Recent on-chain data shows that Bitcoin miner selling pressure may be approaching exhaustion, potentially setting the stage for the market’s next upward phase. This development comes amid a resilient bullish performance by the leading cryptocurrency in April.
Reduced Mining Selling Weakens Pressure On Bitcoin
In a recent QuickTake post, analysts at XWIN Research Japan postulated that Bitcoin is now entering a phase of demand-led price expansion as the market structure begins to experience supply exhaustion. According to the market experts, data from WuBlockchain shows that publicly listed Bitcoin miners offloaded over 32,000 BTC in Q1 2026, in the largest quarterly outflow ever, in line with a structural market alignment.
Contributing factors to such a selling spree can be traced to the Bitcoin halving in 2024, when block rewards were reduced from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC, significantly cutting down revenue. Meanwhile, network hash rate continued rising, further squeezing profitability. As the hash price fell below breakeven levels, many miners were forced to liquidate holdings to maintain cash flow. In addition, some miners are diverting resources toward AI and high-performance computing (HPC) infrastructure, accelerating Bitcoin’s distribution.
Notably, XWIN Research experts note that On-chain metrics also reinforce this narrative, as miners’ reserves have gradually declined, while net position change has remained negative. This combination confirms there has been sustained distribution over time. However, the more critical signal lies in recent flow dynamics. While the Miner Position Index (MPI) remains negative, the Miner Selling Power has dropped sharply, indicating that although miners have consistently offloaded their holdings, the intensity of selling is now weakening, i.e., the market is no longer facing increasing forced supply.
According to the analysts at XWIN Research Japan, this evolving structure creates a two-phase dynamic. On one hand, there has been a sustained period of structural selling driven by reduced rewards and rising costs. On the other hand, current data indicate that this phase may be nearing completion. Notably, Bitcoin cycles historically progress from supply expansion to supply exhaustion before transitioning to demand-driven growth. Therefore, as miner-driven supply constraints ease, future price direction is likely to depend more on demand-side catalysts, including ETF inflows, institutional participation, and broader macroeconomic conditions.
Bitcoin Price Overview
At press time, Bitcoin trades at $77,169, up 2.69% in the last 24 hours.
Featured image from Unsplash, chart from Tradingview
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