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Here’s why bitcoin turned lower from the 200-day average

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Bitcoin’s recovery from February lows, which had begun to look like a new bull run, hit a wall last week at the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) positioned just above $82,000. Since then, prices have pulled back to $77,500 in a move reminiscent of 2022 when a 43% relief rally failed at the same indicator before bitcoin resumed its decline.

Analytics firm CryptoQuant’s latest report offers a compelling explanation for why the rally failed to break through the critical average, a long-term trend line traders often treat as the dividing line between a bear-market bounce and a real recovery.

The bigger issue is demand.

CryptoQuant says the April and early May rally had been supported by three things: leveraged futures buying, spot demand, and U.S. ETF inflows. All three have now weakened. The firm’s Bull Score Index has fallen from 40 to 20, a level the firm calls “extremely bearish” and one that matched the February-March period when bitcoin traded between $60,000 and $66,000.

The clearest cross-check is the Coinbase bitcoin premium, which has remained negative through much of the May rally and the subsequent correction, CryptoQuant points out in the report.

The premium measures whether bitcoin is trading higher on Coinbase than on offshore venues; a positive reading is treated as a sign of relatively stronger U.S. demand, a negative reading as evidence that U.S. investors aren’t paying up for exposure.

U.S. spot bitcoin ETFs have flipped into sellers to match. Weekly data from SoSoValue shows the products lost about $979.7 million in the week ended May 19, on top of roughly $1 billion of outflows the prior week. The reversal follows six straight weeks of inflows that helped fuel the rally.

Is there any demand at all?

Korea’s kimchi premium, which measures demand for BTC on Korean exchanges, has dropped below zero, according to CryptoQuant data, meaning there’s no above-normal demand on exchanges in the country.

Elsewhere in Asia, Hong Kong’s three spot bitcoin ETFs, run by ChinaAMC, Bosera Hashkey, and Harvest, have rarely cleared a few million dollars in combined daily volume through May.

If the correction deepens, CryptoQuant identifies $70,000, the traders’ on-chain realized price, as the next major on-chain support. That level capped rallies in October and January. This time, it would have to hold them up.

Don’t call us just a WLFI treasury company, says AI Financial

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AI Financial, formerly known as Alt5 Sigma, wants the market to know that it’s more than just its token holdings, and calling it a WLFI treasury company isn’t the right way to describe it.

“AiFi continues to operate an active fintech and digital payments business while executing on a broader long-term strategy across digital assets, settlement infrastructure, tokenization, and next-generation financial technologies,” a company spokesperson told CoinDesk in an email. “Characterizing the company solely as a ‘treasury company’ does not accurately reflect the breadth of AiFi’s operating business.”

AI Financial operates ALT5 Pay, its crypto payments platform, and ALT5 Prime, its over-the-counter digital asset trading business. Since quarter-end, it has also announced the acquisition of tokenization and ICO infrastructure firm Block Street, signed a commercial agreement with SuperQ Quantum, and outlined broader expansion into digital financial infrastructure.

The response from the spokesperson comes after AI Financial’s latest SEC filing painted a starkly different picture of its current financial profile.

The Nasdaq-listed company disclosed in this filing that it held 7.28 billion WLFI tokens, worth $706.4 million at the end of March, down from an acquisition cost of roughly $1.46 billion. By comparison, its operating fintech business generated just $4.7 million in quarterly revenue.

AI Financial also warned in this filing that recurring losses and a $5.5 million working capital deficit raise “substantial doubt” about the company’s ability to continue as a going concern within one year after the financial statements were issued.

Complicating the picture further, the company’s WLFI holdings remain contractually locked, limiting its ability to convert its largest asset into cash. AI Financial ended the quarter with just $10.5 million in cash.

AI Financial’s relationship with WLFI goes far beyond ownership. World Liberty CEO Zach Witkoff serves as the company’s chairman. Co-founder Zachary Folkman sits on its board; WLFI has lent it $15 million, secured by WLFI tokens, and WLFI holds rights equivalent to roughly 46% of its fully diluted equity.

But the question is, can investors see past WLFI when looking at AI Financial as a whole?

AI Financial may be building a broader fintech and digital infrastructure platform, but its SEC filing suggests WLFI remains the asset defining its financial story.

Unlike a typical digital asset treasury company holding bitcoin or another liquid asset, AI Financial’s relationship with WLFI is more complex: the issuer of its core treasury asset also has deep governance, lending and equity ties to the company itself.

SpaceX Unveils Larger-Than-Expected Bitcoin Stash

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Elon Musk’s aerospace company SpaceX reported holding 18,712 Bitcoin worth $1.45 billion in a recent filing, over 10,000 coins more than blockchain tracking firms had estimated. 

In the company’s S-1 registration statement, filed as part of its bid to become a public company on June 12, SpaceX revealed it purchased Bitcoin (BTC) at an average of $35,320 per coin. Its reported holdings would make it the seventh-largest among public companies.

SpaceX’s Bitcoin holdings as of Dec. 31, 2025. Source: SEC

SpaceX is poised to become the biggest IPO in capital markets history, aiming to raise around $75 billion with an estimated valuation of $1.75 trillion to $2 trillion. Buying its stock would give investors a way to gain exposure to Bitcoin, alongside the company’s aerospace and AI businesses. 

SpaceX Bitcoin accumulation began five years ago 

SpaceX began buying Bitcoin in early 2021, around the same time that Musk’s Tesla started investing in the cryptocurrency.

The latest SEC filing shows that SpaceX has considerably more Bitcoin than Tesla, which holds 11,509 Bitcoin. It also surpasses estimates from BitcoinTreasuries.NET and crypto analytics firm Arkham, which estimated SpaceX’s Bitcoin holdings at only 8,285 Bitcoin.

Related: Saylor’s Strategy scoops $2B Bitcoin, holdings reach 843,738 BTC 

BitcoinTreasuries.NET data shows that SpaceX only holds 8,285 Bitcoin on its balance sheet. Source: BitcoinTreasuries.NET

SpaceX chasing largest addressable market in “human history”

SpaceX is one of few private companies with large valuations looking to go public in 2026, along with AI firms OpenAI and Anthropic.

Going public could unlock billions of dollars in capital for the company to fund projects like Starlink, orbital data centers and potentially Mars colonization. 

In the filing, SpaceX said it is targeting the largest actionable total addressable market in “human history,” estimating a $28.5 trillion opportunity spanning AI, space and connectivity.

Magazine: eToro founder timed Bitcoin top perfectly due to belief in 4 year cycles

New Bitcoin, Energy, And Compute Hub Node NBO Opens In Nairobi, Kenya

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On Saturday, May 16, 2026, the world’s newest physical Bitcoin space opened in Nairobi, Kenya.

It’s called Node NBO (NBO is short for Nairobi), and it will serve as a co-working space for notable Bitcoin, freedom tech, compute, and energy companies and organizations in Africa, including Fedi, Gridless, and BTrust as well as the Human Rights Foundation (HRF).

A screenshot from the homepage of the Node NBO website.

The facility will also be home to three labs — an open-source energy lab, an open-source Bitcoin mining lab, and an AI compute lab. These labs will serve as places where teams can build, design, and assemble new products as well as strategize implementation.

And Node NBO also has an event space, where just over 150 people can gather for special occasions and meetups.

The first of such occasions was the soft launch of the facility on May 16th, which was attended by Fedi CEO Obi Nwosu; Gridless’ co-founders, Janet Maingi, Erik Hersman and Philip Walton; BTrust CEO Abubakar Nur Khalil; and Minmo CEO Jodom Konuko (Minmo team members will also work out of Node NBO) amongst a number of other notable members of the Kenyan Bitcoin community.

BitDevs Nairobi attendees as well as quantum computing researchers and developers from Nairobi will also meet in the event space on a monthly basis.

“We needed a place where people who are working on hard things can come into proximity with each other, especially when there’s overlapping areas that need specialization,” said Hersman in regard to the impetus behind creating Node NBO.

“We wanted to get the people behind this foundational layer of this tech we’re all using in a place where they can find each other, work on cool stuff around each other, and accelerate each other,” he added.

“We couldn’t be more excited to be part of Node NBO,” said Nwosu. “There’s so much synergy already happening between the companies and organizations involved with Node NBO that it just makes sense to bring them all under one roof.”

Showcasing African Projects to Global Visitors

Node NBO is located in Gigiri, Nairobi, a northern region of Nairobi that Hersman referred to as a “diplomatic area.”

Facilities in the area frequently host international visitors, as Gigiri is home to the United Nations’ Nairobi headquarters, which is just walking distance from Node NBO.

An image from inside the Node NBO facility. | Photo courtesy of Node NBO

Hersman noted that another reason for the space was that he, too, often hosts visitors from abroad, and he wanted to create a hub at which he could showcase the many different projects that are currently being developed in Africa.

“We’ve had everybody from team members from NVIDIA to the Rockefeller Catalyst Fund to high-level team members from Google and Microsoft come to visit and now we have a place where we can give people like this a tour of what’s happening,” said Hersman.

A Unique Facility for Unique Infrastructure Companies

The new facility will be unique in that it will be powered solely by solar panels.

“Gridless is putting in solar power over the whole facility so that it actually runs fully off of its own energy,” said Hersman.

This is the sort of ingenuity that Gridless has become well known for.

In its four years of existence, it hasn’t just capitalized on mining bitcoin with renewable, hydro energy in rural Kenya, Malawi, and Zambia, and it’s created a model that has catalyzed the electrification of these rural regions while keeping the cost of electricity for residents of these regions low.

Now its team members will be officemates with team members of a Fedi partner enterprise called SateNet.

SateNet is a project through which physical towers that broadcast satellite internet are installed in underserved communities such as Kenya’s Kibera, home to the Afribit community, and South Africa’s Mossel Bay, home to the Bitcoin Ekasi community.