For now, some factors seem to favor the bear case. For instance, institutional demand remains anemic. The U.S.-listed spot bitcoin ETFs posted $61.53 million in outflows last week, snapping a three-week streak of tepid inflows. Moreover, USDT’s market capitalization, the largest among dollar-pegged stablecoins, fell to the lowest level since October, while USDC’s also remains in a downtrend. (check the Daily Signal).
Real or inflation-adjusted returns on longer-duration Treasury notes have risen to the highest since 2008, denting the appeal of investing in emerging technologies and risk assets. Further, the U.S. Clarity Act’s passage remains uncertain.
Still, at least one data point suggests limited downside. That is tied to the number of BTC acquired around current price levels.
“Approximately 155,000 BTC moved into the $62,000-$65,000 cost-basis range, indicating that selling was absorbed by buyers near current prices. This concentration now represents 0.7 percent of circulating supply and could keep BTC range-bound until a stronger catalyst emerges,” analysts at Bitfinex said.
Stay alert!
Read more: For analysis of today’s activity in altcoins and derivatives, see Crypto Markets Today . For a comprehensive list of events this week, see CoinDesk’s “Crypto Week Ahead.”