select major altcoins continue their relief rally? Let’s analyze the charts of the top 10 cryptocurrencies to find out.

Bitcoin price prediction

BTC rose above $73,000, but the bulls could not sustain the higher levels. That suggests the bears are attempting to retain the price below the $72,000 level.

BTC/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

A positive in favor of the bulls is that the 20-day exponential moving average ($69,587) has started to turn up, and the relative strength index (RSI) has risen into the positive territory. That increases the possibility of a rally to the $76,000 resistance. 

Sellers are expected to defend the $76,000 level with all their might, as a close above it completes a bullish ascending triangle pattern. The BTC/USDT pair may then ascend to $84,000.

The bears will have to swiftly pull the BTC price below the support line to signal a comeback. If they do that, the pair risks dropping to the crucial $62,500 to $60,000 support zone.

Ether price prediction

ETH’s pullback is finding support at $2,200, signaling that the bulls are attempting to flip the level into support.

ETH/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

If the ETH price turns up from the current level and breaks above $2,274, it improves the prospects of a rally above the $2,400 resistance. If that happens, the ETH/USDT pair may surge to $2,800.

This bullish view will be invalidated in the near term if the price turns down and breaks below the moving averages. That suggests the higher levels are attracting sellers. The pair may then slump to the solid support at $1,916. 

XRP price prediction

Buyers have failed to push XRP (XRP) above the 50-day simple moving average ($1.38), indicating that the bears are aggressively defending the level.

XRP/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Both moving averages are flattening out, and the RSI is just below the midpoint, indicating a slight edge to the bears. A break and close below the $1.27 level signals the resumption of the downtrend to $1.11 and later to the support line of the descending channel pattern near $0.9.

On the other hand, a break above the 50-day SMA tilts the short-term advantage in favor of the buyers. The XRP/USDT pair may then rally to the downtrend line, where the bears are expected to pose a strong challenge.

BNB price prediction

BNB (BNB) has failed to rise above the 50-day SMA ($626), indicating that the bears are selling on minor rallies.

BNB/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Sellers will attempt to strengthen their position by pulling the BNB price below the $570 level. If they succeed, the BNB/USDT pair may resume its downtrend to the next strong support at $500.

Conversely, a close above the moving averages signals that the pair may extend its stay within the range for some time. Buyers will be back in the driver’s seat on a close above the $687 level. That clears the path for a rally to $730 and subsequently to $790.

Solana price prediction

Solana (SOL) has been consolidating inside the $76 to $98 range, signaling buying on dips and selling on rallies.

SOL/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

If buyers drive the SOL price above the moving averages, the recovery may reach the $98 level. Sellers are expected to fiercely defend the $98 level, attempting to keep the SOL/USDT pair inside the range.

The next trending move is expected to begin above the $98 resistance or below the $76 support. If bulls propel the price above the $98 level, the pair may surge to $117. Alternatively, a break below the $76 level may sink the pair to $67.

Dogecoin price prediction

Dogecoin (DOGE) failed to rise above the downtrend line, indicating that the bears continue to exert pressure.

DOGE/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Sellers will have to quickly pull the DOGE price below the $0.09 support to complete the bearish descending triangle pattern. If they do that, the DOGE/USDT pair may plunge to $0.08 and later to the pattern target of $0.06.

Instead, if the price turns up and breaks above the downtrend line, it suggests that the bulls are aggressively defending the $0.09 level. The failure of a bearish setup is a positive sign as it is likely to attract buyers. The pair may then start its climb toward the $0.11 resistance.

Hyperliquid price prediction

Hyperliquid (HYPE) has been gradually moving higher toward the $41.59 to $43.76 resistance zone, signaling solid demand from the bulls.

HYPE/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

The 20-day EMA ($37.91) has started to turn up, and the RSI is in the positive zone, indicating that the bulls are in command. A close above the overhead resistance zone opens the gates for a rally to $50.

Sellers will have to swiftly yank the HYPE price below the 50-day SMA ($35.27) to signal a comeback. If they do that, the HYPE/USDT pair may plummet to the $29.42 level.

Related: Bitcoin analysis sees $55K BTC price ‘iron bottom’ by December 2026

Cardano price prediction

Sellers are defending the 50-day SMA ($0.26) in Cardano (ADA), but the bulls have not allowed the price to dip back below the $0.25 support.

ADA/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

The first sign of strength will be a close above the 50-day SMA, as it opens the doors for a rally to the downtrend line. Sellers are expected to fiercely protect the downtrend line, as a close above it signals a potential short-term trend change.

On the contrary, a drop below the $0.23 level indicates that the bears have overpowered the bulls. That may sink the ADA/USDT pair to $0.22 and later to the support line near the $0.16 level.

Bitcoin Cash price prediction

Bitcoin Cash (BCH) is facing resistance at the 20-day EMA ($451), but the bulls have not given up much ground to the bears.

BCH/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

That increases the likelihood of a break above the 20-day EMA. If that happens, the BCH/USDT pair may climb to the 50-day SMA ($465) and subsequently to the $486 resistance. A close above the $486 level suggests that the market has rejected the break below the $443 support.

Sellers are likely to have other plans. They will attempt to defend the moving averages and pull the BCH price below the $420 level. If they do that, the pair may plummet to $375.

Chainlink price prediction

Chainlink (LINK) has been stuck between the $8 and $10 level for several days, indicating a balance between supply and demand.

LINK/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

The longer the price remains within a range, the stronger the eventual breakout. The flattish moving averages and the RSI near the midpoint do not give either bulls or bears a clear advantage. 

If the LINK price turns up from its current level and breaks above the $10 resistance, it suggests the start of a new uptrend. The LINK/USDT pair may then reach $11.61. Conversely, a close below the $8 support may resume the downtrend toward the $6 level.