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Stablecoins Could Reach 20% of Bank Deposits in Some Emerging Markets: S&P Global

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The report looks at foreign currency stablecoin adoption, namely of USD-pegged assets, in 45 emerging market countries.

S&P Global Ratings says stablecoins, primarily those pegged to the U.S. dollar, could gain a much larger share in emerging market economies, with holdings across 45 countries potentially climbing to $730 billion, up from a current value of about $70 billion.

The report, published this week, says stablecoins’ role in the financial system is “growing in lockstep with their rapidly expanding issuance.”

Even so, analysts note that stablecoin adoption at the upper end of their estimates “would not be significant enough to have a material impact on banks’ role in intermediation or the effectiveness of monetary policy.”

Stablecoin adoption simulation. Source: S&P Global Ratings

The New York-headquartered ratings firm bases its projections on three main forces: pressure on local currencies, cross-border remittance demand and broader digital-asset use.

“Adoption will be driven by, in order of importance, wealth protection, remittances and international trade, and general enthusiasm for digital assets,” the report reads.

Key Markets for Stablecoin Adoption

As S&P Global argues, countries with high inflation show the biggest potential for stablecoin adoption. In its most aggressive scenario, the firm projects stablecoins could reach a meaningful share of the value of traditional bank deposits in select markets, namely those where stablecoins are being used to preserve wealth — in countries where logical currency purchasing power is eroding.

“We assume stablecoin adoption could reach 10-20% of bank deposits in the top 15 countries where wealth preservation (purchasing power) is the most important factor,” the report notes.

The projections are based on bank deposit data from late 2024, with Argentina and Turkey leading the list by average inflation rate in the past two years.

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Stablecoin adoption simulation. Source: S&P Global Ratings

Earlier in January, blockchain analytics firm Artemis estimated that stablecoin-linked Visa card spending reached a $3.5 billion annualized run rate in late 2025, growing about 460% year-over-year.

A geographic breakdown of stablecoin usage showed India and Argentina as “true global outliers,” where USDC accounts for 47.4% and 46.6% of usage, respectively. By comparison, USDT dominates stablecoin activity across most other markets, including Turkey, China and Japan, according to the data.

Is Quantum Computing Casting a Shadow Over Bitcoin’s Price?

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Over roughly the past year, discussion has grown more pointed over whether the accelerating pace of quantum computing could eventually threaten the Bitcoin network. This week, prominent crypto advocate and Castle Island Ventures partner Nic Carter contended that bitcoin’s “underperformance,” which he links to quantum-related anxieties, is the only storyline that truly deserves attention this […]

Open Banking Limited Marks 8 Years as Usage Surges to 33 Million Monthly Payments

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Open Banking Limited (OBL) is celebrating the eighth anniversary of open banking in the UK, marking the transition of the initiative from a regulatory requirement to a core component of the nation’s financial infrastructure.

Since its launch in January 2018, following the implementation of PSD2 and the CMA’s Retail Banking Market Investigation Order, open banking has grown to underpin a significant portion of the UK’s financial activity. According to new figures released by OBL, there are now more than 16.5 million live user connections across the UK.

A surge in adoption

The data highlights a robust uptake in account-to-account payments, with nearly 33 million open banking payments recorded in November 2025 alone. This growth reflects a shift in consumer and business behaviour towards faster, more secure, and cost-effective payment methods.

Beyond transaction volumes, the ecosystem has become a significant economic driver. OBL reports that open banking-enabled solutions have contributed over £4billion to the UK economy and created nearly 5,000 skilled digital jobs since the framework’s inception.

From regulation to infrastructure

The anniversary comes as the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) recently identified open banking as a key driver for national growth in a letter to the Prime Minister, specifically highlighting its potential to unlock new use cases in SME lending.

Henk Van Hulle, CEO of Open Banking Limited, commented on the milestone: “In just eight years, Open Banking Limited has helped build an ecosystem that people and businesses across the UK now use as part of everyday financial life, sometimes without even realising. The UK has created something genuinely world-leading; the priority now is to put the right long-term structures in place so that advantage is protected and can continue to grow to support as many businesses and consumers as possible to better engage with, and make the most of, their finances”.

Looking ahead, OBL is setting its sights on the transition to Open Finance and Smart Data. With the Data (Use and Access) Act 2025 providing the legislative framework, the standards developed for open banking are expected to serve as the foundation for secure data sharing across other sectors.

OBL suggests that real-world cross-sector value is already emerging, citing examples such as mortgages that recognise current account history and energy switching services based on real payment behaviour. The body argues that reusing proven open banking approaches will accelerate delivery and ensure interoperability across industries including pensions, insurance, and telecoms.

The organisation also noted its role in advancing Variable Recurring Payments (VRPs), which are expanding payment flexibility for consumers and businesses, further cementing open banking’s role in the UK payments ecosystem.

Judge Rakoff And The Fear Of Monetary Exit

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Judge Jed Rakoff’s essay “It’s a Racket!” reads less like analysis than confession.

He opens with a dictionary definition of cryptocurrency and proceeds to explain why systems that operate outside government control are dangerous. This framing reveals the core assumption beneath the essay: money is legitimate only when sanctioned, supervised, and reversible at the discretion of the state.

Bitcoin exists because that assumption failed.

The Genesis Block of the Bitcoin blockchain contains a timestamp referencing the 2008 bank bailouts. It marks the moment the modern financial system exposed itself as a closed hierarchy enforced by regulation, complexity, and rescue. Losses were socialized. Accountability vanished. Courts enforced the aftermath.

Bitcoin was created to exit that system.

Rakoff repeatedly treats “crypto” as a monolith, collapsing decentralized networks, centralized frauds, meme tokens, and algorithmic stablecoins into a single object of derision. This is not analysis; it is rhetorical convenience. The Terraform Labs fraud he describes depended on secrecy, centralization, and false representations — the very features Bitcoin was designed to eliminate.

Rakoff describes Bitcoin as gambling “untethered to economic reality.” But his definition of economic reality is faith-based: central bank discretion, elastic supply, and institutional trust. Bitcoin rejects those premises. It imposes a fixed supply. It makes monetary debasement impossible. It exposes failure instead of masking it.

That is why central planners hate it.

I watched the regulated financial system collapse in 2008 from inside a New York law firm. The catastrophe occurred not in unregulated back alleys but in the most supervised institutions on earth. When it ended, almost no one responsible was punished. Courts enforced the settlements. Central banks created money to paper over the wreckage.

Bitcoin refuses that bargain.

Rakoff leans heavily on blockchain surveillance claims asserting vast criminality. These claims rest on inference, not proof. The surveillance industry is unregulated, unvalidated, and commercially motivated. Yet courts increasingly treat its output as scientific fact. This is junk science with a badge.

The Silk Road prosecutions revealed the real anxiety. Ross Ulbricht proved Bitcoin was money. Goods and services could be exchanged without permission from banks or governments. His punishment was exemplary, not proportional. It was meant to deter autonomy.

Courts have always played this role. They enforced slavery. They upheld internment. They validated sterilization. They ratified segregation. Judicial neutrality is a myth told by the winners of each era.

Rakoff laments that regulation of cryptocurrency is being scaled back. What he calls deregulation, others call recognition: that Bitcoin cannot be regulated into submission without destroying the liberties it restores.

Tens of millions of Americans now hold Bitcoin. Institutions that once mocked it now custody it. A political constituency has formed around monetary sovereignty. That constituency is done asking for permission.

Rakoff calls Bitcoin a racket because it escapes the racket he knows: discretionary money, regulatory capture, and judicial enforcement of economic orthodoxy.

Bitcoin does not ask courts for legitimacy. It derives legitimacy from use.

The Genesis Block was not a marketing flourish. It was a declaration. The old system failed. A new one appeared. Courts can sneer, but code does not care.

This article is a Take. Opinions expressed are entirely the author’s and do not necessarily reflect those of BTC Inc or Bitcoin Magazine.

Thailand SEC Prepares Crypto ETF, Futures Trading Rules

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Thailand’s Securities and Exchange Commission is preparing new regulations to support crypto exchange-traded funds (ETFs), crypto futures trading and tokenized investment products.

SEC deputy secretary-general Jomkwan Kongsakul said the regulator plans to issue formal guidelines supporting the establishment of crypto ETFs in Thailand “early this year,” the Bangkok Post reported on Thursday.

“A key advantage of crypto ETFs is ease of access; they eliminate concerns over hacking and wallet security, which has been a major barrier for many investors,” Kongsakul said.

The SEC will also regulate and enable crypto futures trading on the Thailand Futures Exchange (TFEX), while other key initiatives include establishing market makers for liquidity and recognizing digital assets as an official asset class under the Derivatives Act. 

Thailand is angling to become a regional crypto hub for institutional investors as retail trading remains popular even as crypto payments are banned, with the country’s largest exchange, Bitkub, seeing daily volumes of around $60 million.

Tighter rules for financial influencers

Kongsakul said the SEC’s board had approved crypto ETFs in principle and is at the stage of finalizing investment and operational rules.

Jomkwan Kongsakul (middle), pictured speaking at a conference in 2019, says the Thai SEC is moving to support crypto ETFs with rules. Source: UNDP

The SEC said crypto would be treated as “another asset class” and investors could allocate up to 5% of a diverse portfolio to digital assets.

Related: Thailand targets ‘gray money’ with unified oversight of gold and crypto

The SEC is also tightening oversight of so-called “financial influencers,” with Kongsakul saying that “any recommendation related to securities or investment returns will require proper authorisation as either an investment advisor or introducing broker.”

The agency is also collaborating with the Bank of Thailand on a tokenization sandbox, and the SEC “will encourage issuers of bond tokens to enter the regulatory sandbox,” Kongsakul added.

KuCoin Thailand moves to resolve the SEC suspension 

Meanwhile, the Thai SEC suspended KuCoin Thailand’s operations earlier in January after its capital fell below the minimum requirements for five consecutive days, local news outlet The Nation reported on Wednesday. 

The company attributed the issue to a shareholder dispute between Singapore’s CI group and KuCoin Global that prevented the approval of a planned capital increase, rather than actual financial liquidity problems.

KuCoin, which entered the Thai market in June 2025, is also planning for its local entity to apply for a digital-asset broker license, which it says would allow it to offer a wider range of financial products.

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