Coinbase’s head of litigation says states are “gaslighting” on prediction markets

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Why it matters: Ryan VanGrack, Coinbase’s VP of legal and global head of litigation, is sharpening Coinbase’s challenge to state regulators, saying they are trying to rewrite Congress’ authority over derivatives.

  • Coinbase has filed lawsuits in Connecticut, Illinois, Michigan and Nevada after launching prediction markets in partnership with Kalshi.
  • Some of those states issued cease-and-desist letters or public warnings, arguing sports event contracts amount to illegal gambling.
  • VanGrack said those actions left customers facing “real and imminent” threats that forced Coinbase to seek clarity in federal court.

The argument: VanGrack says states are framing the issue incorrectly.

  • Illinois officials argued in court that without state intervention, the markets would go unregulated due to limited CFTC resources.
  • VanGrack called that claim “gaslighting,” saying the Commodity Futures Trading Commission has long overseen multi-trillion-dollar derivatives markets.
  • He pointed to recent CFTC enforcement reminders around insider trading in event contracts as evidence the agency is actively policing the space.

Federal vs. state power: At the center is who gets to regulate sports-related event contracts.

  • VanGrack argued the Commodity Exchange Act grants the CFTC exclusive jurisdiction over swaps and derivatives, including event contracts.
  • The law contains a “special rule” allowing the CFTC — not states — to prohibit gaming event contracts on public policy grounds.
  • States are attempting to carve sports contracts out of the federal definition of swaps, a reading VanGrack said is unsupported by the statute’s text or precedent.

Sports betting distinction: Coinbase says exchange-traded contracts differ fundamentally from sportsbook wagers.

  • On a designated contract market like Kalshi, buyers and sellers set prices on an exchange overseen by the CFTC.
  • In traditional sportsbooks, operators set odds and take the other side of the bet, a structure regulated by states.
  • No one is arguing the CFTC regulates sportsbooks, VanGrack said — only that exchange-traded event contracts fall under federal derivatives law.

Bigger stakes: The dispute mirrors broader crypto fights over fragmented oversight.

  • VanGrack said states retain authority over consumer protection and fraud.
  • But subjecting national derivatives markets to “a patchwork of 50 regulators” would undermine investor confidence and market stability.
  • Congress long ago chose a unified federal framework for derivatives, he said, and prediction markets should be treated no differently.

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