Home Blog Page 1126

Story delays $IP token unlock by 6 months as supply overhang fears mount and usage remains thin

0

Layer 1 blockchain Story Protocol has delayed the scheduled unfreezing of its $IP token by six months, opting to keep a larger share of supply locked for longer as debate intensifies over how crypto projects manage token releases.

In a statement, Story said the decision is part of a broader set of long-term measures aimed at strengthening alignment with its community and reinforcing the network’s economic foundations, describing the delay as a way to introduce new liquidity more gradually alongside lower emissions and wider participation.

“When we launched Story, our mission was to build foundational infrastructure for programmable intellectual property,” Story said in a statement. “While that mission remains unchanged, our understanding of where the strongest traction is forming, and what long-term success requires has continued to evolve.”

The $IP token is trading around $1.45 to $1.50 right now. That’s down about 32% over the past 30 days, worse than the CoinDesk 20 Index’s 22% drop, highlighting the tough market conditions Story mentioned.

Under the revised schedule, the first major release of previously locked team, investor, and early contributor tokens will shift from February 2026 to August 2026.

Story says the change doesn’t touch the total 1 billion token supply, individual allocations or legal ownership, and only alters the timing at which locked tokens may enter circulation. The foundation added that an automated smart-contract mechanism has been introduced to enforce the updated lockup terms, while emphasizing that it does not gain custody of wallets or the ability to move tokens.

Token unlocks are closely watched events in crypto markets because sudden increases in circulating supply can weigh on prices, and recent research has suggested that large releases often lead to delayed selling pressure rather than immediate rebounds.

Analysts frequently point to so-called low-float, high-fully-diluted-valuation launches, where a small portion of tokens trade freely while most remain locked, as a source of volatility and investor distrust when vesting periods expire.

On-chain metrics compiled by DeFiLlama show Story has had nearly non-existent activity so far, with less than $100 in daily on-chain revenue, underscoring how much of the token’s $500 million valuation remains tied to future expectations rather than present cash flow.

Late last year, Story’s co-founder Jason Zhao announced he was stepping back from day-to-day operations to join a new AI venture.

Liquidity Drought Not Crypto Breakdown Behind BTC Drop: Pal

0

A major market downturn that saw crypto markets lose $250 billion in total capitalization over the weekend is due to a shortage of US liquidity, rather than any crypto-specific problem, argues Raoul Pal, founder and CEO of Global Macro Investor. 

“The big narrative is that BTC and crypto are broken. The cycle is over,” said Pal on Sunday, explaining that this can’t be the case because Software as a Service (SaaS) stocks have fallen in tandem. 

SaaS stocks and Bitcoin (BTC) have moved in lockstep recently, both dropping significantly, which is notable because both are “long-duration assets,” as their value is based heavily on expected future cash flows and adoption, making them sensitive to liquidity conditions and interest rates, he said.

This means the same narrative applies: people say “crypto is dead” and that AI is replacing software firms.

It also supports the same common cause, since two completely different asset classes are moving in lockstep, suggesting the real driver is macro liquidity, not sector-specific problems. 

“The rally in gold essentially sucked all marginal liquidity out of the system that would have flowed into BTC and SaaS. There was not enough liquidity to support all these assets, so the riskiest got hit.”

UBS Saas Index and BTC are highly correlated. Source: Raoul Pal

Government shutdowns add to liquidity drain 

The temporary US liquidity drain has been exacerbated by the two government shutdowns and “issues with US plumbing.” The Reverse Repo drain was essentially completed in 2024, said Pal. 

The Reverse Repo Facility (RRP) is where banks and money market funds park cash overnight at the Federal Reserve.

Related: Bitcoin price forecasts tap sub-$50K levels as BTC copies old bear markets

Previously, when the US Treasury rebuilt its cash account (TGA), the negative liquidity impact was offset by the draining of the RRP. But now that the RRP is empty, there’s no offset available, so TGA rebuilds become pure liquidity drains, he explained.

Raoul Pal dismisses recent Fed chair narrative 

Jeff Mei, chief operations officer at the BTSE exchange, told Cointelegraph that crypto is dropping “because investors now are under the impression that new Fed chair, Kevin Warsh, may not cut interest rates as fast or as much as they expected, given his tough stance on inflation and quantitative easing.”

However, Pal dismissed concerns about Trump’s Federal Reserve pick being hawkish, arguing that “Warsh’s job and his mandate are to run the Greenspan era playbook.”

This means cutting rates while letting the economy run hot, banking on AI productivity gains to control inflation.

“Warsh will cut rates and do nothing else. He will get out of the way of Trump and Bessent, who will run liquidity via the banks,” he said.

Pal closed on a bullish note, stating that the liquidity drain is almost over.

“We just can’t get every moving part right, but we now have a better understanding, and we remain HUGE bulls for 2026 because we know the Trump/Bessent/Warsh playbook.”

Magazine: A ‘tsunami’ of wealth is headed for crypto: Nansen’s Alex Svanevik